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Public Service Enterprise (PEG) AI Stock Analysis

PEG

Public Service Enterprise

(NYSE:PEG)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$81.00â–²(10.93% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/02/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying profitability and improving cash generation, balanced by persistent leverage and cash-flow variability. The earnings call added support via reaffirmed 2026 guidance and long-term growth targets tied to regulated investment execution, while technicals are constructive but show some near-term stretched signals and weaker longer-term trend positioning. Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Regulated investment growthThe substantial regulated investment pipeline provides a durable avenue for expanding the rate base and earnings. Execution across modernization, electrification, efficiency, and load-growth projects can support compounding utility revenue while preserving visibility through 2030.
Negative Factors
Elevated leveragePersistent leverage is typical of utilities but still reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to refinancing conditions. As PSEG funds a large capital program, elevated debt can pressure future earnings through higher interest expense and constrain options.

Public Service Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Income BreakdownAnalyzes the sources of profit, highlighting which business areas are most profitable and where there might be challenges impacting overall financial health.

-$3.00B-$2.00B-$1.00B$0.00$1.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

PSE&G delivers predictable, seasonal regulated earnings (notably strong in the March quarter), underpinning the company’s dividend and rate‑base growth thesis; by contrast PSEG Power is volatile and driven by one‑off regulatory/contract swings. Q1 operational gains — notably strong nuclear performance — have materially boosted Power recently, but the end of ZECs, LIPA contract changes and PJM/FERC timing create earnings lumpiness. Watch regulatory recoveries, GSMP timing and license/uprate approvals for signals on sustainability of recent upside versus recurring volatility.

Data provided by:The Fly

Public Service Enterprise (PEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%PEG-3.67%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$37.07B
Dividend Yield
3.55%
Average Volume (3M)
3.44M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.9
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
10.27%
EPS Growth
-15.18%
Country
US
Employees
13,189
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Electric

Public Service Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE...

How the Company Makes Money

PSEG primarily makes money through regulated utility revenues and, to a lesser extent, through other energy-related operations. The largest revenue stream is its regulated utility business, PSE&G, which earns revenues by delivering electricity (trans...

Public Service Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-1.71%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was positive overall. PSEG delivered solid operating performance, reaffirmed its 2026 earnings guidance and 6% to 8% long-term growth outlook, maintained substantial capital investment plans, reported strong nuclear availability, and highlighted multiple regulatory, transmission, large-load, and nuclear growth opportunities. These positives outweighed lower year-over-year net income, higher depreciation, interest and tax costs, the widened PJM basis differential, regulatory lag, and delays or uncertainty around certain market and development processes.

Positive Updates

Full-Year Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed
PSEG reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $0.76 per share and non-GAAP operating earnings of $1.15 per share, compared with $1.13 per share of non-GAAP operating earnings in the third quarter of 2025. Year-to-date 2026 results were $2.91 per share of net income and $3.56 per share of non-GAAP operating earnings. The company reaffirmed full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and its 5-year growth outlook of 6% to 8% through 2030.

Negative Updates

Year-Over-Year Net Income Decline
Third-quarter 2026 net income was $0.76 per share, down from $1.24 per share in the third quarter of 2025. PSEG Power and Other reported a net loss of $130 million, compared with net income of $107 million in the prior-year quarter.

Company Guidance

PSEG reaffirmed full year 2026 non GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and PSEG's 5-year growth outlook of 6% to 8% through 2030; it is on track to execute its full year 2026 regulated capital investment plan of approximately $4.2 billion and is maintaining its 5-year regulated capital investment plan of $22.5 billion to $25.5 billion through 2030, which supports a 6% to 7.5% rate base CAGR over the same period. The company expects to introduce PSEG's 2027 non GAAP operating earnings guidance, roll forward its capital investment plan, and update its rate base and long-term earnings CAGRs during its 26 year end call in February 2027, while Ralph LaRossa said investors should still be thinking somewhere around the midpoint of the $4.28 to $4.40 per share range.

Public Service Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is solid with a clear recovery from 2021’s loss and healthy recent returns on equity, but the balance sheet carries persistent leverage (~1.4x debt-to-equity) and cash flow has been inconsistent across years despite a strong TTM free cash flow rebound.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.54B12.17B10.29B11.24B9.80B9.72B
Gross Profit10.71B8.40B3.54B4.83B2.60B3.00B
EBITDA4.52B4.84B4.04B5.09B2.85B814.00M
Net Income2.01B2.11B1.77B2.56B1.03B-648.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.81B57.58B54.64B50.74B48.72B49.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.00M135.00M125.00M54.00M465.00M818.00M
Total Debt24.68B24.37B22.89B20.41B20.44B19.63B
Total Liabilities41.48B40.59B38.53B35.26B34.99B34.56B
Stockholders Equity17.33B16.98B16.11B15.48B13.73B14.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.99B325.00M-1.25B481.00M-1.39B-983.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.59B2.37B2.13B3.81B1.50B1.74B
Investing Cash Flow-3.37B-2.85B-3.31B-2.96B-1.10B-2.24B
Financing Cash Flow-298.00M490.00M1.23B-1.26B-754.00M799.00M

Public Service Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price73.02

Price Trends

50DMA71.11Positive
100DMA74.53Negative
200DMA77.01Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.85Negative
RSI65.66Neutral
STOCH96.87Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.89, above the 50-day MA of 71.11, and below the 200-day MA of 77.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PEG.

Public Service Enterprise Risk Analysis

Public Service Enterprise disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Public Service Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Item 1. Legal proceedingsQ2, 2026

Public Service Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

PEG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PEGPEG69Neutral$37.03B20.9510.24%3.55%10.27%-15.18%
EXCEXC67Neutral$47.65B18.078.95%3.57%6.67%-7.99%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
EDED64Neutral$42.99B19.368.90%2.96%9.50%10.40%
FEFE63Neutral$27.16B22.959.41%3.82%12.20%-9.94%
PPLPPL62Neutral$26.83B21.268.53%3.12%6.73%26.95%
ESES51Neutral$25.82B18.028.91%4.48%7.75%66.25%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%PEGEDEXCFEESPPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PEG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PEGPublic Service Enterprise74.38-4.73-5.98%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.118.4823.6624.96%
EXCExelon Corp.46.451.713.83%
FEFirstEnergy Corp47.633.267.35%
ESEversource Energy69.55-1.01-1.43%
PPLPPL Corporation36.141.032.92%

Public Service Enterprise Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

PSEG Reports Third Quarter 2026 Earnings and Operating Metrics

Neutral
Nov 2, 2026

The release concerned PSEG and PSE&G, energy businesses whose presentation referenced nuclear generation, transmission, distribution, and wholesale power and natural-gas markets. On November 2, 2026, PSEG held an earnings call covering results fo...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

PSEG Highlights Q2 2026 Results and Risk Management

Neutral
Aug 4, 2026

On August 4, 2026, PSEG held an earnings call to discuss financial results for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2026, supported by a detailed second-quarter results presentation. Management emphasized the use of non-GAAP metrics such a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2026