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Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
NASDAQ:PLTR

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) AI Stock Analysis

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Palantir Technologies

(NASDAQ:PLTR)

76Outperform
Palantir Technologies scores well due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by impressive revenue growth and cash flow generation. The positive sentiment from the earnings call supports its growth potential, particularly in AI and government sectors. However, the high P/E ratio poses a valuation concern, and technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Palantir announced earnings beating BofAe Adj. EPS and inline with consensus.
Future Outlook
Management raised its FY25 revenue growth guidance to 36% from the previous 31%, indicating strong future prospects.
Revenue Growth
U.S. commercial market revenue grew 71% year-over-year and 19% quarter-over-quarter.
Negative Factors
International Performance
The international commercial segment showed weakness, declining 5% year-over-year.
Valuation Concerns
Despite growth, the valuation is considered too expensive to underwrite a reasonable return at ~95x CY27 FCF.
Valuation Justification
Despite impressive execution, the valuation is considered very high and difficult to justify at 60 times the estimated revenue, which already includes expected growth acceleration.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Palantir Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalantir Technologies Inc. is a public American software company that specializes in big data analytics. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Palantir operates primarily in the sectors of government, finance, healthcare, and commercial industries. The company offers a suite of software applications for integrating, visualizing, and analyzing information. Its core products include Palantir Gotham, used primarily by government agencies to counter terrorism, and Palantir Foundry, which is tailored for commercial clients to manage and interpret complex data sets.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalantir Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of software subscriptions and services. The company employs a subscription-based model for its software platforms, allowing clients to access its suite of data integration, management, and analytical tools. Key revenue streams include government contracts, with significant partnerships involving agencies such as the Department of Defense and the U.S. Intelligence Community. Additionally, Palantir increasingly serves commercial enterprises, offering customized data solutions to large corporations across various industries. The company's revenue is bolstered by its ability to create tailored solutions that embed deeply into client operations, fostering long-term contracts and high client retention rates. Partnerships with large organizations and a focus on expanding into new commercial sectors also contribute significantly to Palantir's financial performance.

Palantir Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Counts the number of unique customers, showcasing market reach and adoption of the company’s products or services.
Chart InsightsPalantir's customer base has expanded significantly, with a notable acceleration in growth from 2023 to 2024. This aligns with their strong U.S. market performance and increased demand driven by AI and enterprise software solutions. The earnings call highlighted a 64% year-over-year growth in U.S. commercial revenue and a 56% increase in total contract value, underscoring the company's strategic positioning and successful customer acquisition. However, challenges in Europe and declining strategic contract revenue could pose risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Palantir Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palantir Technologies demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue growth, a solid balance sheet, and impressive cash flow generation. The company has shown a notable turnaround in profitability and operational efficiency, supported by robust gross and net profit margins. The low debt-to-equity ratio further underscores its strong financial position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Palantir Technologies has demonstrated significant revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase from $742.6 million in 2019 to $2.87 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at approximately 80.27% for 2024, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. The net profit margin improved considerably, reaching 16.13% in 2024, showcasing a turnaround from previous years of losses, highlighting improved profitability and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with stockholders' equity of $5 billion in 2024, significantly higher than its total debt of $239 million, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio stands at 78.91%, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity is relatively moderate at 9.24%, suggesting potential areas for improving shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Palantir's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow of $1.15 billion in 2024, which supports its positive free cash flow of $1.14 billion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The company has shown consistent improvement in free cash flow growth, which is a positive indicator of financial health and operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.87B2.23B1.91B1.54B1.09B
Gross Profit
2.30B1.79B1.50B1.20B740.13M
EBIT
310.40M119.97M-161.20M-411.05M-1.17B
EBITDA
341.99M153.32M-334.45M-469.96M-1.15B
Net Income Common Stockholders
462.19M209.82M-373.70M-520.38M-1.17B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.23B3.67B2.63B2.52B2.01B
Total Assets
6.34B4.52B3.46B3.25B2.69B
Total Debt
239.22M229.39M249.40M260.07M456.86M
Net Debt
-1.86B-601.65M-2.35B-2.03B-1.55B
Total Liabilities
1.25B961.46M818.80M956.42M1.17B
Stockholders Equity
5.00B3.48B2.57B2.29B1.52B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.14B697.07M183.71M321.22M-308.84M
Operating Cash Flow
1.15B712.18M223.74M333.85M-296.61M
Investing Cash Flow
-340.65M-2.71B-45.43M-397.91M-14.92M
Financing Cash Flow
463.36M218.84M86.00M306.75M1.04B

Palantir Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price108.86
Price Trends
50DMA
92.31
Positive
100DMA
88.75
Positive
200DMA
65.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.03
Negative
RSI
55.11
Neutral
STOCH
75.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 108.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.62, above the 50-day MA of 92.31, and above the 200-day MA of 65.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLTR.

Palantir Technologies Risk Analysis

Palantir Technologies disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palantir Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Palantir Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$414.19B35.08108.79%1.14%6.23%12.37%
76
Outperform
$256.81B475.3712.41%33.45%82.50%
76
Outperform
$82.39B47.41338.74%12.27%54.69%
76
Outperform
$109.86B721.64-0.69%29.39%-119.62%
74
Outperform
$124.93B106.6023.38%13.86%-46.44%
MDMDB
63
Neutral
$13.98B-6.70%19.22%28.46%
60
Neutral
$10.78B10.47-6.71%2.99%7.58%-12.08%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLTR
Palantir Technologies
108.86
87.30
404.92%
FTNT
Fortinet
107.14
47.51
79.67%
ORCL
Oracle
147.70
31.61
27.23%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
188.69
37.19
24.55%
MDB
MongoDB
172.22
-180.98
-51.24%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
443.21
129.45
41.26%

Palantir Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth across various segments, particularly in the US market, and a significant demand for AI products. However, there were challenges in the international commercial market, particularly in Europe. The company's financial and operational metrics are robust, and it has a positive outlook for the future.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 39% year-over-year, exceeding guidance by nearly 350 basis points. US revenue grew 55% year-over-year and 13% sequentially.
US Commercial Business Milestone
Surpassed $1 billion annual run rate in US commercial business for the first time, with 71% year-over-year growth.
Significant Demand for AIP
US commercial TCV bookings were $810 million, representing 239% year-over-year growth. Closed twice as many $1 million+ deals compared to the previous year.
Impressive Government Segment Performance
US government revenue grew 45% year-over-year. International government revenue grew 45% year-over-year.
Robust Financial Metrics
Adjusted operating margin of 44%, representing an 800 basis point increase. Adjusted free cash flow of $370 million with a margin of 42%.
Positive Market Outlook
Raising full-year revenue guidance midpoint to $3.896 billion, representing a 36% year-over-year growth rate.
Negative Updates
Challenges in International Commercial Revenue
International commercial revenue declined 5% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, driven by continued headwinds in Europe.
Company Guidance
During Palantir's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant metrics showcased the company's robust growth and strategic positioning. The call highlighted a remarkable 39% year-over-year revenue growth, with U.S. revenue surging 55% and constituting 71% of the overall business. The U.S. commercial sector posted a 71% increase in revenue, surpassing a $1 billion annual run rate. The company also recorded a 45% growth in its U.S. government business. Palantir's rule of 40 score improved to 83% from the previous quarter's 81%, reflecting combined revenue growth and adjusted operating margin. Additionally, Palantir closed $810 million in U.S. commercial TCV, marking a 239% year-over-year growth, and the customer count increased by 39% year-over-year to 769. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance midpoint to $3.896 billion, projecting a 36% growth, and its adjusted free cash flow guidance to between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion. These metrics emphasize Palantir's strong momentum and strategic focus on AI-driven solutions across both commercial and government sectors.

Palantir Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palantir Technologies Reports Strong Q1 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Palantir Technologies reported a significant revenue growth of 39% year-over-year for Q1 2025, with U.S. revenue increasing by 55%. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a 36% growth, with U.S. commercial revenue expected to grow by 68%, surpassing consensus expectations. This growth is attributed to a shift in software adoption, particularly in the U.S., and highlights Palantir’s strong market positioning and operational success, as evidenced by its Rule of 40 score of 83% and a substantial increase in total contract value.

Spark’s Take on PLTR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PLTR is a Outperform.

Palantir Technologies scores well due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by impressive revenue growth and cash flow generation. The technical analysis suggests positive momentum but with caution due to potential overbought conditions. The high P/E ratio poses a valuation concern, although strong earnings call sentiment underscores the company’s growth potential, particularly in the AI and government sectors.

To see Spark’s full report on PLTR stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Palantir Reappoints Jeffrey Buckley as Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 27, 2025, Palantir Technologies announced the reappointment of Jeffrey Buckley as Chief Accounting Officer, effective March 24, 2025. Buckley, who previously served in the same role at Palantir until February 2023, returns to replace David Glazer, who temporarily held the position following Heather Planishek’s resignation. Buckley’s compensation includes a $400,000 annual salary and a restricted stock unit award valued at $3,500,000, reflecting Palantir’s commitment to strengthening its financial leadership.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.