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Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR)
:NBR

Nabors Industries (NBR) AI Stock Analysis

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Nabors Industries

(NYSE:NBR)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▼(-11.72%Downside)
Nabors Industries faces critical financial challenges with high leverage and negative earnings, heavily impacting its stock score. The technical analysis also reflects a bearish trend, compounding the financial weaknesses. While strategic initiatives like the Parker acquisition offer potential upside, the overall outlook remains cautious due to persistent financial risks.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The Parker acquisition adds Quail Tools, a premier tubular rental franchise, while also adding some US and international rigs.
Financial Performance
NBR expects the acquisition to add $190mn of run-rate EBITDA, while being free cash flow accretive in year 1.
International Operations
Company has line of sight on projects for up to 50 rigs in Asia, Latin America, North Africa and the Mid East.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
4Q EBITDA misses by 2%, guides 1Q25 lower by 6%.
Market Sentiment
Investors remain skeptical about management's expectation to be FCF positive and reduce debt by $150mn in 2025.
US Operations Impact
Reducing 2025 EBITDA by 13% and 2026 by 8% due to lower contribution from US land operations.

Nabors Industries (NBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nabors Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNabors Industries Ltd. provides drilling and drilling-related services for land-based and offshore oil and natural gas wells. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Drilling, Canada Drilling, International Drilling, Drilling Solutions, and Rig Technologies. It provides tubular running, wellbore placement, directional drilling, measurement-while-drilling (MWD), equipment manufacturing, and rig instrumentation services; and logging-while-drilling systems and services, as well as drilling optimization software. The company also offers REVit, an automated real time stick-slip mitigation system; ROCKit, a directional steering control system; SmartNAV, a collaborative guidance and advisory platform; SmartSLIDE, an advanced directional steering control system; and RigCLOUD, which provides the tools and infrastructure to integrate applications to deliver real-time insight into operations across the rig fleet. In addition, it manufactures and sells top drives, catwalks, wrenches, drawworks, and other drilling related equipment, such as robotic systems and downhole tools; and provides aftermarket sales and services for the installed base of its equipment. As of December 31, 2021, the company marketed approximately 301 rigs for land-based drilling operations in the United States, Canada, and in 20 other countries worldwide; and 29 rigs for offshore platform drilling operations in the United States and internationally. Nabors Industries Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyNabors Industries generates revenue primarily through its drilling services, which include both land and offshore drilling operations. The company rents out its extensive fleet of drilling rigs to oil and gas producers, charging for the use of equipment and the accompanying personnel services. Key revenue streams include contract drilling services, rig leasing, and the sale of drilling-related technologies and automation solutions. Nabors also benefits from partnerships and collaborations that expand its market reach and technological capabilities, thereby contributing to its earnings by enhancing service offerings and operational efficiencies.

Nabors Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in the Parker acquisition and international growth, alongside challenges in operational efficiencies and geopolitical impacts. Despite some operational hurdles, the company is making progress on strategic initiatives and maintaining financial discipline.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Parker Wellbore Acquisition
Acquisition of Parker Wellbore completed, contributing $21.7 million in revenue and $7.8 million in EBITDA in the first quarter. The integration is on track to achieve $40 million in synergies for 2025.
International Drilling Growth
International segment revenue increased by $10.3 million (3%), with strong performance in key markets like Saudi Arabia and the SANAD joint venture. SANAD's adjusted EBITDA is projected to exceed $300 million in 2025.
Stable Rig Count in Lower 48
Lower 48 rig count ended the quarter at 62, and increased to 63 by the call date. Despite volatility, the market remained relatively stable.
Drilling Solutions Business Expansion
Drilling Solutions segment generated $46 million in EBITDA, benefiting from the Parker acquisition and geographic diversity.
Positive Cash Flow Management
Free cash flow was better than expected, with Nabors business consuming $61 million, lower than the anticipated $80-$90 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Lower 48 Market
Lower 48 daily rig margins declined by 4% due to increased churn and operational inefficiencies. Rig count fell to 58 at one point during the quarter.
Impact of US Sanctions on Russia Operations
Operations in Russia were suspended due to expanded US sanctions, affecting three rigs with marginal financial performance.
Operational Expenses and Market Pressures
Lower 48 market faced increased operational expenses and downward pressure on day rates, affecting overall profitability.
Reduced Activity in Certain International Markets
Decreased activity in markets like Mexico and Colombia due to political and economic factors, with two rigs released by the end of Q2.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Nabors Industries reported an adjusted EBITDA of $206 million, with significant contributions from their International Drilling segment and the recent acquisition of Parker Wellbore. The integration of Parker is on track to achieve $40 million in synergies for 2025. Despite challenges such as high turnover and operational inefficiencies, the company's Lower 48 rig count showed resilience, ending the quarter at 62 rigs with margins at $14,276 per day. Internationally, the SANAD joint venture in Saudi Arabia is poised for growth, projecting to earn over $300 million in adjusted EBITDA for the year, with plans to add 10 rigs across various regions in 2025. The company's focus remains on debt reduction and capturing value from their diversified portfolio amid market volatility.

Nabors Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nabors Industries exhibits financial instability with inconsistent revenue and persistent net losses. Although there are improvements in cost management, the high debt level and declining equity raise concerns about financial health.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Nabors Industries has experienced inconsistent revenue figures with significant volatility in net income. The gross profit margin has improved in the latest period, indicating better cost management. However, the company has struggled with achieving consistent net profitability, as evidenced by negative net income figures in recent years. Revenue growth has been erratic, pointing to instability in operational performance.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high level of debt relative to equity, which poses financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio remains elevated, suggesting potential leverage issues. Stockholders' equity has been declining, impacting the equity ratio negatively. This could indicate potential solvency concerns if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow statements reveal moderate operational cash flow, but free cash flow has diminished over time. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that the company generates cash despite net losses. However, free cash flow growth is weak, which could impact future liquidity and investment capacity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.93B3.01B2.65B2.02B2.13B
Gross Profit
554.31M570.31M322.69M37.27M-52.73M
EBIT
247.93M269.86M-747.85M-944.82M-1.17B
EBITDA
813.23M959.70M597.28M376.77M354.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-176.08M-50.25M-307.22M-543.71M-762.85M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
397.30M1.07B452.31M991.49M481.75M
Total Assets
4.50B5.28B4.73B5.53B5.50B
Total Debt
2.51B3.15B2.54B3.26B2.97B
Net Debt
2.12B2.09B2.09B2.27B2.50B
Total Liabilities
3.30B4.00B3.51B4.13B3.80B
Stockholders Equity
135.00M326.61M368.96M590.66M1.15B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
13.51M97.01M127.64M191.14M154.24M
Operating Cash Flow
581.43M637.86M501.09M428.78M349.76M
Investing Cash Flow
-555.46M-570.42M-368.71M-117.22M-165.46M
Financing Cash Flow
-662.05M592.59M-661.53M488.42M-148.00M

Nabors Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.62
Price Trends
50DMA
32.44
Negative
100DMA
42.59
Negative
200DMA
57.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.46
Positive
RSI
42.51
Neutral
STOCH
29.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.98, below the 50-day MA of 32.44, and below the 200-day MA of 57.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NBR.

Nabors Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.49B4.4912.75%-15.60%32.51%
HPHP
67
Neutral
$1.53B7.027.57%8.67%12.23%-37.06%
RIRIG
60
Neutral
$2.31B-6.65%24.47%-55.45%
60
Neutral
$418.79M8.705.17%14.63%19.15%15.37%
57
Neutral
$7.06B3.04-3.49%5.80%0.53%-50.39%
53
Neutral
$2.23B-24.93%5.59%5.82%-481.39%
NBNBR
41
Neutral
$417.92M-44.00%-0.94%-19.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NBR
Nabors Industries
26.62
-45.23
-62.95%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
15.40
-19.70
-56.13%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
5.78
-4.41
-43.28%
RIG
Transocean
2.61
-3.33
-56.06%
BORR
Borr Drilling
1.75
-4.83
-73.40%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
23.99
-26.81
-52.78%

Nabors Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Nabors Industries Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

Nabors Industries announced that its Chief Financial Officer, William Restrepo, will retire on September 30, 2025, after 11 years of service. Miguel Rodriguez, currently the Senior Vice President of Finance Operations, will succeed him. Restrepo has played a crucial role in the company’s success, including international expansion and significant financial restructuring. Rodriguez, who joined Nabors in 2019, is expected to continue this trajectory, having already contributed to the company’s financial operations and transformation.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nabors Industries Completes Acquisition of Parker Wellbore
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Nabors Industries completed its acquisition of Parker Wellbore, enhancing its leadership in drilling and related services. The acquisition is expected to strengthen Nabors’ Drilling Solutions business, expand its market reach, and provide immediate accretion to free cash flow. Nabors anticipates realizing $40 million in recurring synergies by the end of 2025 and expects Parker to contribute approximately $150 million in adjusted EBITDA annually. The acquisition also triggered a change of control provision in Parker’s Term Loan, requiring repayment or refinancing within 30 days.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.