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Oxford Industries
(NYSE:OXM)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▼(-23.91% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/16/26
OXM scores in the mid-range primarily due to deteriorating financial performance (sharp revenue decline and losses) partially offset by positive free cash flow and balance-sheet support. Technicals are weak with the stock below key moving averages and negative MACD. The high dividend yield helps the valuation profile, while the latest earnings call was mixed—highlighting margin/cash flow improvements and debt reduction but also lowered guidance and prolonged brand-level challenges (notably Lilly Pulitzer).
Positive Factors
Gross-margin improvement
Gross-margin expansion from assortment, sourcing and pricing changes indicates better unit economics, while a higher DTC mix can preserve more retail value. If maintained, these actions can strengthen profitability even while demand remains uneven.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deterioration
The sharp revenue contraction and swing to operating and net losses indicate that strong gross margin is not currently translating into adequate earnings. Persistent pressure at this level could reduce reinvestment capacity and weaken returns if recovery takes longer than expected.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross-margin improvement
Gross-margin expansion from assortment, sourcing and pricing changes indicates better unit economics, while a higher DTC mix can preserve more retail value. If maintained, these actions can strengthen profitability even while demand remains uneven.
Read all positive factors
Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$403.22M
Dividend Yield10.71%
Average Volume (3M)590.47K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth-1.80%
EPS Growth-112.70%
CountryUS
Employees6,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.47
Shares Outstanding14,978,274
10 Day Avg. Volume592,064
30 Day Avg. Volume590,470
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.15
Price to Book (P/B)1.07
Price to Sales (P/S)0.37
P/FCF Ratio48.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.70
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.74
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.17
Enterprise Value/Ebitda19.05
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$35.25Price Target Upside-4.21% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)2.47
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.46B
Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OII) operates globally as a lifestyle apparel and accessories enterprise, engaged in the development, procurement, promotion, and sale of various branded products. Its portfolio includes several distinct labels: Tommy Baha...
How the Company Makes Money
Oxford Industries generates revenue primarily from selling branded apparel and related products through two main routes: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) and (2) wholesale. In DTC, the company sells products at retail prices via its brand e-commerce s...
Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call was mixed. Oxford delivered adjusted EPS growth, meaningful gross margin expansion, improved Johnny Was profitability, strong operating cash flow, and substantial debt reduction in the second quarter. However, persistent Lilly Pulitzer assortment and marketing issues, softer sales across several businesses, cautious consumer demand, and materially lower full-year sales and EPS guidance weighed on the outlook.Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth and Results Within Expectations
Second-quarter results were within expectations, with year-over-year adjusted EPS growth and a low single-digit comparable sales gain at Tommy Bahama.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Sales and Comparable Sales Decline
Second-quarter consolidated net sales were $394 million, down from $403 million in the prior year. Company comparable sales declined 1%, including a 3% decrease in retail sales and flat e-commerce sales.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth and Results Within Expectations
Second-quarter results were within expectations, with year-over-year adjusted EPS growth and a low single-digit comparable sales gain at Tommy Bahama.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For fiscal 2026, the company expects a low single-digit negative comp for the total company and sales between $1.43 billion and $1.47 billion, or a decline of 3% to relatively flat, with low single-digit decreases in direct-to-consumer channels, a high single-digit decrease in wholesale, and a low double-digit increase in food and beverage; the plan includes a sales decrease in Lilly Pulitzer and Johnny Was, partially offset by a sales increase in Tommy Bahama and growth in the Emerging Brands, while Tommy Bahama comps are expected to be slightly positive for the year. Excluding tariff refund-related impact, gross margin is expected to increase approximately 50 basis points for the year and approximately 100 basis points in both Q3 and Q4 fiscal '26, SG&A is expected to grow in the low single-digit range, royalties and other income are expected to be approximately $2 million, interest expense is expected to be $6 million, the tax rate is expected to be between 27% and 28%, and adjusted EPS guidance is $1.60 to $2 versus adjusted EPS of $2.11 last year. Q3 sales are expected to be $280 million to $300 million, based on a mid-single-digit negative to low single-digit negative comp assumption and relatively flat wholesale sales, with gross margin expected to expand approximately 100 basis points, SG&A to grow in the low single-digit range, royalty income of approximately $3 million, interest expense of $1 million, an effective tax rate of approximately 24%, and adjusted loss per share between $1.40 and $1.20; Q4 includes a comp assumption of relatively flat to slightly positive. Capital expenditures for the year are expected to be approximately $60 million.Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.47B | 1.48B | 1.52B | 1.57B | 1.41B | 1.14B |
| Gross Profit | 932.84M | 897.74M | 954.57M | 995.59M | 888.86M | 706.22M |
| EBITDA | 57.05M | 34.62M | 186.91M | 145.05M | 266.38M | 205.44M |
| Net Income | -6.81M | -27.89M | 92.97M | 60.70M | 165.74M | 131.32M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.30B | 1.31B | 1.29B | 1.10B | 1.19B | 957.64M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.02M | 8.13M | 9.47M | 7.60M | 8.83M | 209.75M |
| Total Debt | 524.09M | 563.44M | 449.18M | 337.58M | 413.58M | 260.76M |
| Total Liabilities | 734.78M | 794.12M | 667.25M | 536.93M | 632.39M | 449.98M |
| Stockholders Equity | 564.48M | 514.84M | 622.56M | 560.91M | 556.27M | 507.66M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 52.13M | 11.31M | 59.80M | 170.19M | 78.94M | 166.11M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 137.40M | 119.65M | 194.03M | 244.28M | 125.61M | 198.01M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -85.22M | -108.40M | -143.27M | -83.98M | -151.75M | -181.57M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -50.00M | -12.89M | -48.61M | -161.17M | -11.53M | -38.17M |
Oxford Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
36.80
Price Trends
29.82
Negative
33.52
Negative
35.61
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.82
Negative
44.29
Neutral
53.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.26, above the 50-day MA of 29.82, and above the 200-day MA of 35.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXM.
Oxford Industries Risk Analysis
Oxford Industries disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Oxford Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $22.66B | 23.66 | 35.64% | 1.00% | 14.68% | 26.22% | |
72 Outperform | $1.22B | 8.86 | 7.53% | 1.41% | -8.74% | -22.98% | |
70 Outperform | $4.10B | 15.51 | 45.96% | 2.82% | 15.62% | 6.80% | |
68 Neutral | $152.23M | 19.93 | 14.48% | ― | 8.02% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $403.22M | -55.43 | -1.28% | 10.71% | -1.80% | -112.70% | |
53 Neutral | $3.99B | -23.47 | -3.49% | 0.18% | 1.64% | -140.84% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
OXM
Oxford Industries
26.05
-11.54
-30.70%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
28.44
0.38
1.35%
PVH
PVH
83.59
-2.90
-3.36%
RL
Ralph Lauren
380.66
47.90
14.40%
VNCE
Vince Holding
11.76
8.81
298.64%
KTB
Kontoor Brands
75.07
-8.41
-10.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.