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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
(9861)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,579.00
▲(18.69% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial resilience (lower leverage, higher equity) and steady revenue growth, alongside supportive technical momentum (price above major moving averages and positive MACD). These positives are tempered by margin compression, inconsistent free cash flow, and a high P/E with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates improving customer demand and execution across the restaurant portfolio. If maintained, this expanding sales base can support operating scale, reinforce Yoshinoya’s market presence, and provide a durable foundation for earnings recovery over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Falling net margins mean revenue growth is translating into less bottom-line profit, weakening the earnings quality of the recovery. Persistently modest operating profitability could limit internal funding, reduce resilience to cost pressure, and make future earnings growth more dependent on continued sales expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates improving customer demand and execution across the restaurant portfolio. If maintained, this expanding sales base can support operating scale, reinforce Yoshinoya’s market presence, and provide a durable foundation for earnings recovery over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. (9861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥288.68B
Dividend Yield0.53%
Average Volume (3M)417.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)47.4
Beta (1Y)0.04
Revenue Growth9.53%
EPS Growth37.85%
CountryJP
Employees3,361
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)90.20
Shares Outstanding65,129,560
10 Day Avg. Volume644,580
30 Day Avg. Volume417,783
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.89
Price to Book (P/B)2.94
Price to Sales (P/S)0.89
P/FCF Ratio43.30
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)94.78
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥246.05B
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates and manages fast-food restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company operates gyudon beef bowl restaurants under the Yoshinoya brand; Japanese noodle restaurants under the Han...
How the Company Makes Money
Yoshinoya Holdings primarily makes money by selling prepared food and beverages through its company-operated and franchised restaurant networks. The largest recurring revenue stream comes from in-store and takeout customer transactions at Yoshinoy...
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 236.72B | 225.67B | 204.98B | 187.47B | 168.10B | 153.60B |
| Gross Profit | 138.75B | 132.16B | 124.00B | 114.62B | 101.96B | 95.22B |
| EBITDA | 17.40B | 16.13B | 13.84B | 15.09B | 15.76B | 20.38B |
| Net Income | 5.83B | 4.67B | 3.80B | 5.61B | 7.23B | 8.12B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 133.40B | 124.82B | 119.54B | 113.24B | 108.57B | 112.60B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 26.55B | 21.64B | 20.57B | 27.35B | 24.23B | 35.18B |
| Total Debt | 32.10B | 28.82B | 28.28B | 28.62B | 33.61B | 42.11B |
| Total Liabilities | 63.49B | 56.11B | 54.72B | 52.38B | 52.97B | 63.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 69.15B | 67.99B | 64.18B | 60.36B | 55.11B | 48.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 4.62B | 15.00M | 10.70B | 1.17B | 20.48B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 14.70B | 13.36B | 20.07B | 7.25B | 23.44B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -10.10B | -14.45B | -8.31B | -4.01B | -307.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.41B | -5.97B | -8.96B | -14.20B | -26.07B |
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3858.00
Price Trends
3831.22
Positive
3580.58
Positive
3371.48
Positive
Market Momentum
155.02
Negative
67.50
Neutral
82.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9861, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3858 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3893.15, above the 50-day MA of 3831.22, and above the 200-day MA of 3371.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 155.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9861.
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥71.03B | 53.80 | ― | 0.21% | 18.05% | 9.09% | |
71 Outperform | ¥171.59B | 74.02 | ― | 1.51% | 8.36% | -24.27% | |
70 Outperform | ¥1.35T | 43.24 | 28.47% | 0.34% | 23.74% | 40.37% | |
64 Neutral | ¥288.68B | 47.44 | ― | 0.53% | 9.53% | 37.85% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | ¥1.95T | 37.03 | 16.56% | 0.67% | 11.88% | 45.16% | |
57 Neutral | ¥114.88B | 27.50 | ― | 0.45% | 17.68% | 41.66% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
4,279.00
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38.61%
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Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Yoshinoya lifts earnings and dividend outlook on strong first-half results
Oct 8, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥121.5 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, up 10% year on year, with operating profit climbing 30.3% to ¥5.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping ...
Yoshinoya Raises Interim and Year-End Dividends on Upgraded Earnings Outlook
Oct 8, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings has approved an increase in its interim dividend from retained earnings for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, raising the payout from a previously forecast ¥11 to ¥12 per share, with a record date of August 31,...
Yoshinoya Lifts Full-Year Outlook After Beating Q2 Earnings Forecasts
Oct 8, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings reported that its consolidated results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2027 exceeded earlier forecasts, with net sales, operating income, ordinary income, and net income all coming in above expectations...
Yoshinoya Finalizes U.S. Ramen Chain Acquisition and Treasury Share Placement
Sep 2, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings has completed the acquisition, via its U.S. subsidiary YOSHINOYA US HOLDINGS INC., of a 70% equity stake in Kizuki International LLC, a U.S.-based operator of ramen and izakaya restaurant chains. The deal strengthens Yoshinoya&#...
Yoshinoya Completes JPY 2.5 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 24, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd., a major Japanese quick-service restaurant operator best known for its Yoshinoya beef bowl chain, competes in the mass-market dining segment with standardized menus and efficient store formats. The company is listed on...
Yoshinoya Advances Share Buyback, Repurchasing 361,500 Shares in July
Aug 3, 2026
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. has reported progress on its ongoing share buyback program, repurchasing 361,500 common shares for approximately JPY 1.33 billion between July 13 and July 31, 2026. The buyback, executed via open-market purchases on th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.