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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD)
NYSE:MD
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Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) AI Stock Analysis

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MD

Pediatrix Medical Group

(NYSE:MD)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(10.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability recovery and solid cash generation), supported by constructive technical trends (price above key moving averages with healthy momentum). Valuation is reasonable on P/E but lacks dividend support, while the earnings call was net positive due to reaffirmed guidance, strong liquidity and buybacks, tempered by volume softness, higher expense expectations, and an easing RCM collections tailwind.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow (free cash flow roughly 90%+ of net income) gives the company durable internal funding for working capital, debt reduction, buybacks and selective investments. Strong cash conversion supports flexibility through volume cycles and funds strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Choppy revenue trend
Top-line instability—periodic declines and uneven momentum—reduces visibility on sustainable growth. For a utilization-driven provider, inconsistent revenue growth complicates capacity planning, pressures per-unit economics and raises the risk that margins and cash generation could revert if volumes weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow (free cash flow roughly 90%+ of net income) gives the company durable internal funding for working capital, debt reduction, buybacks and selective investments. Strong cash conversion supports flexibility through volume cycles and funds strategic initiatives.
Read all positive factors

Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pediatrix Medical Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. delivers specialized medical services for newborns, expectant mothers, and pediatric patients across the United States and Puerto Rico. The company offers crucial neonatal care to critically ill or prematurely born in...
How the Company Makes Money
Pediatrix makes money primarily by delivering medical services through its employed/contracted clinicians and billing payors for those services. A significant portion of revenue is generated from professional fees for physician and advanced practi...

Pediatrix Medical Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented several meaningful positives: solid adjusted EBITDA ($76M), reaffirmed full-year guidance ($280M–$300M), improved payer mix and pricing, a strong balance sheet with $289M cash and low leverage (~1x), ongoing share buybacks, and strategic expansion into telehybrid services leveraging a large national footprint. Offsetting these positives are modest volume declines (same-unit volumes down 2%, NICU days down 3%), lower operating cash flow YoY, higher practice-level SW&B and G&A (including executive transition costs), and management’s expectation that the favorable RCM collections tailwind will ease in H2 2026. Overall, the call emphasized financial strength, disciplined capital allocation and strategic growth initiatives while acknowledging near-term volume and expense headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Reaffirmed Full-Year Outlook
Adjusted EBITDA of $76 million in Q2 2026; company reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $280 million to $300 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Same-Unit Volumes and Neonatology Utilization
Same-unit patient service volumes were down 2% year-over-year; NICU days (neonatology) were down 3%, contributing to modestly lower volumes in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Reaffirmed Full-Year Outlook
Adjusted EBITDA of $76 million in Q2 2026; company reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $280 million to $300 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $280–$300 million (Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $76 million) and said results should be fairly ratable in Q3 and Q4; using the midpoint, net debt of just over $295 million implies leverage of just above 1x. Liquidity and capital deployment metrics include cash of $289 million, total debt of $584 million, share repurchases of just under 2 million in the quarter (7 million since August 2025) and shares outstanding down to ~81 million from 87 million a year ago. Operational drivers cited: consolidated revenue +4% (same‑unit +2%), same‑unit pricing +4% (driven ~95% by RCM collections, payer mix and acuity), payer mix +135 bps YoY (+120 bps vs Q1), same‑unit volumes −2% with NICU days down 3%, accounts receivable DSO 42.5 days (down ~4 days YoY), and operating cash flow of $126 million (vs. $138 million prior year). On costs, Q2 G&A was $5.8 million, full‑year G&A is expected to be $230–$240 million (likely toward the high end), salary growth is tracking ~3–3.5%, and management expects the RCM collections tailwind to dissipate in H2 while acuity and payer mix remain supportive.

Pediatrix Medical Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are improved but not without risk. Income statement strength comes from a meaningful profitability rebound (TTM ~14% EBITDA margin and ~9% net margin) after 2023–2024 losses, but revenue momentum is uneven and choppy. The balance sheet is better yet still moderately leveraged for the profile. Cash flow is a key positive with healthy operating and free cash flow and strong conversion versus net income, though volatility and a coverage metric below 1 indicate consistency remains a watch item.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.95B1.91B2.01B1.99B1.97B1.91B
Gross Profit861.45M471.88M454.34M421.56M467.03M513.24M
EBITDA277.54M274.22M-28.37M29.89M156.70M236.10M
Net Income174.81M165.39M-99.07M-60.41M66.33M130.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.13B2.25B2.15B2.22B2.35B2.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments404.20M499.72M348.51M177.74M103.06M487.11M
Total Debt619.96M660.30M662.31M701.65M717.08M1.07B
Total Liabilities1.25B1.38B1.39B1.37B1.46B1.83B
Stockholders Equity880.98M865.85M764.94M849.06M891.63M896.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow228.96M252.63M184.55M104.00M137.23M44.49M
Operating Cash Flow247.21M271.09M206.57M137.32M166.94M76.74M
Investing Cash Flow-9.64M-18.30M-35.41M-48.18M-56.95M-53.07M
Financing Cash Flow-173.88M-107.49M-14.48M-25.71M-487.55M-760.12M

Pediatrix Medical Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.26
Price Trends
50DMA
24.81
Positive
100DMA
23.37
Positive
200DMA
22.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
55.19
Neutral
STOCH
66.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.03, above the 50-day MA of 24.81, and above the 200-day MA of 22.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MD.

Pediatrix Medical Group Risk Analysis

Pediatrix Medical Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pediatrix Medical Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pediatrix Medical Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.53B28.3211.68%1.15%11.40%13.96%
76
Outperform
$1.60B13.4724.12%5.22%1109.87%
71
Outperform
$2.18B12.8719.89%-2.25%
69
Neutral
$2.04B7.41241.47%20.49%4335.46%
67
Neutral
$1.76B57.583.88%56.69%-15.92%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group
26.51
12.03
83.08%
HCSG
Healthcare Services
22.05
8.32
60.60%
NHC
National Healthcare
219.45
124.67
131.54%
ASTH
Astrana Health
34.13
12.67
59.04%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
9.31
3.50
60.24%

Pediatrix Medical Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Pediatrix Medical Group Announces General Counsel Leadership Transition
Neutral
Jul 24, 2026
On May 1, 2026, Pediatrix Medical Group and longtime executive Mary Ann E. Moore agreed she would step down from her roles as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer and Secretary by year-end, and on July 21, 2026, ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Pediatrix Shareholders Reelect Board and Approve Governance Measures
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 7, 2026, Pediatrix Medical Group held its Annual Meeting, at which shareholders representing a quorum of the outstanding common stock voted to re-elect all nominated directors to the board for terms running until the 2027 annual meeting. Th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026