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True Data Inc.
(4416)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥447.00
▼(-43.56% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strengthening financial performance—especially the zero-debt balance sheet, improving profitability, and better 2026 cash generation. This is tempered by weak technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a valuation that is moderate on earnings (P/E ~24.7) without a dividend yield to support return expectations.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion indicates sustained growth in the company’s business base. The 2026 re-acceleration after a weaker 2025 suggests demand and commercial execution remain capable of supporting further expansion.
Negative Factors
Modest Net Margin
Although profitability has improved substantially from the 2021 loss, the still-modest net margin leaves limited protection against cost increases or weaker revenue. Margin volatility also makes the durability and quality of earnings less certain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion indicates sustained growth in the company’s business base. The 2026 re-acceleration after a weaker 2025 suggests demand and commercial execution remain capable of supporting further expansion.
Read all positive factors
True Data Inc. (4416) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.02B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)24.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)25.4
Beta (1Y)0.15
Revenue Growth23.07%
EPS Growth2166.40%
CountryJP
Employees93
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)16.24
Shares Outstanding4,841,200
10 Day Avg. Volume19,080
30 Day Avg. Volume24,716
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.05
Price to Book (P/B)1.89
Price to Sales (P/S)1.18
P/FCF Ratio12.75
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
True Data Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
True Data Inc. operates an outsourcing contracting to a marketing platform for consumer purchasing data analysis solutions in Japan. The company offers POS/ID-POS and purchasing behavior analysis solutions for consumer goods manufacturers, and ret...
True Data Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.95B | 1.87B | 1.55B | 1.59B | 1.44B | 1.31B |
| Gross Profit | 1.05B | 1.05B | 879.64M | 901.35M | 755.07M | 644.11M |
| EBITDA | 169.12M | 167.43M | 95.07M | 122.05M | 198.36M | 161.69M |
| Net Income | 78.60M | 80.51M | 13.23M | 60.00M | 34.00M | 15.48M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.52B | 1.53B | 1.36B | 1.36B | 1.28B | 1.30B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 852.07M | 971.08M | 859.56M | 937.53M | 879.05M | 847.38M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48M | 35.28M | 63.11M | 93.47M |
| Total Liabilities | 353.30M | 370.16M | 281.99M | 314.95M | 307.86M | 372.35M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.17B | 1.16B | 1.08B | 1.05B | 970.39M | 925.37M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 172.77M | 21.84M | 115.63M | 126.25M | 132.21M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 189.05M | 37.15M | 127.53M | 138.66M | 137.01M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -74.20M | -104.91M | -58.81M | -87.66M | -56.53M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.87M | -10.22M | -10.23M | -19.34M | 332.87M |
True Data Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
792.00
Price Trends
421.46
Negative
419.59
Negative
537.55
Negative
Market Momentum
0.84
Negative
49.94
Neutral
32.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4416, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 792 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 408.10, above the 50-day MA of 421.46, and above the 200-day MA of 537.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4416.
True Data Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥29.41B | 35.72 | ― | ― | 24.82% | 82.75% | |
75 Outperform | ¥23.52B | 14.68 | ― | 1.33% | 16.61% | 15.40% | |
73 Outperform | ¥2.02B | 25.43 | ― | ― | 23.07% | 2166.40% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | ¥17.72B | 20.81 | ― | ― | -0.96% | 110.52% | |
52 Neutral | ¥97.66B | 71.84 | 1.81% | 2.05% | 4.43% | ― |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4416
True Data Inc.
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3,075.00
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.