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Orchestra Holdings Inc.
(6533)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,315.00
▲(17.83% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance in 2025 (profit and free cash flow rebound) and supportive technical strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by increased leverage in 2025 and historically uneven margins/cash flow stability, while valuation is reasonable but not strongly supported by income yield.
Positive Factors
Profit & FCF rebound 2025
A sharp profit rebound and very strong free cash flow growth in 2025 indicate the business can convert incremental earnings into cash. Sustained FCF recovery supports reinvestment, debt servicing and shareholder returns, strengthening long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage in 2025
A material increase in debt and higher debt-to-equity in 2025 reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risks. If earnings or cash flow falter, elevated leverage could force costly deleveraging or constrain strategic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profit & FCF rebound 2025
A sharp profit rebound and very strong free cash flow growth in 2025 indicate the business can convert incremental earnings into cash. Sustained FCF recovery supports reinvestment, debt servicing and shareholder returns, strengthening long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥12.30B
Dividend Yield1.01%
Average Volume (3M)14.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.5
Beta (1Y)0.41
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryJP
Employees1,178
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryAdvertising Agencies
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)92.82
Shares Outstanding10,034,200
10 Day Avg. Volume13,760
30 Day Avg. Volume14,056
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.09
Price to Book (P/B)1.65
Price to Sales (P/S)0.68
P/FCF Ratio11.16
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orchestra Holdings Inc., a Tokyo-based enterprise established in 2009, specializes in digital transformation, digital marketing, and various other business ventures across Japan. Their comprehensive suite of solutions spans IT engineer services, s...
How the Company Makes Money
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Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 15.76B | 15.77B | 14.04B | 12.11B | 10.38B | 16.64B |
| Gross Profit | 7.01B | 6.90B | 6.49B | 5.86B | 5.10B | 3.88B |
| EBITDA | 1.93B | 1.82B | 1.36B | 1.40B | 1.72B | 1.45B |
| Net Income | 877.05M | 816.84M | 331.75M | 474.22M | 853.71M | 757.23M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.35B | 16.16B | 12.82B | 12.71B | 11.41B | 10.56B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.49B | 3.54B | 3.30B | 3.28B | 3.07B | 4.96B |
| Total Debt | 5.19B | 5.29B | 2.88B | 3.01B | 1.71B | 1.53B |
| Total Liabilities | 9.23B | 9.15B | 6.70B | 6.68B | 5.67B | 5.62B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.58B | 6.50B | 5.68B | 5.63B | 5.33B | 4.47B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 781.28M | 961.81M | 1.09B | 972.40M | -533.72M | 1.11B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 823.74M | 1.04B | 1.12B | 1.00B | -484.54M | 1.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -618.40M | -1.23B | -380.87M | -2.00B | -1.21B | 166.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -73.84M | 425.10M | -716.78M | 1.20B | -195.42M | 2.26B |
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
1116.00
Price Trends
1177.96
Positive
1098.45
Positive
1095.88
Positive
Market Momentum
12.25
Positive
48.10
Neutral
42.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1116 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1212.25, below the 50-day MA of 1177.96, and above the 200-day MA of 1095.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 12.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6533.
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥29.71B | 11.60 | ― | 5.35% | 4.88% | -5.77% | |
69 Neutral | ¥12.30B | 10.51 | ― | 0.91% | ― | ― | |
67 Neutral | ¥9.88B | 18.14 | ― | 2.61% | 10.50% | ― | |
64 Neutral | ¥19.45B | 6.38 | ― | 2.19% | 289.34% | 309.72% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
51 Neutral | ¥15.96B | -5.87 | ― | 7.85% | -55.40% | -157.50% | |
50 Neutral | ¥10.21B | 5.27 | ― | ― | 10.01% | ― |
* General Sector Average
JP:6533
Orchestra Holdings Inc.
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Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events
Orchestra Holdings Boosts Dividend and Sharpened Shareholder Perks Ahead of 10th Listing Anniversary
Jun 22, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. has revised its fiscal year-end dividend forecast for the year ending December 2026, lifting the planned year-end payout from ¥13 to ¥30 per share, including a ¥5 commemorative component to mark the 10th anni...
Orchestra Holdings to Make System Developer SALTO a Consolidated Subsidiary
May 27, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. has resolved to acquire all shares of SALTO Co., Ltd., a system development company specializing in contract, lab-style, and offshore development, and will convert it into a consolidated subsidiary. SALTO, which has about 2...
Orchestra Holdings Lifts Profit in Q1 2026 and Confirms Full-Year Outlook
May 15, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of ¥4.04 billion, down 1.1% year on year, but significantly improved profitability with operating profit up 19.7% to ¥590 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.