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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET

Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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ME

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

77Outperform
MetLife's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance with robust profitability, stable financial health, and excellent cash flow generation. Positive earnings call sentiment and recent corporate events further enhance the outlook, despite technical analysis indicating mixed signals. Attractive valuation metrics support a favorable view, while challenges in Asia and currency impacts in Latin America remain noteworthy.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Robust repurchases of $1.4 billion exceeded estimates, showing strong capital management.
Earnings Growth
MET reiterated its long-term guide for double-digit EPS growth and a 15-17% ROE.
Investment Income
Higher private equity returns led to an outperformance in net investment income, which exceeded forecasts.
Negative Factors
Earnings Volatility
There is some potential near-term earnings volatility given MET's greater weighting to 'variable' private equity/real estate investment.
Sector Performance
Underperformance in Retirement and Income Solutions and Asia sectors negatively impacted overall performance.
Sector Underperformance
The adjusted EPS of $2.09 for 4Q24 missed the forecast, with underperformance in Group Benefits, Retirement and Income Solutions, and Latin America.

Metlife (MET) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates through five segments: U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. The company offers life, dental, group short-and long-term disability, individual disability, pet insurance, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans; administrative services-only arrangements to employers; and general and separate account, and synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, as well as private floating rate funding agreements. It also provides pension risk transfers, institutional income annuities, structured settlements, and capital markets investment products; and other products and services, such as life insurance products and funding agreements for funding postretirement benefits, as well as company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to finance nonqualified benefit programs for executives. In addition, it provides fixed, indexed-linked, and variable annuities; and pension products; regular savings products; whole and term life, endowments, universal and variable life, and group life products; longevity reinsurance solutions; credit insurance products; and protection against long-term health care services. MetLife, Inc. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetLife generates revenue primarily through the collection of premiums from its diverse range of insurance products, including life, dental, disability, and accident & health insurance. In addition to premium income, the company earns money through investment income, leveraging its substantial portfolio of invested assets. These investments include fixed income securities, equities, real estate, and other financial instruments. MetLife also benefits from fees and charges associated with its annuity and retirement products, as well as from its employee benefits solutions offered to corporate clients. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as interest rates, underwriting results, and claims experience, as well as its strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its market presence and product offerings.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MetLife's financial statements collectively portray a company with strong profitability, stable financial health, and excellent cash flow generation. The income statement highlights efficient revenue management and moderate growth, while the balance sheet indicates prudent leverage and strong returns on equity. The cash flow analysis underscores robust cash generation, supporting operational and strategic goals. While there are minor concerns regarding declining EBITDA margins and stockholders' equity, the overall financial health remains commendable.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Metlife's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financial performance shows strong gross profit and net income, with a gross profit margin of 100% due to revenue equaling gross profit. The net profit margin is a healthy 6.15%, indicating efficient management of expenses relative to revenue. Revenue growth from the previous year is 4.74%, showing positive momentum in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is 6.95%, but a declining trend in EBITDA margin from the previous annual report suggests potential cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability and moderate growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates a robust equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 16.39%, reflecting strong profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 4.00%, highlighting a substantial asset base supported by equity. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the past few years may signal potential challenges in maintaining equity levels. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial stability with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals significant strengths, with a free cash flow growth rate of 13.25% from the previous year, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.79, suggesting robust cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.67, further emphasizing the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. These metrics reflect strong cash flow management and capacity to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
69.90B66.41B69.90B71.08B67.84B
Gross Profit
69.90B65.91B69.90B71.08B67.84B
EBIT
6.66B66.90B3.10B5.49B5.07B
EBITDA
6.66B3.92B7.97B10.13B8.46B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.43B1.58B2.35B6.86B5.41B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
100.57B302.05B301.91B367.50B378.51B
Total Assets
677.46B687.58B666.61B759.71B795.15B
Total Debt
18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B18.15B
Net Debt
-1.35B-1.81B-2.21B-2.62B-1.65B
Total Liabilities
649.75B657.33B639.32B691.96B720.33B
Stockholders Equity
27.45B30.02B27.04B67.48B74.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.60B13.72B13.20B16.96B7.37B
Operating Cash Flow
14.60B13.72B13.20B12.60B11.64B
Investing Cash Flow
-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B-18.57B
Financing Cash Flow
-3.13B-2.94B-10.11B-1.38B10.73B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price76.42
Price Trends
50DMA
77.52
Negative
100DMA
79.91
Negative
200DMA
78.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.53
Neutral
STOCH
69.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 76.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.93, below the 50-day MA of 77.52, and below the 200-day MA of 78.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MEMET
77
Outperform
$51.30B12.6016.08%2.85%8.77%110.90%
UNUNM
76
Outperform
$13.86B9.2814.68%2.13%1.69%25.54%
GLGL
74
Outperform
$10.02B9.8921.87%0.81%5.41%16.60%
PUPUK
72
Outperform
$28.19B12.9412.82%2.12%-14.78%34.80%
PRPRU
71
Outperform
$36.07B16.258.04%5.15%2.47%6.88%
AFAFL
68
Neutral
$57.80B16.5115.63%1.97%-12.79%-29.30%
64
Neutral
$12.52B9.827.95%16985.69%12.70%-4.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
76.74
7.11
10.21%
AFL
AFLAC
106.96
23.86
28.71%
PRU
Prudential Financial
101.23
-10.39
-9.31%
PUK
Prudential
22.04
2.95
15.45%
GL
Globe Life
120.96
32.31
36.45%
UNM
Unum Group
80.51
29.25
57.06%

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MetLife's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic achievements, including robust earnings growth, successful risk transfer, and proactive capital management. However, challenges remain, particularly with declining earnings in Asia and currency impacts in Latin America. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted Earnings Growth
MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion, or $1.96 per share, up 7% from the same period a year ago.
Strong Group Benefits Performance
The Group Benefits business reported adjusted earnings of $367 million, up 29% from the prior year period due to favorable life underwriting margins and lower mortality.
Robust Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) Growth
RIS adjusted earnings totaled $401 million. Sales of synthetic GICs and UK longevity reinsurance were strong, with inflows associated with pension risk transfers totaling $1.8 billion.
Successful Risk Transfer Transaction
MetLife announced a significant risk transfer deal with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company to reinsure approximately $10 billion of U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves, reducing enterprise risk and securing investment management mandates for $6 billion of assets.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
MetLife returned around $1.8 billion to shareholders through common stock dividends and share repurchases. The Board authorized a new $3 billion share repurchase program and increased the common dividend per share by 4.1%.
Positive International Sales Momentum
Sales in Asia were up 10% on strong volume growth in Korea and China, and Latin America adjusted earnings were up 7% on a constant currency basis.
Negative Updates
Decline in Asia Earnings
Adjusted earnings in Asia were $374 million, down 12% from the same period a year ago, primarily due to lower underwriting margins and higher taxes.
Latin America Earnings Impacted by Currency
Latin America adjusted earnings were down 6% from the prior year, although up 7% on a constant currency basis. Adjusted PFOs in the region were up 1% on a reported basis but up 14% on a constant currency basis.
Lower than Expected Private Equity Returns
Private equity funds gained 1.6% in the quarter, which is below the implied quarterly outlook return.
Company Guidance
During its first quarter 2025 earnings call, MetLife provided guidance reflecting the resilience of its business model amidst economic uncertainty. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion, or $1.96 per share, a 7% increase from the previous year. Its adjusted return on equity stood at 14.4%, and its direct expense ratio was 12%. MetLife's Group Benefits business saw a 29% increase in adjusted earnings to $367 million, driven by favorable life underwriting margins. The Retirement and Income Solutions segment reported $401 million in adjusted earnings, with strong sales in synthetic GICs and UK longevity reinsurance. While Asia's adjusted earnings declined by 12% to $374 million, sales in Korea and China grew by 10%. Latin America's adjusted earnings were $218 million, a 6% decline due to currency headwinds, though constant currency earnings were up 7%. MetLife also announced a significant risk transfer deal with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company, reinsurance of approximately $10 billion in U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves, reducing its enterprise risk. The company returned around $1.8 billion to shareholders and secured a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization.

Metlife Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a 10% increase in net income to $879 million and a 14% rise in premiums, fees, and other revenues to $13.6 billion. The company also authorized a new $3.0 billion share repurchase program and entered into a reinsurance agreement with Talcott Financial Group. The results reflect strong performance across various segments, including a 29% increase in Group Benefits adjusted earnings and significant sales growth in Asia and Latin America. These developments underscore MetLife’s robust operational performance and strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on MET Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MET is a Neutral.

MetLife’s overall stock score reflects a mixed financial picture with strong revenue and net income growth but concerns about financial stability due to negative equity and declining cash flows. The stock’s technical indicators show weak momentum, but its valuation remains attractive with a low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield. The positive earnings call highlights strategic growth initiatives, providing a balanced view of opportunities and challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on MET stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
MetLife Announces $10 Billion Reinsurance Agreement
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, MetLife, Inc. announced an agreement with Talcott Resolution Life Insurance Company to reinsure approximately $10 billion of U.S. retail variable annuity and rider reserves. This transaction is expected to reduce MetLife’s enterprise risk associated with capital markets and significantly lower its retail variable annuity tail risk by reducing account values by approximately 40%. The transaction aligns with MetLife’s strategic priorities and is expected to close in the second half of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals.

Spark’s Take on MET Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MET is a Neutral.

MetLife’s overall stock score reflects a mixed financial picture with strong revenue and net income growth but concerns about financial stability due to negative equity and declining cash flows. The stock’s technical indicators show weak momentum, but its valuation remains attractive with a low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield. The positive earnings call highlights strategic growth initiatives, providing a balanced view of opportunities and challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on MET stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
MetLife Director David Herzog Announces Resignation
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 27, 2025, David L. Herzog, a director of MetLife, Inc., announced his resignation from the Board, effective May 1, 2025, and his decision not to seek re-election at the 2025 annual shareholders meeting. Herzog’s resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, indicating a smooth transition without internal conflicts.

Executive/Board Changes
MetLife Announces Leadership Changes and Board Expansion
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

On January 7, 2025, MetLife announced the resignation of Tamara L. Schock as Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, effective March 15, 2025. Toby Srihiran Brown was appointed as the interim Chief Accounting Officer while a search for a permanent replacement is conducted. Additionally, on February 25, 2025, MetLife’s Board of Directors expanded from thirteen to fourteen members, electing Christian Mumenthaler as an independent director effective May 1, 2025, and appointing him to the Finance and Risk Committee and the Investment Committee.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.