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Helmerich & Payne (HP)
NYSE:HP
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Helmerich & Payne (HP) AI Stock Analysis

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HP

Helmerich & Payne

(NYSE:HP)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(30.16% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
HP scores highest on cash flow strength and a conservative balance sheet, supported by a generally upbeat earnings call with improved guidance and clear efficiency/deleveraging initiatives. Offsetting these positives are weakened TTM profitability (net losses) and valuation uncertainty from a negative P/E, while technically the trend is strong but indicators suggest the stock is overbought in the near term.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow ($799M) and materially higher free cash flow ($404M, +57.8% TTM) create durable internal funding. This supports maintenance capex, the base dividend, debt paydown and opportunistic investments, improving resilience through oilfield cycles and enabling strategic execution without sole reliance on external capital.
Negative Factors
TTM revenue decline and net loss
A material TTM revenue drop (-15.2%) and a negative net margin indicate weakened core profitability versus recent upcycles. Negative ROE signals equity returns under pressure, which can constrain reinvestment and raise stakeholder scrutiny. Sustained margin recovery is required to restore historical return levels and durable earnings power.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow ($799M) and materially higher free cash flow ($404M, +57.8% TTM) create durable internal funding. This supports maintenance capex, the base dividend, debt paydown and opportunistic investments, improving resilience through oilfield cycles and enabling strategic execution without sole reliance on external capital.
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Helmerich & Payne (HP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Helmerich & Payne Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Helmerich & Payne, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, provides specialized drilling services and innovative solutions to businesses involved in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The company's operations are strategically organ...
How the Company Makes Money
HP makes money mainly by contracting its drilling rigs and associated services to oil and gas operators under drilling contracts. Its core revenue stream is dayrate-based rig revenue: customers pay a contracted daily rate (or similar time-based pr...

Helmerich & Payne Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial wins — higher revenue (+11% sequential), beat on adjusted EBITDA ($236M), robust free cash flow ($98M), notable NAS margin expansion and rig reactivations, offshore outperformance, and accelerating momentum in Argentina and geothermal. Management also laid out a concrete deleveraging and cost-reduction plan (targeting 1.0x net debt/EBITDA, $40M annual corporate cost savings, and $160M+ asset-sale proceeds). Offsetting these positives are continuing geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East that have delayed some reactivations, lumpy performance bonus timing, and the fact that reported EPS included a material one-time gain (adjusted EPS would be a loss). On balance, the highlights and forward-looking initiatives outweigh the lowlights, though some execution and geopolitical risks remain.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Company generated revenues of over $1.0 billion, up 11% sequentially in the fiscal third quarter.
Negative Updates
Middle East Conflict Disruption
Ongoing Middle East conflict caused operational disruption and uncertainty: rigs in Iraq and some in Bahrain were suspended earlier; reactivation timeline in Saudi slower than planned (5–7 rigs reactivated at differing points), creating variability in international outcomes and wider guidance ranges.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Company generated revenues of over $1.0 billion, up 11% sequentially in the fiscal third quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided fiscal fourth-quarter North America Solutions direct margins of $245–$255 million on an expected 145–151 rigs (upgrading full‑year average rig count to 140–144), International Solutions to average 60–70 rigs with direct margins of $25–$45 million (targeting at least a $45 million quarterly run rate), and Offshore to average 30–35 management contracts/operating rigs with Q4 direct margins of $26–$30 million (offshore full‑year margin guidance upgraded to $113–$117 million); they kept full‑year CapEx guidance at $270–$310 million (anchored by ~ $250 million maintenance CapEx and $50 million sustaining CapEx annually), raised cash tax expectations to $150–$180 million, affirmed a ~ $100 million/year base dividend, and reiterated targets to cut corporate costs by $40 million/year by end of 2027, monetize >$160 million of assets by fiscal 2027, and drive net debt/EBITDA toward ~1.0x (after repaying a $400 million term loan and targeting retirement of a $350 million bond), while noting Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $236 million, Q3 free cash flow of $98 million and an implied ~5% sequential EBITDA improvement into Q4.

Helmerich & Payne Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are mixed: TTM revenue declined (-15.2%) and profitability weakened into a net loss (net margin -3.4%), but the balance sheet is conservative (very low reported debt) and cash generation is strong (operating cash flow $799M; free cash flow $404M, up sharply vs prior period). Low leverage and solid FCF support resilience despite cyclical earnings pressure.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
77
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.00B3.75B2.76B2.87B2.06B1.22B
Gross Profit419.17M553.50M729.04M775.01M229.19M-153.76M
EBITDA794.46M658.78M907.46M992.98M453.69M13.81M
Net Income-137.45M-165.09M344.17M434.10M6.95M-326.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.29B6.71B5.78B4.44B4.41B5.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.39M245.76M510.26M409.84M385.48M1.12B
Total Debt1.86B2.32B1.86B599.95M582.34M1.08B
Total Liabilities3.62B3.88B2.86B1.67B1.64B2.12B
Stockholders Equity2.57B2.72B2.92B2.77B2.77B2.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow315.29M116.58M189.59M438.22M-38.63M54.29M
Operating Cash Flow579.63M542.95M684.66M833.68M233.91M136.44M
Investing Cash Flow-81.71M-1.93B-458.75M-322.58M-167.31M-161.99M
Financing Cash Flow-471.99M66.66M986.51M-463.87M-734.30M425.52M

Helmerich & Payne Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.34
Price Trends
50DMA
35.69
Positive
100DMA
36.63
Positive
200DMA
33.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.49
Negative
RSI
78.40
Negative
STOCH
97.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.21, below the 50-day MA of 35.69, and above the 200-day MA of 33.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HP.

Helmerich & Payne Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$2.95B5.2327.73%2.64%19.33%110.30%
69
Neutral
$4.42B-31.94-5.27%2.83%16.57%-328.07%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$1.39B6.5236.75%6.05%
56
Neutral
$4.34B-52.95-2.82%3.53%-6.92%91.45%
55
Neutral
$3.59B29.486.08%2.02%2.29%-43.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HP
Helmerich & Payne
44.19
26.89
155.49%
NBR
Nabors Industries
93.86
62.13
195.81%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
12.13
7.00
136.59%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
89.10
46.66
109.93%
LBRT
Liberty Energy
21.29
10.69
100.83%

Helmerich & Payne Corporate Events

Dividends
Helmerich & Payne Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Payment
Positive
Jun 3, 2026
At a Board of Directors meeting held on June 3, 2026, Helmerich Payne, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be paid on September 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of bu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026