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Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR (LYSDY) AI Stock Analysis
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Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR
(Other OTC:LYSDY)
The score is primarily supported by strong financial resilience (notably the conservative balance sheet) and a constructive earnings-call outlook around operational recovery and liquidity. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (clear downtrend despite oversold RSI) and an unattractive valuation profile (high P/E with no dividend yield provided), alongside ongoing cash-flow cyclicality risk.
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR (LYSDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $8.18B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 228.36K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 54.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.38
- Revenue Growth
- 85.51%
- EPS Growth
- 2628.57%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 1,156
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lynas Rare Earths Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, extraction, and processing of rare earth minerals in Australia and Malaysia. The company's flagship operation is the Mount Weld mine in Wester...
How the Company Makes Money
Lynas primarily makes money by selling rare earth products produced from its mining and processing operations. Its revenue model is centered on (1) mining and producing rare earth concentrate from its ore body, and (2) processing/separating that mate...
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary
The call emphasized substantial operational recovery, product and commercial progress (Dy/Tb and samarium deliveries), strong partnerships and a robust balance sheet, while also acknowledging near-term challenges including an ore-quality driven production shortfall, higher input costs (notably sulfuric acid up ~4x), temporary G&A increases, and some downstream projects pending FID. Management presented a clear path to ramp production, improve unit costs as fixed costs are absorbed, and expand downstream capabilities. Overall, positives such as safety improvement, commercial agreements, R&D progress, and liquidity materially outweigh the operational and cost headwinds.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance highlighted clear operational, product and financial milestones: safety improved to an LTI of 0.9 (half FY25) while TRIFR increases are being addressed; Mt Weld ramp‑up is almost complete, Kalgoorlie quality issues fixed, and Kuantan delivered its best-ever cracking/leaching with SX tested at new nameplate (management has demonstrated SX/NPF runs up to ~30 tpd and cracking/leaching up to ~31 tpd, with targets cited in the 30–33 tpd range and a longer‑term LAMP reference of ~12,000 tpa); samarium was delivered early (Mar‑26) and Gd/Y are expected in H1 FY28 with further Sm increases by H1 CY28; commercial and contractual progress includes a 12‑year JARE arrangement (up to ~7,200 t to Japan) and a $50m Lynas investment in JS Link; financial discipline noted (≈$100m CapEx in Kuantan raised production ~50%), cash ≈$1.2bn on hand after >$900m equity raise, G&A rose $34m (≈$23m underabsorbed), and sulfuric acid input costs are ~4x year‑ago; FY27 production was described as “fairly higher” than FY26 but no specific tonnage was given.
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Strong balance-sheet strength (low leverage and growing equity base) and a sharp FY2026 earnings rebound support a solid financial profile, but this is materially offset by historically volatile margins and especially uneven cash generation, including multiple years of negative free cash flow prior to FY2026.
Income Statement
72PositiveBalance Sheet
85Very PositiveCash Flow
48Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 978.32M | 956.58M | 542.66M | 464.45M | 787.12M | 920.01M |
| Gross Profit | 341.74M | 333.27M | 179.21M | 184.46M | 440.95M | 601.26M |
| EBITDA | 391.65M | 382.70M | 131.85M | 177.04M | 417.85M | 609.66M |
| Net Income | 222.89M | 217.49M | 7.99M | 84.51M | 310.67M | 540.82M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.33B | 4.33B | 2.94B | 2.80B | 2.64B | 2.06B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.21B | 1.21B | 166.49M | 523.84M | 1.01B | 965.58M |
| Total Debt | 338.36M | 338.36M | 202.05M | 183.98M | 190.62M | 192.14M |
| Total Liabilities | 838.04M | 838.04M | 591.51M | 562.12M | 475.27M | 416.02M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.49B | 3.49B | 2.35B | 2.24B | 2.16B | 1.65B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 173.47M | 164.27M | -326.66M | -544.38M | -208.76M | 273.77M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 354.25M | 338.64M | 104.17M | 34.96M | 386.75M | 460.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -905.46M | -859.68M | -406.19M | -507.22M | -554.50M | -83.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 908.42M | 845.38M | -45.30M | -22.54M | 199.00M | -13.81M |
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYSDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.30, below the 50-day MA of 9.64, and below the 200-day MA of 11.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LYSDY.
Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- LYSDY60Neutral
MP53Neutral
USAR46Neutral
TMC44Neutral
IPX38Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYSDY | 60Neutral | $8.56B | 54.53 | 6.49% | ― | 85.51% | 2628.57% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| MP | 53Neutral | $7.05B | -115.77 | -2.66% | ― | 71.92% | 44.39% |
| USAR | 46Neutral | $3.61B | -4.00 | -23.45% | ― | ― | -270.60% |
| TMC | 44Neutral | $1.15B | -3.04 | 948.80% | ― | ― | -97.40% |
| IPX | 38Underperform | $547.43M | -7.58 | -67.95% | ― | ― | -65.78% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYSDY | Lynas Rare Earths Limited Sponsored ADR | 8.51 | -0.64 | -6.98% | |
| MP | Mp Materials Corp | 39.57 | -18.09 | -31.37% | |
| TMC | TMC the metals company Inc. | 2.60 | -3.80 | -59.38% | |
| CRML | Critical Metals Corp. | 7.16 | -3.78 | -34.55% | |
| IPX | Iperionx Ltd. ADR | 15.01 | -26.67 | -63.99% | |
| USAR | Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | 9.62 | -7.29 | -43.11% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026