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Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO)
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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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PECO

Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(10.53% Upside)
Phillips Edison & Company scores well due to strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting increased guidance and robust leasing metrics. However, the high P/E ratio and concerns about slower NOI growth and potential interest rate impacts moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The company's robust revenue growth indicates effective market positioning and demand for its grocery-anchored shopping centers, supporting long-term financial stability.
High Occupancy Rates
High occupancy rates reflect strong demand for PECO's retail spaces, ensuring steady rental income and enhancing financial predictability.
Low Leverage
Low leverage enhances PECO's financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and reducing risk in volatile market conditions.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow may limit PECO's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities or manage unexpected expenses, potentially affecting long-term growth.
Increased G&A Expenses
Rising G&A expenses could pressure profit margins, necessitating increased revenue to maintain profitability, impacting long-term financial health.
Potential Interest Rate Exposure
Exposure to rising interest rates may increase borrowing costs, affecting cash flow and profitability, posing a risk to financial performance.

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhillips Edison & Company (PECO) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership and management of grocery-anchored shopping centers across the United States. The company focuses on retail properties that are strategically located in densely populated areas, providing essential goods and services. PECO's core offerings include property leasing, asset management, and strategic development, catering to both national and local retailers.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhillips Edison & Company generates revenue primarily through the leasing of retail spaces within its grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company earns rental income from long-term leases with tenants, which often include supermarkets, drugstores, and various service-oriented retailers. Additionally, PECO benefits from percentage rents, where tenants pay a portion of their sales as rent, especially during high-performing periods. Other revenue streams include property management fees and income generated from the sale of non-core assets. The company's strong relationships with national retailers and its focus on high-traffic locations contribute to its financial stability and growth. Furthermore, strategic partnerships and joint ventures can enhance its portfolio and expand its reach in the retail market.

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, with increased guidance, strong leasing metrics, and a robust financial position. However, there were some concerns about slower same-center NOI growth, higher G&A expenses, and potential impacts from changing interest rates.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Guidance for 2025
PECO increased its guidance for NAREIT and core FFO per share, with midpoints representing a 6.8% and 6.6% growth, respectively.
Strong Leasing Performance
The company reported record-high comparable renewal rent spreads of 23.2% and comparable new leasing rent spreads of 24.5%.
High Occupancy Rates
Portfolio occupancy remained high at 97.6%, with anchor occupancy at 99.2%.
Substantial Acquisitions
Year-to-date gross acquisitions amounted to $376 million, with $96 million of assets acquired since June 30.
Robust Financial Position
The company has approximately $977 million of liquidity and no meaningful maturities until 2027.
Negative Updates
Moderate Same-Center NOI Growth
The forecast for 2025 reflects a same-center NOI growth between 1-2%, lower than previous years due to difficult comparisons with 2024.
Increased G&A Expenses
Guidance for G&A expenses was increased, attributed to performance-based incentive compensation and investments in technology and resources.
Potential Interest Rate Exposure
With swap expirations in November and December, the company could see an increase in floating rate debt, potentially affecting interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During Phillips Edison & Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its guidance, indicating strong financial performance and growth expectations. The firm increased its guidance for full-year 2025 NAREIT and core FFO per share, with midpoints reflecting a growth of 6.8% and 6.6%, respectively. The company highlighted its portfolio's strength, with 70% of ABR derived from necessity-based goods and services, providing predictable cash flows. PECO reported high retention rates of 94% and strong leasing spreads, with renewal rent spreads at 23.2% and new leasing rent spreads at 24.5%. Occupancy rates remained robust at 97.6%. Year-to-date gross acquisitions at PECO share reached $376 million, with a focus on acquisitions yielding returns above 9%. The company maintained a net debt to trailing twelve-month adjusted EBITDAR ratio of 5.3 times and has $977 million in liquidity to support its acquisition plans. PECO reaffirmed its guidance for 2025 same-center NOI growth at 3.35% at the midpoint and anticipated long-term same-center NOI growth of 3-4% annually. The company plans to recycle lower IRR properties into higher IRR properties to drive earnings growth and expects to sell $50 million to $100 million of assets in 2025, with a more active pipeline for 2026.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phillips Edison & Company exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet shows a moderate level of leverage, but the company maintains a stable capital structure. There is room for improvement in net profit margins and return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Phillips Edison & Company shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.31%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, including a gross profit margin of 71.26% and an EBITDA margin of 64.39% for the TTM. However, the net profit margin is relatively modest at 9.91%, indicating room for improvement in net income efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 3.00%, indicating potential for improved profitability. The equity ratio stands at 43.45%, reflecting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 93.90% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 14.02, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 64.68% further underscores strong cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue823.60M661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M498.02M
Gross Profit618.60M471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M343.51M
EBITDA414.72M410.97M380.33M355.62M322.15M298.95M
Net Income86.17M62.69M56.85M48.32M15.12M4.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.86B5.05B4.87B4.74B4.67B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.08M12.30M4.87M5.48M115.53M104.30M
Total Debt117.32M2.23B2.08B2.01B2.00B2.39B
Total Liabilities2.68B2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B2.66B
Stockholders Equity2.28B2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow200.93M239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M146.61M
Operating Cash Flow336.09M334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M210.58M
Investing Cash Flow-508.63M-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M-44.09M
Financing Cash Flow169.02M58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M-129.66M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.38
Price Trends
50DMA
34.47
Negative
100DMA
34.33
Negative
200DMA
34.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
47.61
Neutral
STOCH
32.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.07, below the 50-day MA of 34.47, and below the 200-day MA of 34.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.31B42.323.47%4.23%14.67%-5.17%
73
Outperform
$7.52B18.939.18%5.93%4.82%-5.18%
73
Outperform
$8.07B24.4111.36%4.09%6.07%-0.28%
72
Outperform
$4.71B55.783.62%3.65%10.58%37.97%
69
Neutral
$4.78B34.774.71%4.85%3.67%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
$4.67B-19.00%4.02%4.53%40.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
34.04
-3.49
-9.30%
ADC
Agree Realty
72.34
1.67
2.36%
MAC
Macerich
17.70
-0.89
-4.79%
NNN
NNN REIT
39.82
0.65
1.66%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
22.07
-3.74
-14.49%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.36
-0.84
-3.09%

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Phillips Edison & Co. Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO) recently held its earnings call, presenting a generally positive outlook. The company showcased increased guidance, strong leasing metrics, and a robust financial position. However, some concerns were raised regarding slower same-center NOI growth, higher G&A expenses, and potential impacts from changing interest rates.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison & Co. Reports Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced its third quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025, reporting a net income of $24.7 million, or $0.20 per diluted share. The company also increased its full-year earnings guidance, reflecting a strong demand for grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company reported a 6.8% year-over-year growth in Nareit FFO and a 6.6% growth in Core FFO, with a strong leased portfolio occupancy of 97.6%. The company executed leases with record-high rent spreads and continued its acquisition strategy, acquiring $21.9 million in assets during the quarter and $74.2 million in assets subsequent to the quarter end.

The most recent analyst rating on (PECO) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phillips Edison & Company stock, see the PECO Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Phillips Edison & Company Increases Monthly Dividends
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced a 5.7% increase in its monthly dividend distributions for October and November 2025, reflecting the company’s continued strong operating performance and cash flow growth. This marks the fifth consecutive annual increase in dividend distributions, highlighting PECO’s ability to deliver solid growth and create long-term value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PECO) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phillips Edison & Company stock, see the PECO Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Phillips Edison Announces August 2025 Dividend Distribution
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced that its Board of Directors approved a monthly dividend distribution of $0.1025 per share for August 2025, payable on September 3, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 15, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and maintaining its position as a leading player in the grocery-anchored shopping center industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (PECO) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phillips Edison & Company stock, see the PECO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025