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Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR
(OTC:LYSDY)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(1.10% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial resilience (notably a conservative balance sheet) and constructive earnings-call updates on operational and commercial progress. Offsetting these are weak consistency in cash-flow conversion and a demanding valuation (high P/E), while technical indicators remain mixed and do not yet confirm a sustained uptrend.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a substantial equity base give Lynas financial flexibility to fund processing expansion, absorb operating volatility and pursue strategic projects without relying heavily on additional debt.
Negative Factors
Unreliable free-cash-flow conversion
Repeated free-cash-flow deficits indicate that earnings have not consistently translated into cash after investment and working-capital needs. This may limit shareholder returns and increase dependence on strong operating cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a substantial equity base give Lynas financial flexibility to fund processing expansion, absorb operating volatility and pursue strategic projects without relying heavily on additional debt.
Read all positive factors
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR (LYSDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.09B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)75.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)69.0
Beta (1Y)0.40
Revenue Growth85.51%
EPS Growth2628.57%
CountryUS
Employees1,156
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.22
Shares Outstanding1,006,502,560
10 Day Avg. Volume68,777
30 Day Avg. Volume75,427
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)5.22
Price to Sales (P/S)19.04
P/FCF Ratio110.90
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.41
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.15B
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lynas Rare Earths Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, extraction, and processing of rare earth minerals in Australia and Malaysia. The company's flagship operation is the Mount Weld mine in Wes...
How the Company Makes Money
Lynas primarily makes money by selling rare earth products produced from its mining and processing operations. Its revenue model is centered on (1) mining and producing rare earth concentrate from its ore body, and (2) processing/separating that m...
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized substantial operational recovery, product and commercial progress (Dy/Tb and samarium deliveries), strong partnerships and a robust balance sheet, while also acknowledging near-term challenges including an ore-quality driven production shortfall, higher input costs (notably sulfuric acid up ~4x), temporary G&A increases, and some downstream projects pending FID. Management presented a clear path to ramp production, improve unit costs as fixed costs are absorbed, and expand downstream capabilities. Overall, positives such as safety improvement, commercial agreements, R&D progress, and liquidity materially outweigh the operational and cost headwinds.Positive Updates
Safety Improvement - LTI Reduced by 50%
Lost Time Injury (LTI) rate ended FY26 at 0.9, half the FY25 level (≈50% improvement), reflecting stronger safety performance and the 'Yes, We Care For Each Other' program.
Negative Updates
June Quarter Ore Quality Variation Impacted Production
Ore variation issues at Mt Weld in the June quarter caused quality problems that materially impacted cracking/leaching performance and overall production volumes for the period; management indicates these issues have been addressed but they reduced FY26 production vs internal expectations.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Safety Improvement - LTI Reduced by 50%
Lost Time Injury (LTI) rate ended FY26 at 0.9, half the FY25 level (≈50% improvement), reflecting stronger safety performance and the 'Yes, We Care For Each Other' program.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance highlighted clear operational, product and financial milestones: safety improved to an LTI of 0.9 (half FY25) while TRIFR increases are being addressed; Mt Weld ramp‑up is almost complete, Kalgoorlie quality issues fixed, and Kuantan delivered its best-ever cracking/leaching with SX tested at new nameplate (management has demonstrated SX/NPF runs up to ~30 tpd and cracking/leaching up to ~31 tpd, with targets cited in the 30–33 tpd range and a longer‑term LAMP reference of ~12,000 tpa); samarium was delivered early (Mar‑26) and Gd/Y are expected in H1 FY28 with further Sm increases by H1 CY28; commercial and contractual progress includes a 12‑year JARE arrangement (up to ~7,200 t to Japan) and a $50m Lynas investment in JS Link; financial discipline noted (≈$100m CapEx in Kuantan raised production ~50%), cash ≈$1.2bn on hand after >$900m equity raise, G&A rose $34m (≈$23m underabsorbed), and sulfuric acid input costs are ~4x year‑ago; FY27 production was described as “fairly higher” than FY26 but no specific tonnage was given.Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 956.58M | 542.66M | 464.45M | 787.12M | 920.01M |
| Gross Profit | 333.27M | 179.21M | 184.46M | 440.95M | 601.26M |
| EBITDA | 382.70M | 116.30M | 171.17M | 413.57M | 605.60M |
| Net Income | 217.49M | 7.99M | 84.51M | 310.67M | 540.82M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 4.33B | 2.94B | 2.80B | 2.64B | 2.06B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.21B | 166.49M | 523.84M | 1.01B | 965.58M |
| Total Debt | 338.36M | 202.05M | 183.98M | 190.62M | 192.14M |
| Total Liabilities | 838.04M | 591.51M | 562.12M | 475.27M | 416.02M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.49B | 2.35B | 2.24B | 2.16B | 1.65B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 164.27M | -326.66M | -544.38M | -208.76M | 273.77M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 338.64M | 104.17M | 34.96M | 386.75M | 460.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -859.68M | -406.19M | -507.22M | -554.50M | -83.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 845.38M | -45.30M | -22.54M | 199.00M | -13.81M |
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $11.09B | 69.04 | 6.49% | ― | 85.51% | 2628.57% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | $9.71B | -159.54 | -2.66% | ― | 71.92% | 44.39% | |
53 Neutral | $1.96B | -5.19 | 948.80% | ― | ― | -97.40% | |
47 Neutral | $4.38B | -7.33 | -23.45% | ― | ― | -270.60% | |
46 Neutral | $771.26M | -12.43 | -35.30% | ― | ― | -48.46% |
* General Sector Average
LYSDY
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR
11.04
1.55
16.30%
MP
MP Materials
54.53
-8.19
-13.06%
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
4.44
-0.78
-14.94%
CRML
Critical Metals Corp
7.28
1.11
17.99%
IPX
Iperionx Ltd. ADR
21.75
-26.72
-55.13%
USAR
USA Rare Earth
17.61
4.09
30.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.