Copa Holdings (CPAN) AI Stock Analysis
Copa Holdings
(BMV:CPAN)
No summary available
Copa Holdings (CPAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- MXN 5.30B
- Dividend Yield
- 4.76%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 72
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 8.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.14
- Revenue Growth
- 4.28%
- EPS Growth
- -10.08%
- Country
- Mexico
- Employees
- 8,565
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Copa Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 air...
Copa Holdings Earnings Call Summary
The call communicated robust top-line growth, meaningful operational strengths (high on-time performance and completion rates), strong balance sheet and active shareholder returns, alongside strategic enhancements (Starlink rollout, hub expansion and fleet flexibility). The primary negative was a sharp fuel cost increase (85% YoY) that compressed Q2 margins and led to only partial recovery of higher fuel expenses. Management reiterated cost discipline, provided an improved full-year margin outlook (17%–19%) and highlighted strong demand and booking trends, indicating confidence in returning to higher profitability as fuel moderates.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management updated 2026 guidance to an operating margin of 17–19% with capacity growth of 14–15% (ASMs), an assumed RASM of $0.12, ex‑fuel CASM of 5.7 cents and an all‑in jet fuel assumption of $3.60/gal; they expect an annual load factor of ~87% and H2 RASM growth of roughly +10% YoY. Balance‑sheet and cash metrics underpinning the outlook include ~$1.5B in cash (39% of LTM revenue), total debt of ~$2.7B, average cost of debt 3.7% and net debt/EBITDA of 0.9x, CapEx guidance of $700–750M, and continued shareholder returns (third quarterly dividend $1.71/sh and ~ $60M remaining on the buyback). Operational/bookings color: Q3 is ~75% booked, Q4 ~25% booked, July load factor ~90% on +16% capacity, and fleet activity includes one more 737 MAX‑8 this year with a larger delivery cadence into 2027.
Copa Holdings Risk Analysis
Copa Holdings disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Copa Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksCopa Holdings Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
LTM82Outperform
VLRS48Neutral
AERO45Neutral
AZUL43Neutral
AAL41Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | 82Outperform | $11.86B | 7.65 | 98.01% | 3.61% | 20.16% | 39.18% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
| VLRS | 48Neutral | $734.29M | -3.35 | -151.82% | ― | 18.55% | -248.20% |
| AERO | 45Neutral | $2.18B | -6.07 | 42.95% | ― | 9.55% | -83.46% |
| AZUL | 43Neutral | $771.43M | 659.09 | -0.38% | 1.00% | 12.03% | 46.01% |
| AAL | 41Neutral | $8.35B | -17.26 | 12.03% | ― | 12.32% | -179.51% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MX:CPAN | Copa Holdings S.A. | 2457.50 | 289.78 | 13.37% | |
| AAL | American Airlines Group Inc | 12.60 | -0.74 | -5.55% | |
| VLRS | Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV ADR Class A | 6.41 | -0.18 | -2.73% | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR | 42.38 | -1.90 | -4.29% | |
| AERO | Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. Unsponsored ADR | 14.96 | -5.39 | -26.49% | |
| AZUL | Azul S.A. Sponsored ADR | 4.00 | -476.39 | -99.17% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.