Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.92B
• Dividend Yield: 1.39%
• Average Volume (3M): 21.52K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.02
• Revenue Growth: 15.81%
• EPS Growth: -52.13%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,111
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 83
• Industry: Advertising Agencies
• EPS (TTM): 14.79
• Shares Outstanding: 10,034,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 12,240
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 21,516
• PEG Ratio: -0.74
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.41
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥877.00 ▲(11.15%Upside)

The stock score is primarily driven by strong financial performance due to robust revenue growth and effective cash generation. Technical analysis shows mixed signals with moderate momentum, while the valuation indicates potential overvaluation. Lack of recent earnings call data or corporate events limits comprehensive analysis.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the information technology sector. It focuses on providing mobile communication services, digital marketing, and other IT-related services. The company operates through various subsidiaries, leveraging technology to offer comprehensive solutions to businesses and consumers.

How the Company Makes Money

Orchestra Holdings Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its mobile communication services, which include offering mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) services. Additionally, the company earns money through digital marketing services, which involve leveraging data analytics and digital platforms to create marketing strategies for clients. The company also benefits from partnerships with technology and telecommunications firms, which enhance its service offerings and market reach.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall, Orchestra Holdings Inc. demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth and effective cash generation. While profitability margins show room for improvement, particularly in net income, the company's balance sheet remains strong with moderate leverage and substantial equity. The firm's efficient cash flow conversion indicates a solid capacity to fund future growth and manage financial obligations.

Income Statement

Orchestra Holdings Inc. has shown a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 15.9% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong business expansion. The gross profit margin stands at 46.2%, suggesting effective cost management. However, net profit margin decreased from 3.9% in 2023 to 2.4% in 2024, which might signal rising operational costs or competitive pressures. The EBIT margin is stable at 5.7%, while the EBITDA margin is higher at 9.4%, reflecting strong earnings before depreciation and amortization.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 44.3%, showing substantial equity funding. Return on equity (ROE) decreased to 5.8% in 2024, highlighting a need for more efficient profit generation relative to shareholder equity. The company's asset base has grown steadily, supporting its operational expansion.

Cash Flow

Strong cash flow performance is evident with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.5% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.38, indicating excellent cash generation capability from operations. Furthermore, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.29, reflecting efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow, despite higher capital expenditures.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
14.04B	12.11B	10.38B	16.64B	11.83B
	Gross Profit
6.49B	5.87B	5.10B	3.88B	2.51B
	EBIT
801.19M	765.00M	1.35B	1.26B	686.30M
	EBITDA
1.36B	1.21B	1.72B	1.45B	806.14M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
331.75M	474.00M	853.71M	757.23M	435.60M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.28B	3.59B	3.02B	4.96B	1.41B
	Total Assets
12.82B	12.71B	11.41B	10.56B	4.69B
	Total Debt
2.88B	3.01B	1.71B	1.53B	791.16M
	Net Debt
-397.02M	-231.00M	-1.31B	-3.42B	-622.70M
	Total Liabilities
6.70B	6.68B	5.67B	5.62B	2.80B
	Stockholders Equity
5.68B	5.63B	5.33B	4.47B	1.85B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
1.09B	972.00M	-533.72M	1.11B	586.65M
	Operating Cash Flow
1.12B	1.00B	-484.54M	1.11B	660.49M
	Investing Cash Flow
-380.87M	-2.00B	-993.87M	-32.18M	-62.88M
	Financing Cash Flow
-716.78M	1.21B	-413.55M	2.46B	127.37M

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 789.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 789 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 802.25, above the 50-day MA of 767.08, and below the 200-day MA of 809.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6533.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2173	79 Outperform	¥8.40B	8.01		3.64%	5.82%	14.22%
6045	77 Outperform	¥8.33B	12.44		2.17%	17.22%	96.65%
6533	72 Outperform	¥7.92B	31.97		1.39%	15.81%	-52.13%
7050	66 Neutral	¥8.78B	14.66		4.82%	10.20%	-26.87%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$14.35B	5.84	-4.31%	3.69%	2.75%	-35.67%
9235	55 Neutral	¥12.15B	―		―	―	―
6094	43 Neutral	¥8.90B	211.69		―	32.30%	―

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Reports Strong Q1 Performance with Strategic Expansions

Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported its first-quarter results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, showcasing a strong performance in its Digital Marketing and Digital Transformation segments. Despite a decrease in EBITDA and operating income compared to the previous year, net sales and gross profit reached record highs, indicating a recovery trend. The company also made strategic acquisitions in its DX business, expanding its services in the IoT domain and planning to acquire treasury stock for future M&A activities.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Increased Sales but Declining Profits

Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a significant increase in net sales by 20.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a decline in profits, with operating profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent decreasing by 22.5% and 39.0%, respectively. The financial position shows a slight increase in total assets but a decrease in the equity ratio, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability. The company has also revised its dividend forecast, reflecting a cautious approach to shareholder returns.