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Noble Corporation (NE)
NYSE:NE
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Noble Corporation (NE) AI Stock Analysis

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NE

Noble Corporation

(NYSE:NE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(10.18% Upside)
Noble Corporation's overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance with some challenges, strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, and a positive earnings call highlighting strategic growth and operational excellence. The valuation is slightly high, but the attractive dividend yield provides a compensating factor.
Positive Factors
Increased Backlog
An increased backlog of $7 billion indicates strong demand for Noble's services, ensuring revenue stability and growth potential over the coming years.
Operational Excellence
Operational excellence in key regions like Guyana and the U.S. Gulf enhances Noble's reputation and competitive advantage, supporting long-term client retention and contract wins.
Positive Market Outlook
A positive market outlook with improved deepwater contracting trends suggests a favorable environment for Noble's growth and sustained demand for its high-specification rigs.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Decreasing net profit margins indicate challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact Noble's ability to reinvest in operations and manage debt effectively.
Sequential Revenue Decline
Sequential revenue decline suggests potential volatility in earnings, which could affect investor confidence and the company's financial planning.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Challenges in free cash flow growth may limit Noble's ability to fund new projects, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders, impacting long-term financial health.

Noble Corporation (NE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Noble Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNoble Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore drilling contractor for the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company provides contract drilling services to the oil and gas industry through its fleet of mobile offshore drilling units. As of February 16, 2022, it operated a fleet of 20 offshore drilling units, which included 12 floaters and 8 jackups. The company was formerly known as Noble Holding Corporation plc. Noble Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNoble Corporation generates revenue primarily through day rates charged for the use of its drilling rigs and related services. The company enters into contracts with oil and gas companies for the leasing of its drilling units, which can range from short-term contracts to long-term agreements spanning several years. Key revenue streams include the utilization of its high-specification offshore rigs, which are in demand due to the ongoing exploration activities in deepwater regions. Additionally, Noble may also earn revenue from providing supplemental services, such as crew training and equipment maintenance. Significant partnerships with major oil producers enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to multi-year contracts that ensure steady cash flow. Market dynamics, including oil prices and demand for offshore drilling capabilities, also play a crucial role in influencing the company's earnings.

Noble Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Noble Corporation reported strong financial performance and successful integration efforts but faced challenges with near-term market softness and reduced revenue guidance. Despite these challenges, the company has a positive outlook for future demand in key regions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Noble Corporation reported strong financial results with adjusted EBITDA of $282 million and free cash flow of $107 million for Q2 2025.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $80 million to shareholders through a $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, with a total capital return of over $1.1 billion since Q4 2022.
Successful Integration
Achieved $100 million synergy target from the Diamond acquisition ahead of schedule.
New Contracts and Backlog
Secured six new contracts and increased total backlog to $6.9 billion, with $2.8 billion in new contract value year-to-date.
Positive Market Outlook
Continued strength in South America, with potential for a rebound in West Africa and promising deepwater demand projected for late 2026 and 2027.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Market Softness
Pressure on day rates and near-term gaps in rig contracts due to macroeconomic uncertainties and softening demand in certain regions.
Reduced Revenue Guidance
Lowered full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion due to softer spot market and unexercised options.
Idle and Disposed Rigs
Several rigs are idle or being disposed of, including the Noble Globetrotter II and Noble Highlander, highlighting surplus cost burdens.
Soft North Sea Market
Muted market conditions in the North Sea and Norway, with fiscal and regulatory headwinds affecting jackup demand.
Company Guidance
During Noble Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the fiscal year, highlighting several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported strong financial results with an adjusted EBITDA of $282 million and free cash flow of $107 million for Q2. Despite lowering its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion, the company narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance to the upper end of its previous range, now set at $1.075 billion to $1.15 billion, driven by effective cost management. The company also emphasized its ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders, having returned $80 million through a $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, with a cumulative capital return exceeding $1.1 billion since Q4 2022. Noble achieved its $100 million synergy target from the Diamond acquisition ahead of schedule, focusing now on optimization. The company secured new contracts worth a total contract value of $2.8 billion year-to-date, contributing to a total backlog of $6.9 billion as of August 5. Looking ahead, Noble Corporation anticipates a sequential decline in adjusted EBITDA in Q3 due to contract rollovers and planned downtime but remains constructive on the long-term market, expecting a significant rebound starting in the second half of 2026.

Noble Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Noble Corporation demonstrates a solid financial position with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage, though the return on equity has declined. Cash flow metrics are particularly strong, highlighting effective cash management. While there are areas for improvement, particularly in net profit margins and return on equity, the company's financial health is generally positive.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Noble Corporation has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.73%. The gross profit margin has improved to 25.94% in the TTM, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 8.95% from 14.66% in the previous annual report, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.43, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has decreased to 6.64% in the TTM, down from 9.64% in the previous year, which may signal challenges in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Noble Corporation's cash flow performance is robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 49% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.27, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has improved, reflecting better cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.45B3.06B2.59B1.41B847.81M964.27M
Gross Profit807.24M836.55M743.75M305.44M-7.33M-25.53M
EBITDA1.12B1.02B765.95M381.10M34.63M-3.70B
Net Income226.73M448.35M481.90M168.95M352.21M-3.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.64B7.96B5.51B5.23B2.07B4.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments477.95M247.30M360.79M476.21M194.14M365.03M
Total Debt1.98B1.98B611.87M672.77M216.00M6.91M
Total Liabilities3.11B3.31B1.59B1.63B572.82M4.58B
Stockholders Equity4.53B4.65B3.92B3.61B1.50B-311.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow392.33M80.16M164.76M106.67M-162.87M124.31M
Operating Cash Flow900.77M655.48M574.34M280.99M6.17M273.20M
Investing Cash Flow-388.90M-959.02M-366.51M375.77M193.45M-121.52M
Financing Cash Flow-432.45M188.08M-325.79M-367.77M-367.94M107.44M

Noble Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.95
Price Trends
50DMA
28.82
Positive
100DMA
28.10
Positive
200DMA
26.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
56.15
Neutral
STOCH
76.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.89, above the 50-day MA of 28.82, and above the 200-day MA of 26.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NE.

Noble Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$4.02B14.7112.23%18.78%-72.57%
$4.85B15.854.92%8.35%24.34%-59.48%
$2.52B-1.19%3.95%25.92%-109.50%
$1.92B26.542.60%-13.36%-82.21%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$2.41B-4.00%4.73%-16.59%83.95%
$4.13B-2.03-14.99%23.26%-284.22%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NE
Noble Corporation
29.95
0.59
2.01%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
25.32
-7.15
-22.02%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
6.26
-1.22
-16.31%
RIG
Transocean
3.75
-0.23
-5.78%
VAL
Valaris
56.50
7.71
15.80%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
30.97
-6.93
-18.28%

Noble Corporation Corporate Events

Noble Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Outlook
Oct 29, 2025

Noble Corporation PLC is a prominent offshore drilling contractor in the oil and gas industry, known for its modern and versatile fleet that focuses on ultra-deepwater and high-specification jackup drilling opportunities worldwide. In its third quarter of 2025 earnings report, Noble Corporation announced a net loss of $21 million, despite securing approximately $740 million in new contract value, which increased its backlog to $7 billion. The company declared a $0.50 per share cash dividend for Q4, contributing to a total shareholder capital return of $340 million for 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Noble Corporation Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

Noble Corporation announced its third quarter 2025 results, reporting a net loss of $21 million and adjusted EBITDA of $254 million. The company declared a $0.50 per share cash dividend for Q4, bringing total shareholder returns for 2025 to $340 million. Noble secured approximately $740 million in new contracts, increasing its backlog to $7.0 billion. Despite a decrease in rig utilization, Noble’s recent contract wins and backlog expansion position it well for a potential recovery in deepwater utilization by late 2026 or early 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (NE) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Noble Corporation stock, see the NE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Noble Corporation CEO Presents at Energy Conference
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Noble Corporation‘s CEO, Robert W. Eifler, presented at the Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference. The presentation is part of Noble’s ongoing efforts to engage with stakeholders and provide updates on its strategic direction and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NE) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Noble Corporation stock, see the NE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Noble Corporation’s Chief Accounting Officer Resigns
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Jennifer Yeung announced her resignation as Chief Accounting Officer of Noble Corporation, effective September 19, 2025. Her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Following her exit, Richard Barker, the Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily take on the additional role of principal accounting officer until a replacement is found.

The most recent analyst rating on (NE) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Noble Corporation stock, see the NE Stock Forecast page.

Noble Corporation’s Earnings Call: Strong Results Amid Market Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Noble Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic success, despite some short-term market challenges. The company reported strong financial performance and successful strategic initiatives, including achieving synergy targets and securing significant contract value. While acknowledging some near-term market softness and regional challenges, Noble remains optimistic about a medium-term market recovery, projecting a demand rebound by late 2026. The company’s disciplined focus on cost management and fleet optimization underscores its strategic approach to navigating current market conditions.

Noble Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Noble Corporation PLC is a leading offshore drilling contractor in the oil and gas industry, known for its modern and versatile fleet that operates in ultra-deepwater and high specification jackup drilling opportunities worldwide. In its second quarter of 2025 earnings report, Noble announced new contract awards worth approximately $380 million, bringing its backlog to $6.9 billion. The company declared a cash dividend of $0.50 per share for Q3, contributing to over $1.1 billion returned to shareholders since late 2022.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Noble Corporation Reports Q2 Results and New Contracts
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Noble Corporation announced its second quarter results, reporting a net income of $43 million and a backlog of $6.9 billion. The company declared a $0.50 per share dividend for Q3, reflecting over $1.1 billion returned to shareholders since Q4 2022. Despite a decrease in revenue and net income compared to the previous quarter, Noble has secured approximately $380 million in new contracts, including significant deals in the U.S. Gulf and Papua New Guinea. The company updated its 2025 guidance, reducing total revenue expectations but increasing adjusted EBITDA and capital expenditures due to recent long-term contract awards. The sale of certain assets, including the Pacific Scirocco and Pacific Meltem, was completed, and additional sales are planned, indicating strategic asset management amid market volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (NE) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Noble Corporation stock, see the NE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025