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Ranpak Holdings Corp. Class A (PACK)
:PACK
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Ranpak Holdings (PACK) AI Stock Analysis

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PACK

Ranpak Holdings

(NYSE:PACK)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-0.90% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance challenges, including declining revenue growth and profitability issues. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic partnerships and growth in automation, but regional challenges persist. Technical analysis shows a positive short-term trend, while valuation remains weak due to negative profitability metrics.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership Expansion
The expanded partnership with Walmart enhances Ranpak's market reach and strengthens its position in the packaging industry, providing a durable revenue stream and potential for increased automation solutions adoption.
Automation Revenue Growth
Strong growth in automation revenue indicates a successful strategic focus on automation solutions, which can drive long-term revenue growth and operational efficiencies.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Efforts to improve operational efficiency through organizational realignment and cost reductions can enhance margins and profitability over the long term.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Persistent profitability challenges, as indicated by negative margins, can hinder Ranpak's ability to reinvest in growth and sustain long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Difficulties
Weak cash flow generation limits Ranpak's financial flexibility and ability to invest in strategic initiatives, posing a risk to long-term growth.
Challenges in Europe and APAC
Ongoing challenges in key international markets like Europe and APAC can impact overall revenue growth and market expansion efforts, limiting global competitiveness.

Ranpak Holdings (PACK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ranpak Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRanpak Holdings is a leading provider of environmentally sustainable packaging solutions, specializing in paper-based packaging systems. The company operates primarily in the sectors of protective packaging and automated packaging solutions, offering a range of products that include paper cushioning systems, void-fill solutions, and custom packaging designs. With a focus on reducing plastic waste, Ranpak aims to provide innovative and sustainable alternatives for businesses looking to enhance their packaging processes while minimizing their environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyRanpak generates revenue through the sale of its packaging systems and materials, which include both equipment and consumables. Key revenue streams include the sale of machinery for producing paper-based packaging solutions, ongoing sales of paper consumables used in these systems, and service agreements for maintenance and support of their equipment. Additionally, the company collaborates with various industries, including e-commerce, retail, and logistics, to develop customized packaging solutions that meet specific customer needs. Strategic partnerships with distributors and manufacturers also enhance its market reach and contribute to steady revenue growth.

Ranpak Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant achievements such as strategic partnerships with Walmart and Medline, and strong growth in North America and automation, these were partially offset by challenges in Europe and Asia Pacific, a decline in gross profit, and a lowered cash balance forecast. The overall sentiment reflects cautious optimism with strong growth potential tempered by current regional challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnership with Walmart
Ranpak entered into a strategic and economic partnership with Walmart, potentially resulting in up to $700 million in spend over 10 years. This includes $100 million for automation equipment and $600 million for PPS products.
Enterprise Sales Agreement with Medline
Ranpak secured a multiyear enterprise sales agreement with Medline to provide Decision Tower and right-sizing solutions to 14 distribution centers.
Automation Revenue Growth
Automation revenue increased 56% on a constant currency basis, with expectations to achieve $40 million to $45 million for the year.
North America Growth
Sales in North America increased by 10.9%, driven by a 140% increase in automation revenue and solid performance from large e-commerce accounts.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins improved to 34.5% from 31.3% in Q2 due to margin enhancement initiatives.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe and Asia Pacific
Volumes in Europe and Asia Pacific were down 2.5% compared to last year, impacting overall performance due to a challenging operating environment and destocking activities.
Gross Profit Decline
Gross profit declined 3.8% on a constant currency basis, although excluding depreciation, it increased 3.2%.
Lower Year-End Cash Balance Forecast
The year-end cash balance forecast was lowered to $65 million to $70 million, down from previous expectations due to lower sales in Europe and APAC.
Company Guidance
During the Ranpak Holdings Q3 earnings call, the company outlined significant growth and strategic partnerships, notably with Walmart and Medline. The Walmart agreement includes a potential $700 million spend over 10 years, translating to $300 million in automation and PPS products, excluding paper costs. This deal could lead to $1 billion in revenue from Walmart and Amazon over 8-10 years. Ranpak reported a 4.4% increase in consolidated net revenue for the quarter, with North American sales up 10.9%, driven by automation revenue growing 140%. In contrast, European and Asia Pacific volumes declined by 2.5%. Automation revenue surged 56% on a constant currency basis, with expectations to reach $40-$45 million for the year. Adjusted EBITDA increased 3.5% on a constant currency basis. The company anticipates ending the year with $65-$70 million in cash, despite a lower sales environment in Europe. For the long term, Ranpak targets $800 million in revenue within five years, with automation comprising 15%, and aims for an EBITDA margin above 25%.

Ranpak Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ranpak Holdings faces challenges across its financial statements, with declining revenue growth and profitability issues impacting the income statement. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but struggles with generating shareholder returns. Cash flow analysis highlights significant declines in free cash flow, indicating potential liquidity concerns. Overall, the company needs to address profitability and cash flow generation to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ranpak Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -2.26% in the TTM period. The company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. Gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 36.44%, but the negative net profit margin of -10.64% highlights ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative at -7.30%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -676.47% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.13, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. Despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97, the overall cash flow position is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue388.10M368.90M336.30M326.50M383.90M298.20M
Gross Profit126.40M139.80M123.30M99.60M148.90M122.60M
EBITDA47.50M66.10M55.40M31.70M91.10M68.30M
Net Income-39.60M-21.50M-27.10M-41.40M-2.80M-23.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.10B1.12B1.13B1.21B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.90M76.10M62.00M62.80M103.90M48.50M
Total Debt432.10M431.20M428.80M399.00M411.10M433.20M
Total Liabilities591.80M556.10M550.70M520.70M577.20M610.60M
Stockholders Equity537.80M548.10M572.00M612.80M636.20M522.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.50M8.30M-2.70M-44.70M-1.40M30.60M
Operating Cash Flow10.10M41.40M52.60M700.00K54.30M63.80M
Investing Cash Flow-35.40M-32.50M-52.40M-37.50M-69.80M-34.50M
Financing Cash Flow-1.20M1.80M-1.80M-4.50M72.00M-1.60M

Ranpak Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.55
Price Trends
50DMA
5.22
Negative
100DMA
4.62
Positive
200DMA
4.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
47.77
Neutral
STOCH
31.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PACK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.26, above the 50-day MA of 5.22, and above the 200-day MA of 4.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PACK.

Ranpak Holdings Risk Analysis

Ranpak Holdings disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ranpak Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ranpak Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$657.26M23.609.92%3.10%0.26%78.05%
70
Outperform
$5.42B13.7040.42%2.17%-1.22%-0.76%
64
Neutral
$5.05B10.0416.24%2.67%-3.93%-27.37%
63
Neutral
$4.01B4,193.816.39%5.19%8.31%-99.39%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.97B-10.92%-2.82%65.31%
52
Neutral
$445.50M-12.04-6.68%9.54%-81.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PACK
Ranpak Holdings
5.10
-1.81
-26.19%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
16.13
-12.45
-43.56%
MYE
Myers Industries
17.82
6.11
52.18%
OI
O-I Glass
13.07
0.07
0.54%
SEE
Sealed Air
37.33
2.61
7.52%
SON
Sonoco Products
40.65
-7.76
-16.03%

Ranpak Holdings Corporate Events

Ranpak Holdings’ Earnings Call: Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Class A’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, blending optimism with caution. The company celebrated significant achievements, such as strategic partnerships with Walmart and Medline, and robust growth in North America and automation sectors. However, these positive developments were tempered by challenges in Europe and Asia Pacific, a decline in gross profit, and a reduced cash balance forecast. Overall, the sentiment reflected cautious optimism, with strong growth potential moderated by current regional challenges.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Ranpak Holdings Corp., a leader in environmentally sustainable packaging solutions, operates in the e-commerce and industrial supply chain sectors, offering product protection and automation solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ranpak Holdings Enters Agreement with Walmart for Shares
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Ranpak Holdings Corp. and Walmart Inc. entered into a Transaction Agreement, allowing Walmart to acquire up to 22,500,000 shares of Ranpak’s common stock through a warrant. The agreement outlines that the shares will vest over time based on Walmart’s spending with Ranpak, with a significant portion expected to be allocated to Automation Solutions. The warrant, which expires in 2035, does not grant Walmart voting rights until exercised, and includes anti-dilution adjustments and registration rights.

The most recent analyst rating on (PACK) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ranpak Holdings stock, see the PACK Stock Forecast page.

Ranpak Holdings’ Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Growth Potential
Aug 7, 2025

Ranpak Holdings Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed outlook for the company. While the firm continues to see volume growth and advancements in its automation segment, challenges persist with declining gross margins and profitability, primarily due to increased input costs and market uncertainties in Europe and APAC. However, strategic cost reductions and a new product launch are anticipated to drive improvements in the latter half of the year.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Ranpak Holdings Corp., a key player in the sustainable packaging industry, specializes in providing environmentally friendly product protection and automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains. The company recently released its second quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing a mixed performance in a challenging economic environment.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ranpak Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

Ranpak Holdings Corp reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 6.8% increase in net revenue year over year to $92.3 million, despite a net loss of $7.5 million compared to a net income of $5.5 million in the prior year. The company continues to face challenges with lower volumes in Europe and APAC, and higher production costs in North America, but remains optimistic about the second half of the year due to cost reduction initiatives and a robust automation backlog, expecting substantial growth and improved financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (PACK) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ranpak Holdings stock, see the PACK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025