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Public Service Enterprise (PEG) AI Stock Analysis

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PEG

Public Service Enterprise

(NYSE:PEG)

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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$79.00â–²(8.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is driven primarily by solid but not pristine financial quality: strong profitability recovery is offset by high leverage and uneven/softening free cash flow. Technicals are constructive (positive momentum, trading above key short-term averages) but appear overbought. Valuation is mixed—an attractive dividend yield is counterbalanced by a higher P/E—while the latest earnings call was supportive due to reaffirmed guidance and long-term growth/capex visibility despite rate and regulatory/PJM headwinds.

Positive Factors
Regulated rate-base growthPSEG’s large regulated investment program creates a visible pathway for rate-base expansion and future earnings growth. Spending on modernization, electrification, efficiency, and load growth can support approved cost recovery and returns over several years, strengthening the durability of its utility franchise.
Negative Factors
High and rising leveragePSEG’s rising debt and consistently elevated leverage reduce financial flexibility as capital requirements remain substantial. Greater borrowing increases sensitivity to refinancing conditions and interest expense, potentially constraining investment choices or dividend growth if operating performance weakens.

Public Service Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Income BreakdownAnalyzes the sources of profit, highlighting which business areas are most profitable and where there might be challenges impacting overall financial health.

-$3.00B-$2.00B-$1.00B$0.00$1.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

PSE&G is the steady, regulated earnings engine—seasonal March peaks and consistent utility cash flow that underpin funding for the hefty CapEx plan—while PSEG Power remains the volatile swing business. Power moved from multi‑hundred‑million losses (post‑ZEC era) toward much smaller swings, but GAAP earnings remain exposed to refunds, market price timing and potential RTO incentive loss; management leans on strong nuclear output, capacity clears and PJM/transmission benefits to offset those headwinds and steady consolidated results.

Data provided by:The Fly

Public Service Enterprise (PEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%PEG-8.61%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$36.29B
Dividend Yield
3.63%
Average Volume (3M)
3.38M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.5
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
12.54%
EPS Growth
-15.18%
Country
US
Employees
13,189
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Electric

Public Service Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE...

How the Company Makes Money

PSEG primarily makes money through regulated utility revenues and, to a lesser extent, through other energy-related operations. The largest revenue stream is its regulated utility business, PSE&G, which earns revenues by delivering electricity (trans...

Public Service Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-1.99%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was positive overall. PSEG delivered solid operating performance, reaffirmed its 2026 earnings guidance and 6% to 8% long-term growth outlook, maintained substantial capital investment plans, reported strong nuclear availability, and highlighted multiple regulatory, transmission, large-load, and nuclear growth opportunities. These positives outweighed lower year-over-year net income, higher depreciation, interest and tax costs, the widened PJM basis differential, regulatory lag, and delays or uncertainty around certain market and development processes.

Positive Updates

Full-Year Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed
PSEG reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $0.76 per share and non-GAAP operating earnings of $1.15 per share, compared with $1.13 per share of non-GAAP operating earnings in the third quarter of 2025. Year-to-date 2026 results were $2.91 per share of net income and $3.56 per share of non-GAAP operating earnings. The company reaffirmed full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and its 5-year growth outlook of 6% to 8% through 2030.

Negative Updates

Year-Over-Year Net Income Decline
Third-quarter 2026 net income was $0.76 per share, down from $1.24 per share in the third quarter of 2025. PSEG Power and Other reported a net loss of $130 million, compared with net income of $107 million in the prior-year quarter.

Company Guidance

PSEG reaffirmed full year 2026 non GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share and PSEG's 5-year growth outlook of 6% to 8% through 2030; it is on track to execute its full year 2026 regulated capital investment plan of approximately $4.2 billion and is maintaining its 5-year regulated capital investment plan of $22.5 billion to $25.5 billion through 2030, which supports a 6% to 7.5% rate base CAGR over the same period. The company expects to introduce PSEG's 2027 non GAAP operating earnings guidance, roll forward its capital investment plan, and update its rate base and long-term earnings CAGRs during its 26 year end call in February 2027, while Ralph LaRossa said investors should still be thinking somewhere around the midpoint of the $4.28 to $4.40 per share range.

Public Service Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (72) shows a solid post-2021 profitability recovery, but recent TTM revenue (-~1.6%) and margin softening reduce momentum. Balance sheet (64) reflects consistently high and rising debt (~$25.8B TTM; debt-to-equity ~1.3–1.5), limiting flexibility. Cash flow is the main drag (55) with volatile and recently weaker free cash flow, a key watch item for funding capex/dividends without added leverage.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.34B12.17B10.29B11.24B9.80B9.72B
Gross Profit11.44B8.40B3.54B4.83B2.60B3.00B
EBITDA4.16B4.84B4.04B5.09B2.85B814.00M
Net Income1.77B2.11B1.77B2.56B1.03B-648.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.32B57.58B54.64B50.74B48.72B49.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments837.00M135.00M125.00M54.00M465.00M818.00M
Total Debt25.77B24.37B22.89B20.41B20.44B19.63B
Total Liabilities42.95B40.59B38.53B35.26B34.99B34.56B
Stockholders Equity17.36B16.98B16.11B15.48B13.73B14.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B325.00M-1.25B481.00M-1.39B-983.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.26B2.37B2.13B3.81B1.50B1.74B
Investing Cash Flow-3.53B-2.85B-3.31B-2.96B-1.10B-2.24B
Financing Cash Flow773.00M490.00M1.23B-1.26B-754.00M799.00M

Public Service Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price72.81

Price Trends

50DMA71.10Positive
100DMA74.48Negative
200DMA76.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.80Negative
RSI55.29Neutral
STOCH81.57Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.94, above the 50-day MA of 71.10, and below the 200-day MA of 76.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEG.

Public Service Enterprise Risk Analysis

Public Service Enterprise disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Public Service Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Item 1. Legal proceedingsQ2, 2026

Public Service Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

PEG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
EXCEXC67Neutral$48.07B17.708.95%3.65%6.67%-7.99%
PEGPEG66Neutral$37.07B20.5110.24%3.63%12.54%-15.18%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
EDED65Neutral$43.66B19.098.90%3.01%9.50%10.40%
FEFE63Neutral$27.57B22.749.41%3.86%12.20%-9.94%
PPLPPL62Neutral$27.20B21.008.53%3.16%6.73%26.95%
ESES51Neutral$26.20B17.888.91%4.51%7.75%66.25%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%PEGEDEXCFEESPPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PEG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PEGPublic Service Enterprise72.81-4.40-5.70%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.116.8123.7825.57%
EXCExelon Corp.45.500.982.21%
FEFirstEnergy Corp47.193.277.43%
ESEversource Energy69.03-0.66-0.95%
PPLPPL Corporation35.710.481.37%

Public Service Enterprise Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

PSEG Reports Third Quarter 2026 Earnings and Operating Metrics

Neutral
Nov 2, 2026

The release concerned PSEG and PSE&G, energy businesses whose presentation referenced nuclear generation, transmission, distribution, and wholesale power and natural-gas markets. On November 2, 2026, PSEG held an earnings call covering results fo...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

PSEG Highlights Q2 2026 Results and Risk Management

Neutral
Aug 4, 2026

On August 4, 2026, PSEG held an earnings call to discuss financial results for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2026, supported by a detailed second-quarter results presentation. Management emphasized the use of non-GAAP metrics such a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026