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MGIC Investment (MTG)
NYSE:MTG
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MGIC Investment (MTG) AI Stock Analysis

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MTG

MGIC Investment

(NYSE:MTG)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(13.06% Upside)
MGIC Investment's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its high score. The company's robust balance sheet, high profitability, and effective capital returns highlight its financial strength. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and potential challenges such as increased competition and higher operating expenses could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
MGIC's debt-free status and high equity ratio indicate financial stability and low risk, supporting long-term operational resilience and growth potential.
Effective Capital Management
Strong capital management through share repurchases and dividends enhances shareholder value and reflects confidence in future cash flow generation.
High Persistency and Insurance in Force
High persistency rates and stable insurance in force demonstrate MGIC's ability to maintain customer relationships and revenue streams over time.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Housing Market
The slowdown in home sales due to high interest rates could restrict MGIC's growth in new insurance policies, impacting long-term revenue potential.
Flat Investment Income
Flat investment income limits MGIC's ability to leverage its reserves for additional revenue, potentially affecting profitability and cash flow.
Potential Increase in Delinquency Rates
Rising delinquency rates could increase claims and reduce profitability, posing a risk to MGIC's financial stability and insurance portfolio quality.

MGIC Investment (MTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGIC Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services to lenders and government sponsored entities in the United States, Puerto Rico, and Guam. The company offers primary mortgage insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans, as well as covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and various expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure. It also provides contract underwriting services, as well as reinsurance. The company serves originators of residential mortgage loans, including savings institutions, commercial banks, mortgage brokers, credit unions, mortgage bankers, and other lenders. MGIC Investment Corporation was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyMGIC generates revenue primarily through the sale of mortgage insurance premiums. When a lender issues a mortgage that exceeds a certain loan-to-value ratio, they may require the borrower to obtain mortgage insurance to mitigate the risk of default. MGIC charges these lenders premiums for coverage, which can be collected as a one-time upfront payment or as monthly installments throughout the life of the loan. Additionally, MGIC earns income through investment returns on its reserves and capital, which are allocated to cover potential future claims. The company may also engage in reinsurance arrangements or partnerships with other financial institutions to share risk and enhance its offerings. The stability of MGIC's revenue model is significantly influenced by housing market conditions, interest rates, and regulatory changes affecting the mortgage industry.

MGIC Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MGIC reported strong financial results with significant capital returns and a record insurance in-force, showing leadership and stability. However, increased delinquency rates, higher operating expenses, and potential increased competition were noted as challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results
MGIC reported net income of $191 million and an annualized return on equity of 14.8%. Earnings per share increased to $0.83 from $0.77 in the same period last year.
Significant Capital Returns
MGIC returned $980 million of capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases over the last year, reducing outstanding shares by 12%.
Record Insurance In-Force
MGIC ended the quarter with over $300 billion of insurance in-force, an industry first and a significant milestone reflecting historical leadership in the market.
Reinsurance Program Enhancements
The reinsurance program reduced PMIERs required assets by $2.5 billion or approximately 43%, with additional transactions set to bolster future success.
Investment Income Stability
Investment income was $62 million with a book yield of 4%, remaining stable and contributing meaningly to revenue.
Negative Updates
Increased Delinquency Rate
Count-based delinquency rate increased by 11 basis points to 2.32%, with expectations of further increases due to seasonality and aging of book years.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses are expected to be towards the higher end of the $195 million to $205 million range due to pension settlement charges.
Potential Increased Competition
Discussion regarding potential new entrants into the MI space, which could lead to increased competition in the future.
Company Guidance
During MGIC Investment Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a robust set of financial metrics demonstrating its strong performance. MGIC reported a net income of $191 million and an annualized return on equity of 14.8% for the quarter. The company achieved a significant milestone with over $300 billion of insurance in-force, reflecting its leadership in the market. MGIC's book value per share increased by 11% to $22.87 compared to the previous year. In terms of capital return, the company returned $980 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reducing outstanding shares by 12%. The quarter also saw $188 million in share repurchases and a $0.15 per share dividend totaling $34 million. Over the last four quarters, the share repurchase totaled $786 million, and shareholder dividends totaled $132 million, marking a 122% payout of the net income. MGIC's reinsurance program reduced PMIERs required assets by approximately 43%, and the company maintained an in-force premium yield of 38.3 basis points. Operating expenses were $50 million for the quarter, with a full-year expectation to fall within the $195 million to $205 million range.

MGIC Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MGIC Investment exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and high profitability. The balance sheet reflects excellent stability with no debt as of 2024, enhancing financial security. Cash flow metrics indicate robust cash generation capabilities. However, the lack of EBIT and EBITDA metrics for the latest period slightly limits the evaluation of operational efficiency.
Income Statement
74
Positive
MGIC Investment showed robust revenue growth, increasing from $1,155.1 million in 2023 to $1,207.7 million in 2024. The company achieved a high net profit margin of 63.17% in 2024, indicating strong profitability. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA figures for 2024 limits the assessment of operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company's financial position is strong with a debt-free status as of 2024 and a high equity ratio of 88.34%, showing high stability and low financial risk. The return on equity in 2024 was 14.75%, which indicates effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
MGIC Investment reported a healthy free cash flow growth from $710.9 million in 2023 to $723.9 million in 2024, indicating strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was 0.95, demonstrating efficient conversion of income to cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22B1.21B1.16B1.17B1.19B1.20B
Gross Profit1.15B1.21B929.10M936.09M987.23M1.02B
EBITDA771.80M1.02B974.36M1.19B939.15M676.67M
Net Income762.61M762.99M712.95M865.35M634.98M446.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.49B6.55B6.54B6.21B7.33B7.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.89M6.08B363.67M327.38M284.69M287.95M
Total Debt645.40M644.67M643.20M662.81M1.15B1.24B
Total Liabilities1.33B1.36B1.47B1.57B1.15B1.24B
Stockholders Equity5.15B5.17B5.07B4.64B4.86B4.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow770.86M723.86M710.96M646.76M692.20M729.00M
Operating Cash Flow771.90M725.03M712.96M650.01M696.32M732.31M
Investing Cash Flow119.19M-142.00M-179.19M410.49M-160.75M-772.51M
Financing Cash Flow-880.01M-719.04M-496.04M-1.03B-527.29M167.82M

MGIC Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.42
Price Trends
50DMA
27.75
Negative
100DMA
27.18
Positive
200DMA
25.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
51.30
Neutral
STOCH
59.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.09, below the 50-day MA of 27.75, and above the 200-day MA of 25.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTG.

MGIC Investment Risk Analysis

MGIC Investment disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MGIC Investment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MGIC Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.27B8.1213.47%2.21%3.15%5.70%
$6.13B8.8214.40%1.97%2.20%9.90%
$4.60B8.5513.07%2.98%0.24%3.14%
$2.83B7.7316.91%9.99%11.47%
$5.97B8.8312.94%2.00%4.79%-0.76%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$6.37B13.439.28%3.47%25.99%426.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTG
MGIC Investment
27.42
4.39
19.06%
FAF
First American Financial
62.51
2.07
3.42%
RDN
Radian Group
33.94
2.77
8.89%
ESNT
Essent Group
60.57
7.58
14.30%
NMIH
NMI Holdings
36.43
-0.53
-1.43%
ACT
Enact Holdings
35.72
4.02
12.68%

MGIC Investment Corporate Events

MGIC Investment Corp: Steady Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 31, 2025

MGIC Investment Corporation is a holding company primarily engaged in providing private mortgage insurance through its subsidiary, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC), to lenders and government-sponsored entities in the United States. The company operates within the financial services sector, focusing on protecting lenders from losses due to borrower defaults on low down payment residential mortgage loans.

Executive/Board Changes
MGIC Investment Appoints New Board Members
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, MGIC Investment Corporation’s Board of Directors elected Martin P. Klein and Daniela A. O’Leary-Gill as new members. Mr. Klein, with extensive experience in financial roles at Athene Holdings LTD and Genworth Financial, joins the Risk Management and Securities Investment Committees. Ms. O’Leary-Gill, who has held senior roles at BMO Financial Group and Discover Financial Services, joins the Audit and Business Transformation & Technology Committees. On October 31, 2025, both will receive restricted stock units valued at $36,302.00 under the MGIC Investment Corporation Deferred Compensation Plan for Non-Employee Directors, reflecting a pro-rated annual grant for non-management directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTG) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MGIC Investment stock, see the MTG Stock Forecast page.

MGIC Investment Corp Reports Stable Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

MGIC Investment Corporation is a holding company primarily engaged in the mortgage insurance business through its subsidiary, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC). The company provides mortgage insurance to lenders and government-sponsored entities in the United States to protect against losses from defaults on low down payment residential mortgage loans. MGIC operates in the financial services sector and is known for its involvement in credit risk transfer programs with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

MGIC Investment Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Resilience Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

MGIC Investment Corp’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong financial performance and shareholder returns, but also acknowledging challenges in the housing market and limited growth in insurance in force. Despite these hurdles, MGIC’s robust capital management and favorable loss reserve development demonstrate the company’s resilience.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025