tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Prudential Financial (PRU)
NYSE:PRU

Prudential Financial (PRU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,615 Followers

Top Page

PR

Prudential Financial

(NYSE:PRU)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
Prudential Financial demonstrates solid operational efficiency and a strong capital position, which are significant strengths. However, challenges include high leverage and declining revenue growth, posing risks. Despite these concerns, the company's reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield provide a buffer, contributing to a moderately positive stock evaluation.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The recent Prismic deal is seen as a positive, paving the way for more accretive third-party transactions.
Market Share
Prudential finished with the top market share for the quarter for sales in Longevity and Structured Settlement sales.
Sales Growth
Individual Life sales increased 59% YoY, driven by Variable Life.
Negative Factors
Earnings
PRU's 4Q:24 operating EPS of $2.96 was below consensus at $3.23.
Price Objective
Price objective falls to $101, previously $106, indicating a modest decline in forward EPS forecasts.
Retirement Segment
Net flows in Retirement of $409mn missed our forecast of $2.16bn largely due to weaker sales compared to recent quarters.

Prudential Financial (PRU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prudential Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, investment management, and other financial products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through eight segments: PGIM, Retirement, Group Insurance, Individual Annuities, Individual Life, Assurance IQ, International Businesses, and Closed Block. The company offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its general account. It also provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; and group life, long-term and short-term group disability, and group corporate-, bank-, and trust-owned life insurance in the United States, primarily to institutional clients for use in connection with employee and membership benefits plans, as well as sells accidental death and dismemberment, and other supplemental health solutions; and provides plan administration services in connection with its insurance coverages. In addition, the company develops and distributes individual variable and fixed annuity products, principally to the mass affluent and affluent markets; and individual variable, term, and universal life insurance products to the mass middle, mass affluent, and affluent markets in the United States. Further, it provides third-party life, health, Medicare, property and casualty, and term life products to retail shoppers through its digital and independent agent channels. The company offers its products and services to individual and institutional customers through its proprietary and third-party distribution networks. Prudential Financial, Inc. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrudential Financial generates revenue primarily through its insurance and investment products. The company earns money from premiums paid by policyholders for life insurance and annuity products, which provide financial protection and income solutions. In addition, Prudential manages a substantial portfolio of investments, generating income through asset management fees from mutual funds and institutional accounts. The company's global presence allows it to tap into diverse markets, with significant contributions from its international insurance operations. Prudential also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its distribution capabilities and expand its product offerings, enabling it to reach a broader customer base and drive revenue growth.

Prudential Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prudential Financial shows strong operational efficiency with high EBIT margins, though faced with declining revenue and profit margins. The high leverage indicated on the balance sheet poses risks to financial stability, and cash flow generation has weakened, despite remaining positive.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Prudential Financial shows strong revenue generation with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total revenue of $60.46 billion. However, the revenue has decreased when compared to the previous annual revenue of $70.41 billion. The net profit margin stands at a modest 3.81% for the TTM, which is a drop from the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at 75.38%, indicating effective cost management. EBIT margin is notably high at 37.28%, reflecting operational efficiency, but the declining revenue growth rate is a concern.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Prudential Financial's balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.37, highlighting significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is relatively low at 113.96%, primarily due to the low equity base. The equity ratio is notably low at 0.27%, indicating a high level of liabilities compared to assets. These factors suggest potential risks associated with financial stability.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
The cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous year, now at $775 million. The free cash flow has similarly reduced, resulting in a negative free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, which denotes some inconsistency in cash generation relative to net income. Despite these challenges, the company maintains positive free cash flow, crucial for sustaining operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
60.37B70.64B53.98B54.58B71.18B57.09B
Gross Profit
0.0070.64B0.000.000.000.00
EBIT
2.74B3.21B41.06B42.02B57.58B43.19B
EBITDA
2.56B0.0040.99B42.13B57.78B43.64B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.30B2.73B2.49B-1.65B8.87B-374.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
343.20B66.39B19.42B324.97B391.93B434.41B
Total Assets
725.82B735.59B721.12B689.92B937.58B940.72B
Total Debt
21.09B21.57B20.87B21.06B19.62B20.95B
Net Debt
2.35B3.07B1.46B3.81B6.73B7.25B
Total Liabilities
696.41B705.46B691.34B672.71B874.97B872.51B
Stockholders Equity
27.21B27.87B27.82B16.25B61.88B67.42B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
775.00M8.50B6.51B5.16B10.55B8.28B
Operating Cash Flow
775.00M8.50B6.51B5.16B9.81B8.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-23.81B-28.59B-12.12B-7.64B-5.34B-16.21B
Financing Cash Flow
20.35B19.39B7.74B4.93B-3.01B4.88B

Prudential Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price101.92
Price Trends
50DMA
103.72
Negative
100DMA
108.03
Negative
200DMA
112.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
46.28
Neutral
STOCH
12.43
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 101.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.15, below the 50-day MA of 103.72, and below the 200-day MA of 112.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRU.

Prudential Financial Risk Analysis

Prudential Financial disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prudential Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our significant business operations outside the U.S. subject us to foreign exchange risk, which is the risk of loss arising from assets that are invested in a different currency than the related liability, as well as the unhedged portion of the Company's earnings from, and capital supporting, operations in a foreign currency. As a U.S.-based company with significant business operations outside of the U.S., particularly in Japan, we are exposed to foreign currency exchange rate risk related to these operations, as well as in our investment portfolio. Fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates could Q4, 2024

Prudential Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MEMET
79
Outperform
$51.83B12.5716.08%2.82%8.77%110.90%
UNUNM
79
Outperform
$13.93B9.4214.68%2.10%1.69%25.54%
GLGL
74
Outperform
$9.86B9.7220.47%0.83%5.41%16.60%
PUPUK
72
Outperform
$29.03B13.3312.82%2.06%-14.78%34.80%
PRPRU
71
Outperform
$36.08B16.138.04%5.15%2.47%6.88%
64
Neutral
$12.67B9.747.58%17015.08%12.21%-6.96%
AFAFL
64
Neutral
$55.43B16.0014.41%2.03%-12.66%-29.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRU
Prudential Financial
101.92
-10.49
-9.33%
AFL
AFLAC
102.53
17.03
19.92%
MET
Metlife
77.21
8.24
11.95%
PUK
Prudential
22.44
3.31
17.30%
GL
Globe Life
119.41
36.23
43.56%
UNM
Unum Group
79.87
28.90
56.70%

Prudential Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Prudential demonstrated strong sales and investment performance, particularly in its global retirement and insurance segments. However, near-term earnings pressures from product runoffs and currency-driven surrenders in Japan present notable challenges. The company is positioned well for future growth but faces current headwinds impacting earnings growth targets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Global Sales and Investment Performance
In the first quarter, Prudential reported robust sales across its global retirement and insurance businesses, coupled with strong investment performance and robust flows at PGIM.
Diversified Product Mix and Market Position
Prudential has made significant progress in de-risking and diversifying its product offerings, with a reduction of nearly 60% in traditional variable annuities and guaranteed universal life products.
Solid Financial Position
The company holds nearly $5 billion in highly liquid assets and maintains strong statutory solvency ratios, supporting its AA financial strength rating.
PGIM Assets Under Management Growth
PGIM's assets under management increased by 3% to $1.4 trillion, driven by market appreciation, net flows, and strong investment performance.
Record International Business Sales
International business sales increased by 15% compared to the prior year, with Japan sales benefiting from recent retirement and savings product launches.
Negative Updates
Earnings Growth Challenges
Prudential faces near-term earnings pressure in its U.S. and Japan businesses due to the runoff of more volatile blocks and elevated surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products.
Lower Alternative Investment Income
The company reported lower than expected alternative investment income, driven by lower private equity and real estate returns, impacting pre-tax adjusted operating income.
Earnings Headwinds from Japan Surrenders
Surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products in Japan, driven by a weaker yen, are expected to contribute to an estimated $100 million drag on 2025 earnings.
PGIM Margin Pressure
PGIM's first-quarter margins were lower than expected due to volatility affecting seed and co-investments, impacting long-term incentive compensation expenses.
Company Guidance
During Prudential's Quarterly Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating expectations of 5% to 8% core adjusted operating EPS growth on average through 2027, despite current headwinds. These headwinds include an estimated 3% to 4% EPS growth drag in 2025 due to the runoff of variable annuities and guaranteed universal life products, and elevated surrenders of U.S. dollar-denominated products in Japan driven by a weaker yen. The company also highlighted its strong capital position with nearly $5 billion in highly liquid assets and strong statutory solvency ratios. Furthermore, Prudential reported robust sales in its retirement and insurance businesses, with a notable increase of over 50% in sales of savings and retirement products in Japan over the past three years. The CEO emphasized a commitment to executing a strategy to enhance financial performance, focusing on evolving the business strategy, consistent execution, and fostering a high-performance culture to drive sustainable, profitable growth.

Prudential Financial Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Corrects Misstatement in Q1 2025 Call
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Prudential Financial, Inc. held a conference call to discuss its first-quarter results for 2025. During the call, a misstatement was made by Executive Vice President and CFO Yanela Frias regarding the company’s sensitivity to interest rate changes, which was later corrected. The full transcript, including the correction, will be available on the company’s Investor Relations website.

Spark’s Take on PRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PRU is a Neutral.

Prudential Financial presents a mixed picture with strong cash flow and valuation attractiveness but faces significant challenges in financial stability due to high leverage and negative equity. While technical indicators are bearish, earnings call insights and corporate events suggest strategic growth and solid shareholder returns. The company needs to address underlying financial concerns to improve its overall standing.

To see Spark’s full report on PRU stock, click here.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Reports Q1 2025 Earnings Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Prudential Financial reported its first quarter 2025 results, with net income of $707 million, down from $1.138 billion in the same quarter last year. Despite lower net income, the company saw an increase in after-tax adjusted operating income to $1.188 billion, driven by strong sales in global retirement and insurance businesses, and robust investment performance. The company returned $736 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, and aims to continue balancing business growth with shareholder returns. CEO Andy Sullivan emphasized the company’s commitment to executing its strategy to improve financial performance and maintain its position as a leader in investment, insurance, and retirement security.

Spark’s Take on PRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PRU is a Neutral.

Prudential Financial presents a mixed picture with strong cash flow and valuation attractiveness but faces significant challenges in financial stability due to high leverage and negative equity. While technical indicators are bearish, earnings call insights and corporate events suggest strategic growth and solid shareholder returns. The company needs to address underlying financial concerns to improve its overall standing.

To see Spark’s full report on PRU stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prudential Financial Reveals Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Prudential Financial disclosed preliminary financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, revealing a resegmentation of its International Businesses segment and an update to internal expense allocations effective January 1, 2025. The PGIM segment reported $1.39 trillion in assets under management, while alternative investment income from the General Account was below expectations. The resegmentation aligns with changes in management structure, and the expense allocation update impacts segment results but not the company’s consolidated results.

Spark’s Take on PRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PRU is a Neutral.

Prudential Financial’s mixed financial performance, marked by strong revenue growth but concerning balance sheet leverage, is the primary factor influencing the score. The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, while valuation is reasonable with a high dividend yield. Earnings call insights highlight both strategic growth and ongoing challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on PRU stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prudential Financial Board Member Kathleen Murphy Steps Down
Neutral
Mar 4, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Kathleen A. Murphy announced her decision not to seek reelection to Prudential Financial’s Board of Directors at the upcoming annual meeting on May 13, 2025. Her resignation is attributed to other professional commitments and is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prudential Financial Announces Leadership Changes in 2025
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Douglas A. Scovanner will not seek reelection to Prudential Financial’s Board of Directors at the shareholder meeting on May 13, 2025, after serving for over 11 years, departing for personal reasons without any disagreements with the company. Additionally, Robert Boyle has been appointed as Senior Vice President, Controller, and Principal Accounting Officer effective April 7, 2025, succeeding Robert Axel, with a new compensation package reflecting his elevated role.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prudential Financial Unveils 2025 Incentive Programs
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Prudential Financial has announced its 2025 Annual and Long-Term Incentive Programs for executive officers, applicable to awards in 2025 relating to 2024 performance. These programs form part of the company’s ongoing efforts to align executive compensation with performance goals and long-term strategic objectives, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.