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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET
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Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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MET

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$90.00
ā–²(10.27% Upside)
MetLife's overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance with efficient cash flow management and a positive technical outlook. The strong earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives further bolster confidence in the company's future prospects. However, the decline in revenue growth and reliance on debt financing are notable risks. The valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced, providing a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Strong Sales Growth in Asia
The strong sales growth in Asia, driven by new product launches, enhances MetLife's market position and revenue potential in a key region, supporting long-term growth.
Effective Cost Management
Effective cost management indicates strong operational efficiency, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage over time.
Strategic Transactions
Strategic transactions expand MetLife's capabilities and market reach, potentially enhancing its competitive position and long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Decline in Adjusted Earnings
A decline in adjusted earnings indicates potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact long-term financial stability if not addressed.
Group Benefits Earnings Decrease
The decrease in Group Benefits earnings suggests issues in underwriting margins, which could affect the segment's future profitability and competitiveness.
Lower Variable Investment Income
Lower variable investment income reduces earnings visibility and could impact MetLife's ability to generate consistent investment returns, affecting financial performance.

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates through five segments: U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. The company offers life, dental, group short-and long-term disability, individual disability, pet insurance, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans; administrative services-only arrangements to employers; and general and separate account, and synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, as well as private floating rate funding agreements. It also provides pension risk transfers, institutional income annuities, structured settlements, and capital markets investment products; and other products and services, such as life insurance products and funding agreements for funding postretirement benefits, as well as company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to finance nonqualified benefit programs for executives. In addition, it provides fixed, indexed-linked, and variable annuities; and pension products; regular savings products; whole and term life, endowments, universal and variable life, and group life products; longevity reinsurance solutions; credit insurance products; and protection against long-term health care services. MetLife, Inc. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetLife generates revenue primarily through premiums collected from its insurance and annuity products. The company offers life insurance, health insurance, and retirement services, with premiums being a significant source of income. Additionally, MetLife earns investment income from the assets it holds, which include bonds, stocks, and real estate, as it invests the premiums received. Another revenue stream comes from fees for asset management services, particularly within its retirement and employee benefit segments. MetLife also engages in partnerships with employers to provide group insurance products, enhancing its distribution channels and customer reach. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand presence, diversified product offerings, and strategic acquisitions that expand its market footprint.

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted MetLife's strong performance in sales growth, effective cost management, and strategic transactions. However, there were challenges with a decline in adjusted earnings and issues in underwriting and investment margins. Despite these challenges, the company remains confident in its strategic direction and future growth prospects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth in Asia
Sales in Asia rose 9% on a constant currency basis, with notable increases of 29% in Japan and 36% in Korea, driven by new product launches.
Record Adjusted Return on Equity
MetLife achieved a quarterly adjusted return on equity of 14.6%, exceeding the cost of capital and approaching their mid-teen target range.
Effective Cost Management
The company achieved a quarterly direct expense ratio of 11.7%, surpassing its annual target of 12.1%, indicating strong expense discipline.
Successful Strategic Transactions
MetLife announced three strategic transactions: acquisition of PineBridge Investments, formation of Chariot Re with a $10 billion reinsurance deal, and a risk transfer deal with Talcott Financial Group.
Consistent Capital Return to Shareholders
MetLife repurchased nearly $16 billion of shares since 2021, reducing its share count by more than 240 million and maintaining a high cash buffer above its target range.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted Earnings
Adjusted earnings fell by 16% year-over-year, driven by less favorable underwriting and lower investment margins.
Group Benefits Earnings Decrease
Group Benefits adjusted earnings dropped by 25% from the previous year due to less favorable underwriting margins across life and non-medical health products.
Lower Variable Investment Income
Variable investment income in Q2 2025 was below the quarterly guidance, affecting overall earnings visibility.
Challenges in Non-Medical Health Claims
Elevated claims were noted in non-medical health products, with significant impacts from a small number of large disability claims.
Company Guidance
During the MetLife Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed insights into its financial performance and strategic initiatives. MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.4 billion, or $2.02 per share, despite experiencing less favorable underwriting and investment margins. The company achieved a quarterly adjusted return on equity of 14.6% and a direct expense ratio of 11.7%, surpassing its annual target. MetLife returned around $900 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. In business segment highlights, Group Benefits recorded adjusted earnings of $400 million, while Retirement and Income Solutions posted $368 million, with the latter seeing 6% growth in total liability exposures. The Asia segment saw adjusted earnings of $350 million, with strong sales growth in Japan and Korea. Latin America matched its all-time quarterly high with $233 million in adjusted earnings. MetLife also made strategic moves, including a partnership with Workday and the launch of Chariot Re, alongside successfully executing capital management strategies, repurchasing $2 billion in shares year-to-date.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MetLife demonstrates a stable financial foundation with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. However, the significant decline in revenue growth and reliance on debt financing pose potential risks. The company should focus on reversing the negative revenue trend and enhancing equity levels to strengthen its financial position further.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MetLife's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 44.5%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 27% and a net profit margin of around 5.95%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are consistent, reflecting operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, the company remains profitable, but the negative growth trajectory is a risk factor.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 15.11%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but could benefit from improved equity levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 16.88, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, showing that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -7.64%, which could impact future liquidity. Despite this, the cash flow position remains solid.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.01B70.98B66.90B68.76B63.33B67.89B
Gross Profit19.47B70.98B15.99B18.79B16.80B15.47B
EBITDA6.75B7.37B3.92B7.97B10.13B8.46B
Net Income4.29B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B5.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets702.47B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B795.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.69B100.57B302.05B301.91B367.50B378.51B
Total Debt19.91B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B18.15B
Total Liabilities674.54B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B720.33B
Stockholders Equity27.68B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B74.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.75B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Operating Cash Flow15.75B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B11.51B
Investing Cash Flow-13.83B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B-18.57B
Financing Cash Flow4.00M-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B10.73B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.62
Price Trends
50DMA
78.44
Positive
100DMA
78.38
Positive
200DMA
78.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
59.87
Neutral
STOCH
76.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.15, above the 50-day MA of 78.44, and above the 200-day MA of 78.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.71B11.5519.66%0.71%4.02%13.01%
73
Outperform
$13.33B9.3713.42%2.20%1.69%22.65%
73
Outperform
$54.28B13.8315.61%2.73%6.17%59.22%
71
Outperform
$59.56B25.188.96%2.01%-17.57%-53.18%
71
Outperform
$7.71B7.1039.61%4.43%11.33%-38.17%
69
Neutral
$36.75B23.105.33%5.12%-1.80%-42.18%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
81.62
1.44
1.80%
AFL
AFLAC
111.36
1.89
1.73%
LNC
Lincoln National
40.67
10.86
36.43%
PRU
Prudential Financial
104.41
-11.05
-9.57%
GL
Globe Life
144.56
39.57
37.69%
UNM
Unum Group
78.26
20.19
34.77%

Metlife Corporate Events

Other
MetLife Advises Against Potemkin’s Mini-Tender Offer
Negative
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced that it received an unsolicited mini-tender offer from Potemkin Limited to purchase up to 10,000 shares of its common stock at a price significantly below the market value. MetLife does not endorse this offer and advises shareholders against tendering their shares, as the offer price is 34.42% lower than the market price on September 12, 2025. The company highlights that mini-tender offers like Potemkin’s avoid many disclosure requirements and do not provide the same investor protections as larger offers. Shareholders who have already tendered their shares can withdraw them before the offer expires on October 7, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
MetLife Announces Redemption of Preferred Stock Series G
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, MetLife announced its decision to redeem all outstanding shares of its 3.850% fixed rate reset non-cumulative preferred stock, Series G, with a liquidation preference of $1,000 per share. The redemption will occur on September 15, 2025, and will not include accrued dividends, which will be paid separately. This strategic move may impact MetLife’s financial operations and stakeholder interests by altering its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (MET) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metlife stock, see the MET Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2025