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Mama's Creations
(NASDAQ:MAMA)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-6.85% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals (rapid multi-year growth, very low leverage, and solid recent cash generation) and a very constructive earnings outlook with expanding national distribution. These positives are tempered by weak current technical momentum (trading below key moving averages with negative MACD) and an elevated valuation (high P/E with no dividend support), which increases sensitivity to any margin or execution shortfalls.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and profit growth
Rapid growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net income indicates that customer adoption and operating scale are expanding together. This supports stronger earnings capacity over the next several quarters, while faster profit growth than sales suggests improving efficiency as the business grows.
Negative Factors
Gross margin remains below target
The persistent gap between current gross margin and management’s longer-term target shows that the expected profitability improvement is not yet fully realized. Until operations and product mix close that gap, earnings may remain more exposed to cost pressure and execution than the growth rate alone suggests.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and profit growth
Rapid growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net income indicates that customer adoption and operating scale are expanding together. This supports stronger earnings capacity over the next several quarters, while faster profit growth than sales suggests improving efficiency as the business grows.
Read all positive factors
Mama's Creations Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyMama's Creations (MAMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$619.05M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)791.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)71.2
Beta (1Y)0.56
Revenue Growth53.88%
EPS Growth48.88%
CountryUS
Employees581
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.18
Shares Outstanding47,147,470
10 Day Avg. Volume695,262
30 Day Avg. Volume791,929
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.62
Price to Book (P/B)11.16
Price to Sales (P/S)3.42
P/FCF Ratio60.14
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.15
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.40
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit14.02
Enterprise Value/Ebitda40.57
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$22.25Price Target Upside33.71% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)0.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$223.71M
Mama's Creations Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Based in East Rutherford, New Jersey, Mama's Creations, Inc., established in 2010, specializes in the production and distribution of various chilled, ready-to-eat food items throughout the United States. Their extensive product line includes an ar...
How the Company Makes Money
Mama's Creations makes money primarily by selling its prepared food products to customers in the food distribution ecosystem. Revenue is generated from product sales (recognized when products are delivered/accepted under customer terms), with the ...
Mama's Creations Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2026
(Q2-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive, supported by 55% revenue growth, 101% net income growth, 69% adjusted EBITDA growth, improved operating leverage, expanding retail distribution, a $138.6 million cash balance, and favorable expectations for Kroger, Costco, Walmart, and future M&A. The main challenges were gross margin remaining below the mid- to high 20% target, product-mix and trimming requirements, lower-velocity items at Walmart, a remaining Bay Shore margin gap, and developing convenience-store and seafood capabilities. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue increased 55% to $54.6 million from $35.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 68.9% to $5.5 million, adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 10.1% from 9.3%, and net income increased 100.9% to $2.6 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, from $1.3 million, or $0.03 per diluted share.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin was 24.0% in the second quarter versus 24.9% in the same year-ago quarter, while gross profit increased 49.1% to $13.1 million. Management said the prior year did not include Bay Shore, which affects the comparison.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue increased 55% to $54.6 million from $35.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 68.9% to $5.5 million, adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 10.1% from 9.3%, and net income increased 100.9% to $2.6 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, from $1.3 million, or $0.03 per diluted share.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For the balance of fiscal '27, Mama’s expects to ramp Walmart and Target introductions, launch Kroger next month in over 100 stores with four items, reach all eight Costco regions by next month through an MVM forecasted planned to be bigger than last year and “a little longer,” and pursue net plus two SKUs in each of the top 10 accounts; management remains firmly on track with its mid- to high 20% corporate gross margin target, expects to sequentially improve in Q3 versus Q2, and remains confident it could achieve double digit growth, while stating that the current facilities could pretty much double the business from last year.Mama's Creations Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Apr 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 208.60M | 171.71M | 123.33M | 103.28M | 93.19M | 47.08M |
| Gross Profit | 50.59M | 43.05M | 30.53M | 30.33M | 19.42M | 11.85M |
| EBITDA | 17.49M | 13.30M | 6.75M | 11.36M | 4.59M | 1.13M |
| Net Income | 7.39M | 5.29M | 3.71M | 6.56M | 2.30M | -251.93K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 201.43M | 85.70M | 47.06M | 45.10M | 34.59M | 30.03M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 138.62M | 19.95M | 7.15M | 11.02M | 4.38M | 850.60K |
| Total Debt | 12.92M | 14.46M | 10.11M | 13.10M | 13.01M | 15.44M |
| Total Liabilities | 34.02M | 33.08M | 22.17M | 25.52M | 22.07M | 21.92M |
| Stockholders Equity | 167.41M | 52.62M | 24.90M | 19.58M | 12.52M | 8.11M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 17.29M | 9.77M | 82.00K | 10.84M | 4.92M | 47.43K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.98M | 11.42M | 5.18M | 11.62M | 5.51M | 909.84K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.00M | -18.96M | -5.09M | -1.43M | -1.09M | -11.27M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 129.25M | 20.34M | -3.95M | -3.54M | -888.04K | 8.02M |
Mama's Creations Technical Analysis
Negative
16.64
Price Trends
14.52
Negative
15.94
Negative
15.45
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.40
Negative
40.68
Neutral
25.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.06, above the 50-day MA of 14.52, and above the 200-day MA of 15.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MAMA.
Mama's Creations Risk Analysis
Mama's Creations disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mama's Creations reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may be unable to successfully integrate the Crown I Carve Out Business into our business or achieve the anticipated benefits or synergies of the Crown I Acquisition. Q2, 2026
Mama's Creations Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $619.05M | 71.16 | 9.10% | ― | 53.88% | 48.88% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
58 Neutral | $903.05M | -13.88 | -24.25% | ― | 38.57% | 29.71% | |
57 Neutral | $223.64M | 12.02 | 11.00% | 5.48% | 6.77% | 34.53% | |
56 Neutral | $338.69M | 30.87 | 12.66% | <0.01% | 25.59% | 1.38% | |
49 Neutral | $264.80M | -31.52 | -8.09% | ― | 10.49% | 76.67% | |
46 Neutral | $177.99M | -2.38 | -16.45% | 26.89% | -4.91% | 68.74% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
MAMA
Mama's Creations
13.27
2.47
22.87%
BGS
B&G Foods
2.15
-1.73
-44.53%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
22.92
-3.82
-14.29%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
12.41
-1.74
-12.30%
BRCC
BRC
11.11
-2.99
-21.20%
WEST
Westrock Coffee
9.69
4.70
94.19%
Mama's Creations Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mama’s Creations Shareholders Reaffirm Board and Governance
Positive
Jul 7, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on July 2, 2026, Mama’s Creations shareholders elected five directors, including CEO Adam L. Michaels, to one-year terms, reaffirming the current leadership and board structure. The meeting also saw...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mama’s Creations Completes Public Equity Offering for Growth
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Mama’s Creations, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement to sell 5,555,556 shares of common stock at $18.00 per share in a public offering, granting underwriters an option to buy an additional 833,333 shares, and compl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.