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Mesabi Shs (MSB) AI Stock Analysis

319 Followers
MSB

Mesabi Shs

(NYSE:MSB)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$23.50â–²(36.95% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:06/13/26

Overall score is held back primarily by volatile and internally inconsistent operating/cash-flow signals despite a strong, low-risk balance sheet. Technically, the stock remains in a weak trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A decent dividend supports valuation, but a higher P/E and event-driven royalty volatility temper the outlook.

Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance SheetThe absence of debt limits financial risk, interest obligations, and refinancing needs. A high equity share of assets also provides resilience through weaker iron ore cycles and preserves flexibility for ongoing trust distributions.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineRevenue contraction indicates that royalty receipts remain highly dependent on iron ore shipments, pricing, and lessee operating decisions. Sustained weakness in these drivers could reduce the trust’s distributable income and weaken its long-term earnings base.

Mesabi Shs (MSB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%MSB-48.47%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$225.14M
Dividend Yield
5.19%
Average Volume (3M)
45.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
34.7
Beta (1Y)
1.02
Revenue Growth
-87.62%
EPS Growth
-93.01%
Country
US
Employees
104
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Mesabi Shs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, engages in iron ore mining business in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is based in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Mesabi Trust makes money by earning royalties on iron ore produced and shipped from the mineral properties/lands subject to its lease. Its primary revenue stream is royalty income calculated under the lease terms (typically based on factors such as o...

Mesabi Shs Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength is a clear positive (zero debt and sizable equity vs. assets), but reported profitability and cash flow show high volatility and several extreme/inconsistent values (e.g., unusual margin levels and inconsistent cash-flow-to-profit coverage), reducing confidence in earnings quality and cash generation repeatability.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2024Jan 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.91M17.52M25.46M7.74M22.86M71.46M
Gross Profit9.61M17.00M98.27M7.34M22.61M71.17M
EBITDA6.49M13.87M93.27M7.55M18.54M70.99M
Net Income6.49M13.87M93.27M5.31M18.98M68.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.84M24.36M101.73M14.12M26.69M53.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.39M23.16M100.20M13.97M23.98M47.73M
Total Debt00023.56K1.96M4.63M
Total Liabilities2.25M3.95M78.40M2.68M5.72M23.12M
Stockholders Equity17.59M20.40M23.33M11.44M20.98M30.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.73M14.40M93.94M13.86M14.61M62.84M
Operating Cash Flow8.73M14.40M93.94M13.86M14.61M62.84M
Investing Cash Flow000009.91M
Financing Cash Flow-12.60M-91.45M-17.71M-47.63M-4.59M-37.52M

Mesabi Shs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price17.16

Price Trends

50DMA19.21Negative
100DMA21.48Negative
200DMA25.47Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.61Negative
RSI39.64Neutral
STOCH40.09Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.87, below the 50-day MA of 19.21, and below the 200-day MA of 25.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSB.

Mesabi Shs Risk Analysis

Mesabi Shs disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mesabi Shs reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The limited third party sales of iron ore products (processed at Northshore using Mesabi Trust iron ore) by Cliffs at prices below the annual adjusted bonus royalty threshold price eliminated a bonus royalty during the Trust's fiscal quarters ended April 30, 2026 and July 31, 2026, could continue to eliminate or reduce bonus royalties historically paid to the Trust and could result in potential disputes regarding the amount of royalties owed to the Trust.Q2, 2026
2.The limited arms'-length third-party sales of iron ore products (processed at Northshore using Mesabi Trust iron ore) by Cliffs at prices below the annual adjusted bonus royalty threshold price eliminated a bonus royalty during the Trust's fiscal quarter ended April 30, 2026, could continue to reduce or even eliminate bonus royalties historically paid to the Trust and could result in potential disputes regarding the amount of royalties owed to the Trust.Q1, 2026
3.The limited or lack of arms'-length third-party sales of iron ore products (processed at Northshore using Mesabi Trust iron ore) by Cliffs could lead to uncertainty under the Royalty Agreement with respect to the calculation of royalties, which could in turn result in potential disputes regarding the amount of royalties owed to the Trust.Q2, 2024

Mesabi Shs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MSB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GGBGGB63Neutral$8.23B15.385.06%3.67%10.25%4.20%
TXTX63Neutral$10.12B10.287.82%6.28%7.26%66.04%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
CLFCLF58Neutral$7.50B-14.89-8.14%―8.10%75.20%
MSBMSB58Neutral$225.93M34.6833.51%5.19%-87.62%-93.01%
MTMT54Neutral$48.99B47.451.91%0.93%3.25%-27.63%
SIDSID35Underperform$1.06B-2.33-18.55%―9.29%-26.44%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%MSBMTCLFGGBSIDTXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MSB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MSBMesabi Trust Shs17.16-16.49-49.01%
MTArcelorMittal64.2925.2564.66%
CLFCleveland-Cliffs13.072.1019.14%
GGBGerdau4.431.0530.95%
SIDCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional0.77-0.78-50.19%
TXTernium50.4515.3943.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2026