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Toho Co Ltd (JP:9602)
:9602
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Toho Co (9602) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9602

Toho Co

(9602)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,802.00
▲(15.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (notably the very conservative balance sheet and solid profitability), offset by only mixed technicals (below 100D/200D averages) and a valuation that offers limited support (P/E ~23.2, ~1.57% yield).
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profit Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and substantial EPS growth indicate broadening earnings power and continued content monetization. If maintained, this growth can support reinvestment in films, distribution, cinemas, and intellectual property while strengthening Toho’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Recent margin compression shows that strong revenue growth has not fully translated into sustained peak profitability. If margins remain below prior highs, earnings growth may depend more heavily on continued volume and title success, reducing the durability and predictability of operating leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profit Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and substantial EPS growth indicate broadening earnings power and continued content monetization. If maintained, this growth can support reinvestment in films, distribution, cinemas, and intellectual property while strengthening Toho’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Toho Co (9602) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toho Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toho Co., Ltd. engages in the motion picture, theatrical production, and real estate businesses in Japan. It is involved in producing, buying/selling, and renting movies; producing and selling television programs, movie pamphlets, and video softwa...
How the Company Makes Money
Toho primarily makes money through a vertically integrated film business model that combines (1) producing and distributing content and (2) monetizing that content through theatrical exhibition and downstream licensing. 1) Film production and dis...

Toho Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by solid and consistent profitability and strong multi-year revenue growth, plus an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal debt. The main constraints are some margin compression versus prior peaks and uneven cash-flow trends, including weaker conversion of earnings into operating cash flow and a TTM decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue364.53B360.66B313.17B283.35B244.29B228.37B
Gross Profit158.18B159.59B138.71B126.25B104.67B91.32B
EBITDA62.58B90.94B81.18B77.80B61.84B54.32B
Net Income47.68B51.77B43.36B45.28B33.43B29.57B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets690.79B702.93B668.28B628.00B538.81B506.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.96B112.41B96.94B123.93B154.24B133.05B
Total Debt1.54B1.62B1.92B3.38B466.00M104.00M
Total Liabilities172.00B169.94B173.47B143.24B115.11B97.65B
Stockholders Equity501.22B515.37B478.39B458.89B409.31B395.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.98B49.90B19.09B21.66B28.48B26.52B
Operating Cash Flow54.87B65.33B51.62B43.35B45.40B53.46B
Investing Cash Flow-11.65B-24.90B-18.46B-62.71B-9.18B-36.03B
Financing Cash Flow-46.31B-31.33B-39.30B-11.63B-19.13B-12.48B

Toho Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1557.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1459.31
Positive
100DMA
1389.21
Positive
200DMA
1504.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
36.31
Positive
RSI
63.19
Neutral
STOCH
57.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9602, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1557 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1544.03, above the 50-day MA of 1459.31, and above the 200-day MA of 1504.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 36.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9602.

Toho Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥627.74B23.501.48%-1.08%9.95%
76
Outperform
¥428.21B15.870.61%3.44%48.68%
75
Outperform
¥1.35T27.859.32%1.36%16.81%25.25%
66
Neutral
¥57.04B16.226.34%4.01%7.12%4609.35%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥20.74B30.921.26%-3.66%-23.02%
56
Neutral
¥151.07B43.450.37%16.93%270.19%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9602
Toho Co
1,594.50
-252.64
-13.68%
JP:7860
Avex Inc.
1,235.00
-10.91
-0.88%
JP:3791
IG Port, Inc.
1,025.00
-495.24
-32.58%
JP:4816
Toei Animation Co., Ltd.
2,975.00
7.00
0.24%
JP:9601
Shochiku Co., Ltd.
10,890.00
-1,777.24
-14.03%
JP:9605
Toei Company, Ltd.
5,920.00
612.69
11.54%

Toho Co Corporate Events

Toho kicks off real estate portfolio overhaul with sale of seven low-strategic properties
Aug 17, 2026
Toho Co., Ltd. has initiated the first major step in its real estate portfolio overhaul by deciding to sell seven regional and suburban properties judged to have low strategic value and limited future earnings contribution. The assets, mainly comm...
Toho sets ¥50 billion strategic shareholding cut to boost capital efficiency
Jul 15, 2026
Toho Co., Ltd. has adopted a new, more aggressive policy to reduce its strategic shareholdings after previously selling all shares in eight issues between fiscal 2023 and fiscal 2026 following board reviews of necessity and rationality. The compan...
Toho Releases Concise 1Q FY2/27 Results Update
Jul 15, 2026
Toho Co., Ltd., a leading Japanese entertainment and film company, has released its consolidated financial results presentation for the first quarter of fiscal year ending February 2027, covering the period from March 1 to May 31, 2026. The materi...
Toho Revenue Rises but Profits Drop Sharply in First Quarter
Jul 15, 2026
Toho reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥88.7 billion for the three months ended May 31, 2026, up 4.6% year on year, but operating profit fell 28.3% to ¥13.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 29.1% to &#...
Toho Completes Treasury Share Disposition for Restricted Share Remuneration
Jun 26, 2026
Toho Co., Ltd. has completed the payment process for a planned disposition of treasury shares used as restricted share remuneration for its directors and executive officers. The move follows a Board decision made in late May and reflects the compa...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2026