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NextCure Inc (NXTC)
NASDAQ:NXTC
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NextCure (NXTC) AI Stock Analysis

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NXTC

NextCure

(NASDAQ:NXTC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(11.49% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance: no revenue, ongoing losses, and sustained cash burn with a rapidly shrinking equity cushion. Corporate events add both upside (transformative merger and large financing) and notable risk (extreme dilution for legacy holders and reverse-split legal uncertainty). Technicals are only moderately supportive, and valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Merger funding and pipeline expansion
The planned Avere combination would provide substantial development capital and replace NextCure’s narrow oncology focus with a funded oral IL-23 program. Access to financing through multiple clinical milestones could support continued execution and extend the development runway.
Negative Factors
No commercial revenue base
Persistent zero revenue and sizable losses show that NextCure has not established a commercial product base capable of funding operations. Without operating sales, financial performance remains dependent on pipeline progress, collaborations, or external capital rather than recurring business cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Merger funding and pipeline expansion
The planned Avere combination would provide substantial development capital and replace NextCure’s narrow oncology focus with a funded oral IL-23 program. Access to financing through multiple clinical milestones could support continued execution and extend the development runway.
Read all positive factors

NextCure (NXTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextCure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NextCure, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical firm dedicated to discovering and advancing innovative immunotherapies. Its core mission is to combat cancer and various other immune-related conditions by reactivating normal immune system func...
How the Company Makes Money
NextCure has historically generated revenue primarily through collaboration and licensing arrangements rather than product sales, as it is a clinical-stage company without broad commercialized therapeutics. Under such arrangements, revenue typical...

NextCure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains weak: no revenue across 2021–2025 and TTM, continued sizable net losses (TTM ~-$42.7M), and persistent cash burn (TTM operating/FCF ~-$50.3M). Leverage is modest (debt-to-equity ~0.30 TTM), but the equity base has eroded sharply (to ~$12.1M TTM), increasing financing and dilution risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-283.00K-2.19M-2.87M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-41.30M-53.66M-54.34M-59.04M-70.61M-65.14M
Net Income-42.75M-55.84M-55.65M-62.72M-74.73M-69.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.62M50.18M80.86M128.04M184.16M242.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.09M41.82M68.62M108.30M159.91M219.59M
Total Debt4.29M5.15M5.95M6.61M7.12M0.00
Total Liabilities10.47M15.24M15.39M13.62M16.63M9.00M
Stockholders Equity12.15M34.94M65.47M114.42M167.53M233.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.98M-49.61M-41.28M-53.79M-56.00M-59.60M
Operating Cash Flow-36.98M-49.61M-40.80M-52.97M-53.89M-57.24M
Investing Cash Flow25.79M25.56M55.31M39.27M67.98M36.60M
Financing Cash Flow21.56M22.31M144.00K154.00K200.00K-3.27M

NextCure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.83
Price Trends
50DMA
6.25
Positive
100DMA
5.08
Positive
200DMA
8.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
63.92
Neutral
STOCH
94.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.64, below the 50-day MA of 6.25, and below the 200-day MA of 8.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXTC.

NextCure Risk Analysis

NextCure disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextCure reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NextCure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$50.62M-0.55239.78%―-62.78%-10.46%
50
Neutral
$47.61M-1.33-166.98%――55.37%
46
Neutral
$32.87M-0.68-175.46%――59.14%
45
Neutral
$13.77M-0.06-443.08%――75.09%
43
Neutral
$16.20M-2.02-56.96%―-56.64%64.88%
41
Neutral
$9.79M-0.18-1539.97%――80.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXTC
NextCure
7.18
0.83
13.07%
GTBP
GT Biopharma
6.68
-11.76
-63.77%
MRKR
Marker Therapeutics
0.97
-0.05
-4.80%
CELU
Celularity
1.56
-0.48
-23.53%
HOWL
Werewolf Therapeutics
0.98
-0.65
-39.94%
SNTI
Senti Biosciences
0.31
-1.37
-81.31%

NextCure Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
NextCure Faces Court Review of Reverse Stock Split
Negative
Sep 25, 2026
On September 14, 2026, NextCure petitioned the Delaware Court of Chancery under Section 205 of the DGCL to validate a July 10, 2025 Certificate of Amendment authorizing a 1-for-12 reverse stock split, which had been approved at the June 20, 2025 a...
Business Operations and Strategy
NextCure Ends Beltsville Lease to Cut Operating Costs
Positive
Sep 3, 2026
On August 28, 2026, NextCure, Inc. entered into a ninth amendment to its lease for approximately 29,864 square feet of laboratory and office space at 8000 Virginia Manor Road in Beltsville, Maryland, covering its remaining premises at that site. U...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
NextCure Announces Transformative All-Stock Merger With Avere
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, NextCure and privately held Avere Therapeutics agreed to an all-stock merger that will combine Avere’s differentiated oral IL-23 program with NextCure’s public listing, with the combined entity to operate as Avere The...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026