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Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM)
:OXM
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Oxford Industries
(NYSE:OXM)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(16.42% Upside)
Oxford Industries' overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance, particularly in profitability, despite challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted both challenges and positive developments, contributing to a balanced outlook. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum.
Positive Factors
Brand Strength
Lilly Pulitzer's strong sales and innovative product launches indicate robust brand strength, supporting long-term growth and customer loyalty.
Emerging Brands Growth
Growth in emerging brands suggests successful market expansion and diversification, enhancing Oxford Industries' competitive position.
Tariff Mitigation
Effective tariff mitigation strategies help sustain margins and demonstrate management's ability to navigate challenging economic conditions.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in net sales reflects challenges in maintaining growth momentum, potentially impacting future revenue streams and market share.
Gross Margin Contraction
Gross margin contraction due to tariffs indicates pressure on profitability, which could affect long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses due to employment and occupancy costs may strain operational efficiency, affecting overall profitability and cash flow.
Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$625.76M
Dividend Yield6.46%
Average Volume (3M)503.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.4
Beta (1Y)0.79
Revenue Growth-3.52%
EPS Growth96.95%
CountryUS
Employees6,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.26
Shares Outstanding14,867,158
10 Day Avg. Volume446,495
30 Day Avg. Volume503,798
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.27
Price to Book (P/B)2.11
Price to Sales (P/S)0.87
P/FCF Ratio21.97
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.69
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.70
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.12
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.19
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$48.40Price Target Upside14.99% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering7
Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionOxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes products of lifestyle and other brands worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; women's and girl's dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as footwear and children's apparel and swimwear under the Lilly Pulitzer brand; and men's shirts, pants, shorts, outerwear, ties, swimwear, footwear, and accessories, as well as women and youth products under the Southern Tide brand. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes premium childrenswear, including bonnets, hats, apparel, swimwear, and accessories through thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com and wholesale specialty retailers; men's apparel, which include pants, shorts, and tops through duckhead.com and wholesale specialty retailers. In addition, the company licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, distilled spirits, and other products; Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear; and Southern Tide trademark for bed and bath product. Oxford Industries, Inc. offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 186 brand-specific full-price retail stores; 21 Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and 35 Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOxford Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded apparel and accessories, which are marketed through a combination of wholesale distribution and direct-to-consumer channels, including retail stores and e-commerce platforms. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio of well-established brands that appeal to a range of consumer demographics. Key revenue streams include wholesale sales to department stores and specialty retailers, direct sales from company-owned retail locations, and online sales through its websites. Partnerships with various retailers and a strong presence in the e-commerce space significantly contribute to its earnings. Additionally, seasonal collections and limited-edition releases help to drive consumer interest and boost sales.
Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook with significant challenges such as declining sales in key segments, gross margin contraction due to tariff costs, and increased expenses. However, there were positive developments, notably in the Lilly Pulitzer brand, successful tariff mitigation efforts, and growth in emerging brands. The sentiment is balanced by the ongoing challenges and the company's proactive measures to address them.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Lilly Pulitzer Positive Comparable Sales
Lilly Pulitzer posted positive direct-to-consumer total comparable sales, building on strong engagement from the first quarter. The brand's innovative product developments and Vintage Vault launch exceeded expectations.
Emerging Brands Group Revenue Growth
Emerging Brands Group showed solid revenue growth from new stores and positive comp store sales despite a challenging environment.
Effective Tariff Mitigation
Significant progress in mitigating tariff exposure through supply chain shifts and early product delivery, helping to maintain gross margins despite increased tariffs.
Boracay Island Chino Success
The launch of the Boracay Island chino at a higher price point saw high sell-through rates across direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels.
Negative Updates
Overall Sales Decline
Consolidated net sales were $403 million, down from $420 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, with full-price brick-and-mortar locations and wholesale channel sales declining by 6%.
Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was Sales Decline
Tommy Bahama experienced a high single-digit negative comp, while Johnny Was saw a low double-digit negative comp, leading to sales declines in both segments.
Gross Margin Contraction
Adjusted gross margin contracted by 160 basis points to 61.7%, driven by $9 million in increased costs from tariffs.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Adjusted SG&A expenses increased 5% to $224 million due to rising employment costs, occupancy costs, and depreciation expenses from new store openings.
Higher Inventory Levels
Inventory increased by $27 million or 19% due to accelerated inventory purchases and increased costs from tariffs.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Adjusted effective tax rate increased to 29.6% due to discrete items and stock-based awards vesting.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Oxford Industries, Inc. reported net sales of $403 million, falling within their guidance range of $395 million to $415 million, but down from $420 million in the prior year. The company saw a modestly positive low single-digit total company comp sales quarter-to-date, with Lilly Pulitzer achieving positive direct-to-consumer comparable sales, while Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was faced challenges. The adjusted gross margin contracted by 160 basis points to 61.7% due to increased tariffs costing approximately $9 million, while adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses rose by 5% to $224 million. The company ended the quarter with adjusted earnings per share of $1.26 and provided a full-year net sales guidance between $1.475 billion and $1.515 billion, reflecting a slight decline compared to fiscal 2024. Oxford Industries anticipates gross margin contraction of about 200 basis points for the full year, primarily due to tariffs, and expects fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS to be between $2.80 and $3.20.Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Oxford Industries demonstrates robust profitability with a strong gross profit margin but faces challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation. Operational efficiencies have decreased, and moderate leverage is noted on the balance sheet. The decline in free cash flow warrants attention.Income Statement
Oxford Industries shows a steady financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 62.8% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a net profit margin of 5.3% TTM. While revenue growth has faced challenges, particularly a revenue decline from $1.57 billion in 2024 to $1.52 billion TTM, the company maintains solid profitability metrics, though a decrease in EBIT margin from 5.1% TTM compared to 7.5% in 2024 highlights some operational efficiency issues.72
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Oxford Industries indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92 TTM, reflecting an increase from 0.60 in 2024. The equity ratio stands at 44.2% TTM, suggesting a reasonable level of financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 13.6% TTM, showing a slight decline, which might be a concern for long-term investors.65
Positive
Cash Flow
Oxford Industries' cash flow statement highlights a significant reduction in free cash flow from $59.8 million in 2024 to $11.4 million TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.94 TTM, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow prompts caution.68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.51B | 1.52B | 1.57B | 1.41B | 1.14B | 748.83M |
| Gross Profit | 948.50M | 954.57M | 995.59M | 888.86M | 706.22M | 415.21M |
| EBITDA | 171.09M | 186.91M | 145.05M | 266.38M | 205.44M | -83.76M |
| Net Income | 80.78M | 92.97M | 60.70M | 165.74M | 131.32M | -95.69M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.34B | 1.29B | 1.10B | 1.19B | 957.64M | 865.63M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 8.18M | 9.47M | 7.60M | 8.83M | 209.75M | 66.01M |
| Total Debt | 542.77M | 449.18M | 337.58M | 413.58M | 260.76M | 300.85M |
| Total Liabilities | 747.28M | 667.25M | 536.93M | 632.39M | 449.98M | 459.91M |
| Stockholders Equity | 592.42M | 622.56M | 560.91M | 556.27M | 507.66M | 405.73M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 11.40M | 59.80M | 170.19M | 78.94M | 166.11M | 54.93M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 157.17M | 194.03M | 244.28M | 125.61M | 198.01M | 83.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -154.59M | -143.27M | -83.98M | -151.75M | -181.57M | -34.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.94M | -48.61M | -161.17M | -11.53M | -38.17M | -35.85M |
Oxford Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
42.09
Price Trends
43.12
Negative
45.58
Negative
55.79
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.29
Positive
45.24
Neutral
8.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.75, below the 50-day MA of 43.12, and below the 200-day MA of 55.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXM.
Oxford Industries Risk Analysis
Oxford Industries disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Oxford Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $18.90B | 24.90 | 31.59% | 1.11% | 9.61% | 21.14% | |
73 Outperform | $4.18B | 9.73 | 9.63% | 0.17% | -1.14% | -29.30% | |
72 Outperform | $1.15B | 6.77 | 11.53% | ― | 1.19% | 1.62% | |
70 Outperform | $3.72B | 22.25 | 8.41% | 1.55% | -1.88% | -5.94% | |
69 Neutral | $625.76M | 11.39 | 9.33% | 6.46% | -3.52% | 96.95% | |
67 Neutral | $2.88B | 13.40 | 13.59% | 2.28% | 0.81% | 4.86% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
OXM
Oxford Industries
42.09
-37.87
-47.36%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
52.64
-30.22
-36.47%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
27.35
-3.10
-10.18%
PVH
PVH
86.78
-10.69
-10.97%
RL
Ralph Lauren
311.97
122.33
64.51%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
9.10
-0.04
-0.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.