Intuitive Machines (LUNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.87B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 8.30M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.84
• Revenue Growth: 43.23%
• EPS Growth: -3174.53%
• Country: US
• Employees: 435
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 117,819,530
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,821,901
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,299,848
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): -1.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.89
• P/FCF Ratio: -16.47
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $15.25
• Price Target Upside: 59.02% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): -0.37
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $237.72M

• Rating: 42 Neutral
• Price Target: $10.00 ▲(4.28% Upside)

Intuitive Machines faces significant financial instability with negative equity and profitability issues, which are the most critical factors affecting the score. Technical indicators and valuation metrics further highlight risks, despite potential growth from strategic acquisitions.

Positive Factors

Strategic Acquisition

The acquisition of KinetX strengthens Intuitive Machines' capabilities in deep space navigation and mission planning, enhancing its competitive position in providing end-to-end solutions for lunar and interplanetary missions. This strategic move is expected to open new market opportunities and improve service offerings.

Revenue Growth

The 21% year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong demand for Intuitive Machines' services, particularly in CLPS, LTVS, and SNS. This growth trend supports the company's market expansion and demonstrates its ability to capitalize on increasing opportunities in the aerospace sector.

NASA Contract

Securing the NASA Near Space Network services contract positions Intuitive Machines as a key player in deep space infrastructure services. This contract not only provides a steady revenue stream but also enhances the company's credibility and relationships with major space agencies.

Negative Factors

Negative Equity

Negative equity is a significant financial risk, indicating that the company's liabilities surpass its assets. This precarious financial position can limit Intuitive Machines' ability to secure financing and invest in growth opportunities, potentially impacting long-term sustainability.

Operating Loss

The continued operating loss highlights ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Persistent losses can strain financial resources and hinder the company's ability to invest in strategic initiatives, affecting its long-term growth prospects and competitive position.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow indicates liquidity challenges, as the company is spending more cash than it generates. This situation can constrain Intuitive Machines' operational flexibility and ability to fund new projects, potentially impacting its ability to capitalize on growth opportunities.

Intuitive Machines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a leading aerospace and technology company focused on providing innovative solutions for space exploration and lunar missions. The company operates primarily in the aerospace sector, developing advanced spacecraft, landers, and robotic systems designed for lunar and planetary exploration. Their core products include the Nova-C lunar lander, which aims to support NASA's Artemis program and other commercial lunar activities, as well as various payload delivery services for government and private sector clients.

How the Company Makes Money

Intuitive Machines generates revenue through several key streams, including government contracts, commercial payload delivery services, and partnerships with various space agencies and private companies. A significant portion of their earnings comes from contracts with NASA, particularly related to lunar exploration projects. Additionally, the company earns income by providing launch services and supporting technologies for satellite deployments and other space missions. Strategic partnerships with organizations in the aerospace industry further enhance their revenue potential by expanding their service offerings and customer base.

Intuitive Machines Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intuitive Machines is facing significant financial challenges with negative equity, profitability issues, and cash flow concerns. Despite some revenue growth, the financial instability is a major risk.

Income Statement

Intuitive Machines shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 4.1%. However, profitability is a significant concern, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 21.56% in the TTM, but the net loss remains substantial, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a precarious financial position. The company has negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets, which is a significant risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, and while the return on equity appears positive, it is misleading due to the negative equity base. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial instability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some areas of concern. The company has negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, although the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash utilization relative to net losses. However, the negative growth in free cash flow and operating cash flow coverage ratio highlight liquidity challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	226.36M	228.00M	79.52M	85.95M	72.55M	44.26M
Gross Profit	41.93M	37.63M	-20.95M	10.43M	-27.76M	1.70M
EBITDA	-73.49M	-50.49M	48.46M	38.78M	-37.05M	-3.81M
Net Income	-240.83M	-283.41M	62.80M	-6.41M	-35.65M	-4.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	475.64M	355.40M	85.91M	67.00M	43.45M	38.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	346.94M	207.61M	4.50M	25.76M	29.29M	23.93M
Total Debt	37.34M	37.38M	43.48M	25.76M	14.99M	5.14M
Total Liabilities	184.75M	351.48M	137.48M	124.62M	95.29M	53.05M
Stockholders Equity	-374.90M	-1.00B	-235.08M	-57.62M	-51.84M	-16.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-40.22M	-67.70M	-75.19M	-15.62M	-19.74M	5.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-19.73M	-57.59M	-45.28M	784.00K	-16.57M	8.15M
Investing Cash Flow	-20.49M	-10.11M	-29.91M	-16.41M	-3.18M	-2.55M
Financing Cash Flow	353.49M	272.79M	53.92M	12.10M	25.11M	1.66M

Intuitive Machines Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 9.59
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.86, below the 50-day MA of 10.71, and below the 200-day MA of 11.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUNR.

Intuitive Machines Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AVAV	68 Neutral	$17.51B	―	-1.70%	―	44.04%	-129.81%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
RKLB	46 Neutral	$27.31B	―	-40.45%	―	54.36%	-26.35%
EVEX	43 Neutral	$1.40B	―	-115.63%	―	―	-33.69%
RDW	43 Neutral	$1.21B	―	-50.08%	―	-0.63%	-163.11%
LUNR	42 Neutral	$1.87B	―	―	―	43.23%	-3174.53%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$431.55M	―	―	―	―	―

Intuitive Machines Corporate Events

Intuitive Machines Acquires Lanteris Space Systems for $800M

On November 4, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a definitive agreement to acquire Lanteris Space Systems for $800 million, consisting of $450 million in cash and $350 million in stock. This acquisition positions Intuitive Machines as a next-generation space prime, expanding its operations from lunar-focused activities to a broader space domain, including LEO, MEO, GEO, Moon, Mars, and deep space missions. The transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to enhance Intuitive Machines’ capabilities in commercial, civil, and national security space programs, with the combined entity’s revenue exceeding $850 million and a backlog of $920 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.

Intuitive Machines Completes $345M Convertible Notes Offering

On August 18, 2025, Intuitive Machines completed a private offering of $345 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, which was an increase from the initially planned $250 million. The proceeds from this offering, approximately $335.5 million after deductions, are intended for general corporate purposes, including operations, R&D, and potential acquisitions. The company also entered into capped call transactions to mitigate potential stock dilution upon note conversion, reflecting strategic financial planning to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.

Intuitive Machines Announces $250M Convertible Notes Offering

On August 13, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a proposed private offering of $250 million in convertible senior notes due in 2030, targeting qualified institutional buyers. The company plans to use the proceeds for capped call transactions and general corporate purposes, including operations, research and development, and potential acquisitions. This financial maneuver aims to strengthen Intuitive Machines’ market position and operational capabilities in the space exploration industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.

Intuitive Machines Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for Intuitive Machines, Inc. presented a balanced view of the company’s current standing, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The discussion underscored significant revenue growth, strategic NASA contracts, and the acquisition of KinetX, which collectively position the company favorably for future opportunities. However, financial hurdles were evident with negative gross margins, earnings reductions, and a notable operating loss, indicating areas that require strategic focus and improvement. Despite these challenges, the company’s strategic decisions and future outlook suggest potential for improvement and growth.

Intuitive Machines Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

Intuitive Machines, Inc., a prominent player in the space technology and infrastructure services sector, focuses on lunar access and space commercialization through delivery services, data transmission, and infrastructure as a service. The company recently reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting strategic moves and financial performance.

Intuitive Machines Acquires KinetX for Strategic Expansion

On August 6, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a Stock Purchase Agreement to acquire KinetX, a leading space navigation and flight dynamics software company, for $30 million, positioning itself for constellation management in Earth Orbit, Moon, and Mars. The acquisition aligns with Intuitive Machines’ strategic expansion efforts, including in-house satellite production and a significant footprint increase at Houston Spaceport, as part of its broader growth strategy in the space technology sector. The company reported $50.3 million in revenue for Q2 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, and ended the quarter debt-free with $345 million in cash, highlighting its strong financial position and readiness for further strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.