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Tsuruya Co., Ltd. (5386) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5386

Tsuruya Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5386)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:JPY 398.00â–²(5.85% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:03/24/26

Overall score is driven primarily by stable solvency and balance-sheet strength, offset by thin margins and weakened TTM cash generation (negative free cash flow). Technicals are also a headwind with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while the low P/E and dividend offer valuation support.

Positive Factors
Low leverage and strong equity baseA very low debt-to-equity ratio gives the company durable balance-sheet resilience. This reduces default and refinancing risk, preserves financial flexibility for capex or downturns, and supports longer-term strategic moves without reliance on costly external debt.
Negative Factors
Thin profitability marginsVery slim operating and net margins limit the firm's ability to absorb cost inflation or demand shocks and constrain retained earnings. Over the medium term, thin margins reduce reinvestment capacity and make sustainable earnings growth more difficult without structural margin expansion.

Tsuruya Co., Ltd. (5386) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:5386-5.46%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.74B
Dividend Yield
2.78%
Average Volume (3M)
4,108
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.8
Beta (1Y)
0.20
Revenue Growth
9.56%
EPS Growth
103.95%
Country
Japan
Employees
350
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Construction Materials

Tsuruya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Handa, Japan, and established in 1887, Tsuruya Co., Ltd. operates as a key supplier within the Japanese construction sector. The company primarily produces and distributes clay roofing tiles. Its extensive operations also encompass comprehen...

Tsuruya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile is mixed: low leverage and a strong equity base support resilience (debt-to-equity ~0.07), but profitability remains modest (TTM net margin ~2.4%, operating margin ~1.6%) and TTM free cash flow is negative despite positive operating cash flow, raising questions about cash conversion and sustainability.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.47B6.82B6.37B7.14B7.74B7.29B
Gross Profit1.62B1.76B1.60B1.40B1.78B1.99B
EBITDA264.80M312.60M313.84M-11.42M376.06M511.49M
Net Income157.25M121.42M127.34M-90.95M128.90M293.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.46B15.87B15.84B15.53B15.82B15.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.48B1.86B1.65B1.18B1.63B1.95B
Total Debt900.00M1.30B1.50B1.50B1.50B1.80B
Total Liabilities3.24B3.96B3.95B3.94B4.09B4.20B
Stockholders Equity12.22B11.91B11.89B11.60B11.72B11.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-145.13M391.77M508.42M-388.29M68.94M441.83M
Operating Cash Flow270.99M576.05M661.42M-52.29M216.81M494.67M
Investing Cash Flow99.85M-439.91M-156.24M-335.73M-144.51M-52.53M
Financing Cash Flow-619.07M-334.36M-38.37M-55.57M-390.61M-101.64M

Tsuruya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price376.00

Price Trends

50DMA383.28Negative
100DMA380.73Negative
200DMA377.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.21Positive
RSI38.72Neutral
STOCH32.65Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5386, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 376.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 384.40, below the 50-day MA of 383.28, and below the 200-day MA of 377.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5386.

Tsuruya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5386 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5356JP:535682OutperformJPY 12.44B10.16―3.87%1.30%-3.99%
JP:5357JP:535777OutperformJPY 24.48B11.10―5.44%4.27%27.05%
JP:5268JP:526870OutperformJPY 10.43B16.64―1.77%7.46%72.19%
JP:5386JP:538663NeutralJPY 2.88B7.78―2.78%9.56%103.95%
JP:5269JP:526959NeutralJPY 19.30B21.18―2.62%0.13%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:5386JP:5268JP:5269JP:5356JP:5357Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5386 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5386Tsuruya Co., Ltd.376.00-21.72-5.46%
JP:5268Asahi Concrete Works Co., Ltd.793.0019.562.53%
JP:5269Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd.344.0029.379.33%
JP:5356Mino Ceramic Co., Ltd.1214.00-77.47-6.00%
JP:5357Yotai Refractories Co., Ltd.1653.00-38.44-2.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026