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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9887)
:9887
Japanese Market
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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9887

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9887)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,465.00
▼(-15.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily held back by weak cash conversion and negative free cash flow in 2025–2026 alongside higher leverage, despite strong revenue growth and improved profitability. Technicals are moderately supportive with improving short-to-medium trend signals, but valuation is a headwind given the higher P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion indicates sustained demand for the company’s restaurant offerings and continued ability to grow its store-based sales base. This scale can support broader brand reach, operating leverage, and reinvestment in locations and menus over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage
The sharp increase in debt relative to equity raises the company’s sensitivity to interest costs and reduces financial flexibility. Greater reliance on borrowing may constrain investment, deleveraging, or shareholder distributions if restaurant operating conditions weaken or earnings growth slows.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion indicates sustained demand for the company’s restaurant offerings and continued ability to grow its store-based sales base. This scale can support broader brand reach, operating leverage, and reinvestment in locations and menus over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. (9887) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. is a prominent restaurant group operating across Japan, China, and Taiwan. Its diverse portfolio includes popular beef-on-rice and set meal chains, alongside specialized restaurants offering pork cutlets, sushi, an...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money mainly by operating restaurant stores under its various brands and collecting revenue from food and beverage sales to customers. Revenue is generated at the point of sale in company-operated locations (in-store dining, take...

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong multi-year revenue growth and a return to positive operating profit and net income, but net margins remain thin and somewhat volatile. Balance sheet risk is elevated by rising leverage (debt-to-equity increasing to ~0.95). Cash flow is the main drag: free cash flow has turned negative again in 2025–2026 and operating cash flow covered less than half of accounting earnings in 2026, limiting flexibility for deleveraging or shareholder returns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue191.97B184.47B154.22B127.61B106.60B94.47B
Gross Profit121.12B116.50B98.59B84.00B70.74B61.51B
EBITDA14.73B14.46B10.16B9.32B6.58B7.23B
Net Income3.92B3.77B2.19B2.92B1.26B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets135.89B140.79B104.16B91.12B79.70B76.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.58B30.68B16.87B19.12B14.88B13.39B
Total Debt52.64B54.98B35.37B26.59B21.12B20.37B
Total Liabilities77.93B83.12B58.54B47.25B38.29B36.36B
Stockholders Equity57.95B57.67B45.62B43.87B41.40B40.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.35B-6.20B4.08B2.75B3.55B
Operating Cash Flow0.0014.94B8.32B13.24B8.65B8.84B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-26.54B-17.76B-11.89B-6.57B-5.70B
Financing Cash Flow0.0026.06B7.14B2.74B-595.65M-3.46B

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6490.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5002.40
Positive
100DMA
5000.15
Positive
200DMA
5590.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
83.71
Negative
RSI
57.41
Neutral
STOCH
30.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9887, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6490 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5127.75, above the 50-day MA of 5002.40, and above the 200-day MA of 5590.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 83.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9887.

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥1.09T29.6113.01%0.68%2.34%8.58%
64
Neutral
¥248.52B43.350.57%10.76%48.44%
63
Neutral
¥769.87B40.4110.08%0.71%11.29%22.50%
59
Neutral
¥376.92B428.370.26%3.28%-79.18%
57
Neutral
¥108.70B26.160.45%17.68%41.66%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
¥138.31B39.670.57%6.86%182.73%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9887
Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.
5,280.00
-1,213.84
-18.69%
JP:2702
Mcdonalds Holdings Company Japan
8,190.00
1,686.26
25.93%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,384.00
307.46
9.99%
JP:2695
Kura Sushi, Inc.
1,740.00
-220.65
-11.25%
JP:3397
TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation
4,288.00
-810.11
-15.89%
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,843.00
784.68
25.66%

Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Matsuya Foods Boosts Sales and Dividend Outlook as Profit Margins Tighten
Aug 14, 2026
Matsuya Foods Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥50.7 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 17.4% year on year, while operating and ordinary profit declined 28.0% and 25.7% respectively, indicating higher costs or inv...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026