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SD Entertainment, Inc. (4650) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4650

SD Entertainment, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4650)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 288.00â–²(6.67% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by an improving financial recovery (strong 2026 revenue rebound, return to profitability, and materially better free cash flow), tempered by meaningful operating-margin compression and still-elevated leverage. Technicals add moderate support (positive momentum but below the 200-day trend), while valuation is a modest positive due to a reasonable P/E.

Positive Factors
Revenue rebound and return to profitabilityThe return to revenue growth and positive earnings indicates that the business is recovering from weaker prior periods. Sustained demand and renewed profitability could strengthen internal funding capacity, improve resilience, and support continued operational investment.
Negative Factors
Operating-margin compressionThe substantial decline in operating margin shows that revenue growth has not translated efficiently into operating profit. Higher costs or weaker operating leverage could limit earnings durability and make future profitability more sensitive to execution and demand changes.

SD Entertainment, Inc. (4650) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4650-6.57%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.42B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2,796
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.2
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
20.11%
EPS Growth
7222.11%
Country
Japan
Employees
381
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Media & Entertainment

SD Entertainment, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SD ENTERTAINMENT, Inc. is a Japanese corporation active across several business segments, including fitness, childcare, online crane gaming, e-commerce, and real estate management. The company currently oversees 12 fitness centers and operates four n...

SD Entertainment, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving but still moderately risky: 2026 revenue re-accelerated (~17% YoY) and net income turned positive with a ~4.2% net margin, while free cash flow rebounded strongly (~444M) after several negative years. Offsetting this, operating margin compressed materially (from ~6.2% in 2024 to ~1.4% in 2026) and leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.11), limiting flexibility.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29B5.16B4.20B3.74B3.77B3.99B
Gross Profit4.83B4.49B3.73B3.32B3.32B3.41B
EBITDA421.75M302.88M310.68M322.03M282.16M210.11M
Net Income293.26M215.78M93.82M117.94M-197.70M64.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.62B4.69B4.21B4.24B4.42B5.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B1.03B486.64M858.38M996.85M1.46B
Total Debt1.96B2.00B1.89B2.05B2.27B2.87B
Total Liabilities2.84B2.89B2.62B2.75B3.05B3.93B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.80B1.58B1.49B1.37B1.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0444.41M-42.17M-32.25M-227.93M22.75M
Operating Cash Flow0612.84M85.00M27.82M-105.80M174.63M
Investing Cash Flow0-183.65M-216.86M52.57M265.98M1.84B
Financing Cash Flow0109.27M-239.88M-218.87M-626.37M-1.45B

SD Entertainment, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price270.00

Price Trends

50DMA270.28Negative
100DMA268.26Positive
200DMA275.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.07Positive
RSI46.57Neutral
STOCH19.44Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4650, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 270.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 271.20, below the 50-day MA of 270.28, and below the 200-day MA of 275.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4650.

SD Entertainment, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

JP:4650 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4816JP:481682OutperformJPY 632.96B25.81―1.45%-1.55%-1.56%
JP:5032JP:503282OutperformJPY 192.45B14.03―2.25%10.40%-5.83%
JP:7860JP:786066NeutralJPY 56.04B16.226.34%4.07%7.12%4609.35%
JP:3791JP:379164NeutralJPY 21.52B28.54―0.79%8.53%-8.74%
JP:4650JP:465062NeutralJPY 2.42B8.24――20.11%7222.11%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
JP:3686JP:368637UnderperformJPY 2.35B-3.44――-24.70%-80.94%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%JP:4650JP:7860JP:3686JP:3791JP:4816JP:5032Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4650 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4650SD Entertainment, Inc.270.00-19.00-6.57%
JP:7860Avex Inc.1227.0067.185.79%
JP:3686DLE, Inc.54.00-70.00-56.45%
JP:3791IG Port, Inc.1070.00-371.27-25.76%
JP:4816Toei Animation Co., Ltd.3030.00177.186.21%
JP:5032ANYCOLOR Inc.3150.00-2746.34-46.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026