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Mama's Creations
(NASDAQ:MAMA)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(36.15% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/02/26
The score is driven primarily by healthy fundamentals (notably a much stronger balance sheet and continued revenue growth) and constructive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by expensive valuation (very high P/E) and profitability risk from margin compression and uneven free-cash-flow consistency, despite management’s upbeat FY27 growth outlook and near-term ramp expectations from new SKU launches.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Mama’s materially reduced leverage to a TTM debt-to-equity of ~0.14 and holds meaningful equity and asset base, giving durable financial flexibility. This stronger capital structure supports working-capital needs, selective M&A, and investment for SKU rollouts while limiting refinancing and solvency risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margins have materially compressed driven by labor, raw-material inefficiencies and front‑loaded startup costs tied to new packaging and protein formats. If input cost pressure or elevated trade/promotional spend persists, margin recovery may be delayed, pressuring sustainable profitability and cash flow generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Mama’s materially reduced leverage to a TTM debt-to-equity of ~0.14 and holds meaningful equity and asset base, giving durable financial flexibility. This stronger capital structure supports working-capital needs, selective M&A, and investment for SKU rollouts while limiting refinancing and solvency risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Mama's Creations Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:
The Fly
Mama's Creations (MAMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$723.36M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)490.98K
Price to Earnings (P/E)118.3
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth46.98%
EPS Growth30.66%
CountryUS
Employees305
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.15
Shares Outstanding40,706,670
10 Day Avg. Volume658,094
30 Day Avg. Volume490,979
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.62
Price to Book (P/B)11.16
Price to Sales (P/S)3.42
P/FCF Ratio60.14
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.87
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.33
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit13.60
Enterprise Value/Ebitda44.96
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$22.50Price Target Upside53.17% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)0.22
Revenue Forecast (FY)$221.98M
Mama's Creations Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Based in East Rutherford, New Jersey, Mama's Creations, Inc., established in 2010, specializes in the production and distribution of various chilled, ready-to-eat food items throughout the United States. Their extensive product line includes an ar...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily by selling branded prepared-food products to wholesale and retail customers. Revenue is generated when Mama’s Creations manufactures refrigerated prepared foods (e.g., heat-and-eat entrées, meatballs, chicken, and...
Mama's Creations Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jun 08, 2026
(Q1-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong, broad-based revenue growth (+49.7% to $52.8M), materially higher net income (+66.3%) and adjusted EBITDA (+71.2%), expanded retail distribution and highly successful retail media programs, plus completed enterprise systems integrations and improved balance sheet liquidity. Near-term margins were pressured by front-loaded startup costs, labor and raw-material inefficiencies, and promotional/trade investments tied to new item launches (management estimates incremental inefficiencies roughly $0.5M–$1M and moved ~$0.5M from marketing into trade). Overall, the positive operational momentum, large product launch pipeline, completed ERP/WMS/TMS implementations, and strong cash position outweigh the temporary margin headwinds tied to scaling and new product ramps.Positive Updates
Top-Line Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 49.7% year-over-year to $52.8 million (from $35.3 million), driven by item expansion at existing customers, 12+ new branded SKUs at major retailers, and contribution from the Crown 1 acquisition.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Gross profit rose 35.3% to $12.4 million but gross margin declined to 23.6% from 26.1% year-over-year, primarily driven by labor and raw material inefficiencies and startup costs linked to new packaging technologies and protein form factors.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-Line Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 49.7% year-over-year to $52.8 million (from $35.3 million), driven by item expansion at existing customers, 12+ new branded SKUs at major retailers, and contribution from the Crown 1 acquisition.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to continued double‑digit organic growth for fiscal 2027 and a sharpened line of sight toward a $1.0 billion revenue target, saying the 12+ new SKU launches (and the goal of adding at least +2 SKUs to each of the top 10 customers) should ramp meaningfully through the balance of FY27—driving an expected sequential revenue increase in Q2 after most launch volumes began mid–late April. They reiterated a corporate gross‑margin target in the mid‑to‑high‑20% range once startup inefficiencies normalize, signaled continued adjusted‑EBITDA momentum (Q1 adj. EBITDA = $4.9M) while pressing branded sales at Walmart and Target and deeper club penetration (Costco/Sam’s/BJ’s), and said they will pursue selective accretive M&A supported by a fortified balance sheet (cash $24.4M, total debt $5.1M). Operational enablers cited include a 3‑plant network (~600 employees) and completed enterprise ERP, plus strong digital media performance (Instacart sales > $1M, units +34%, ROAS 5.6x; Walmart attributed sales ~ $1M, ROAS ~$29.50; BJ’s attributed sales ~10x YoY, ROAS ~5x).Mama's Creations Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Apr 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 189.22M | 171.71M | 123.33M | 103.28M | 93.19M | 47.08M |
| Gross Profit | 46.29M | 43.05M | 30.53M | 30.33M | 19.42M | 11.85M |
| EBITDA | 14.00M | 14.71M | 6.75M | 11.36M | 4.59M | 1.13M |
| Net Income | 6.11M | 5.29M | 3.71M | 6.56M | 2.30M | -251.93K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 87.53M | 85.70M | 47.06M | 45.10M | 34.59M | 30.03M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 24.41M | 19.95M | 7.15M | 11.02M | 4.38M | 850.60K |
| Total Debt | 13.70M | 14.46M | 10.11M | 13.10M | 13.01M | 15.44M |
| Total Liabilities | 32.17M | 33.08M | 22.17M | 25.52M | 22.07M | 21.92M |
| Stockholders Equity | 55.36M | 52.62M | 24.90M | 19.58M | 12.52M | 8.11M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 9.13M | 9.77M | 82.00K | 10.84M | 4.92M | 47.43K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.43M | 11.42M | 5.18M | 11.62M | 5.51M | 909.84K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.60M | -18.96M | -5.09M | -1.43M | -1.09M | -11.27M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 20.58M | 20.34M | -3.95M | -3.54M | -888.04K | 8.02M |
Mama's Creations Technical Analysis
Positive
14.69
Price Trends
15.28
Positive
15.46
Positive
13.77
Positive
Market Momentum
1.19
Negative
60.88
Neutral
44.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAMA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.87, below the 50-day MA of 15.28, and above the 200-day MA of 13.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAMA.
Mama's Creations Risk Analysis
Mama's Creations disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mama's Creations reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mama's Creations Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $723.36M | 118.35 | 13.05% | ― | 46.98% | 30.66% | |
73 Outperform | $472.82M | 31.25 | 17.76% | ― | 21.85% | 44.53% | |
68 Neutral | $377.55M | 19.34 | 12.30% | ― | 7.26% | 104.70% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
57 Neutral | $301.90M | -11.82 | -24.02% | ― | 8.99% | -20.05% | |
51 Neutral | $688.76M | -9.41 | -26.05% | ― | 47.24% | 17.97% | |
47 Neutral | $331.16M | -4.25 | -16.76% | 17.12% | -3.74% | 63.95% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
MAMA
Mama's Creations
18.68
10.09
117.46%
BGS
B&G Foods
4.08
0.49
13.65%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
30.94
6.00
24.06%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
21.47
5.45
34.02%
BRCC
BRC
1.21
-0.37
-23.42%
WEST
Westrock Coffee
7.06
0.76
12.06%
Mama's Creations Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mama’s Creations Completes Public Equity Offering for Growth
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Mama’s Creations, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement to sell 5,555,556 shares of common stock at $18.00 per share in a public offering, granting underwriters an option to buy an additional 833,333 shares, and compl...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Mama’s Creations Adds Veteran Dealmaker to Board
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Mama’s Creations, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from five to six members and elected veteran food industry dealmaker Fred Halvin as a director, effective May 1, 2026. Halvin will receive standard non-employee directo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.