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Natoco Co (4627) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4627

Natoco Co

(TSE/TYO:4627)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,172.00â–²(10.48% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (notably a debt-free balance sheet) and attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). Offsetting factors are inconsistent/volatile free cash flow and softer technical momentum (negative MACD, sub-50 RSI, and trading below key short-term moving averages).

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetA debt-free balance sheet and growing equity base give Natoco strong solvency and financial flexibility. The conservative capital structure reduces interest burden and refinancing exposure, while preserving capacity to withstand demand changes or support investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Longer-term margin softeningThe decline in operating and net margins from earlier peaks suggests that Natoco's earnings profile has normalized and that pricing or cost pressures have reduced profitability. Sustained margin softness could limit earnings conversion from future sales growth and constrain internal investment capacity.

Natoco Co (4627) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4627+30.25%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 14.83B
Dividend Yield
2.75%
Average Volume (3M)
9,555
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.4
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
8.40%
EPS Growth
43.38%
Country
Japan
Employees
452
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Natoco Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Natoco Co., Ltd. is a Japanese enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of various products, including paints, inks, fine chemicals, synthetic resins, and associated materials. The company's operations are structured into three main...

How the Company Makes Money

Natoco makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling paints/coatings and related chemical products to customers (typically industrial users and project/contract channels). Revenue is generated when the company supplies coating materials for appl...

Natoco Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet strength (zero debt, growing equity) supports a high-quality financial profile, and profitability is healthy with improved earnings versus the prior year. However, longer-term margin softening and weak/volatile free cash flow (despite positive operating cash flow) meaningfully temper the score due to cash conversion risk.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.97B22.28B20.75B20.16B20.45B19.05B
Gross Profit5.77B5.26B4.83B4.74B5.10B5.28B
EBITDA2.81B2.12B2.03B2.01B2.40B2.58B
Net Income1.58B1.14B955.98M951.21M1.51B1.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.42B31.03B29.83B28.84B28.22B26.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.92B11.71B11.75B10.27B9.39B9.03B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities7.54B6.44B6.26B6.09B6.14B5.69B
Stockholders Equity25.70B24.42B23.57B22.75B22.09B20.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.27B1.27B1.18B1.07B1.17B658.69M
Operating Cash Flow1.85B1.85B1.59B1.69B2.03B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-211.87M-211.87M-789.66M-2.32B-2.12B-1.31B
Financing Cash Flow-398.30M-398.30M-413.32M-383.36M-414.59M-384.58M

Natoco Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price1966.00

Price Trends

50DMA1957.83Positive
100DMA1845.57Positive
200DMA1741.71Positive

Market Momentum

MACD9.16Positive
RSI45.50Neutral
STOCH29.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4627, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1966.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2043.69, above the 50-day MA of 1957.83, and above the 200-day MA of 1741.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4627.

Natoco Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:4627 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4624JP:462486OutperformJPY 6.29B9.71―1.20%6.22%42.74%
JP:4629JP:462983OutperformJPY 11.55B7.97―1.78%9.24%125.63%
JP:4623JP:462374OutperformJPY 6.31B8.70―3.23%14.27%13.63%
JP:4627JP:462771OutperformJPY 14.83B9.386.33%2.75%8.40%43.38%
JP:4625JP:462563NeutralJPY 4.62B4.34―2.30%7.24%279.81%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:4615JP:461550NeutralJPY 4.80B-10.17――3.37%-81.97%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:4627JP:4615JP:4623JP:4624JP:4625JP:4629Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4627 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4627Natoco Co 1966.00435.2528.43%
JP:4615Shinto Paint Co., Ltd.141.0014.0011.02%
JP:4623Asahipen Corporation1860.00196.4311.81%
JP:4624Isamu Paint Co., Ltd.4175.00730.3721.20%
JP:4625Atomix Co., Ltd.871.00209.3931.65%
JP:4629Daishin Chemical Co., Ltd.2525.001020.1667.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026