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Cacco, Inc.
(4166)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥804.00
▼(-9.46% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorated profitability and sustained negative free cash flow since 2023, which increases execution and funding risk. Technicals are a meaningful offset with strong momentum and price above key moving averages, though conditions look overheated (very high RSI). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross profitability
Consistently high gross profitability indicates that Cacco’s core services can generate attractive contribution economics before operating costs. If management improves cost control and execution, this margin structure could provide a foundation for restoring operating profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sustained losses
The multi-year shift from positive earnings to sizable losses shows that recent profitability deterioration is not merely a single-quarter issue. Continued negative operating and net margins can reduce internal funding capacity and make a durable earnings recovery dependent on successful cost and execution improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross profitability
Consistently high gross profitability indicates that Cacco’s core services can generate attractive contribution economics before operating costs. If management improves cost control and execution, this margin structure could provide a foundation for restoring operating profitability over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Cacco, Inc. (4166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.04B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)62.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth9.28%
EPS Growth-4.74%
CountryJP
Employees36
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-65.83
Shares Outstanding2,771,061
10 Day Avg. Volume181,710
30 Day Avg. Volume62,383
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.34
Price to Book (P/B)3.13
Price to Sales (P/S)2.68
P/FCF Ratio-28.65
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Cacco, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cacco Inc. provides SaaS-type algorithm solutions in Japan. It offers fraud detection services in e-commerce and finance fields, payment consulting services, and business optimization solutions through data science, as well as engages in the disco...
Cacco, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 867.76M | 819.44M | 734.02M | 952.00M | 1.08B | 951.14M |
| Gross Profit | 631.41M | 572.11M | 445.02M | 586.50M | 729.95M | 690.91M |
| EBITDA | -123.31M | -96.21M | -211.00M | -215.67M | 246.34M | 191.91M |
| Net Income | -180.40M | -137.69M | -255.03M | -320.00M | 100.35M | 120.31M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.13B | 1.00B | 1.03B | 1.29B | 1.54B | 1.42B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 666.14M | 762.44M | 734.62M | 941.09M | 962.07M | 800.65M |
| Total Debt | 386.04M | 186.65M | 82.14M | 96.43M | 1.80M | 6.08M |
| Total Liabilities | 506.66M | 299.83M | 193.35M | 214.72M | 162.02M | 144.28M |
| Stockholders Equity | 620.65M | 702.52M | 832.17M | 1.07B | 1.37B | 1.27B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -76.69M | -200.00M | -56.00M | 212.50M | 21.94M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -73.86M | -198.00M | -49.31M | 250.38M | 149.66M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.84M | -2.06M | -69.68M | -86.61M | -134.25M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 104.51M | -5.68M | 98.01M | -2.34M | -507.94M |
Cacco, Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
888.00
Price Trends
643.44
Positive
655.49
Positive
703.42
Positive
Market Momentum
24.18
Negative
86.18
Negative
63.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4166, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 888 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 653.70, above the 50-day MA of 643.44, and above the 200-day MA of 703.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4166.
Cacco, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥10.23B | 8.95 | ― | 1.87% | 12.61% | 49.51% | |
68 Neutral | ¥6.06B | 13.65 | ― | ― | 23.42% | 457.78% | |
67 Neutral | ¥8.05B | 50.61 | ― | ― | 7.04% | -67.36% | |
63 Neutral | ¥15.18B | 20.74 | ― | ― | 14.06% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | ¥4.73B | 47.75 | ― | 0.70% | 20.67% | -37.51% | |
53 Neutral | ¥2.04B | -12.03 | ― | ― | 9.28% | -4.74% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4166
Cacco, Inc.
792.00
50.00
6.74%
JP:4168
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777.00
-207.24
-21.06%
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370.00
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Chatwork Co.Ltd.
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Lancers, Inc.
287.00
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-0.72%
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Nulab Inc.
1,295.00
488.00
60.47%
Cacco, Inc. Corporate Events
Cacco outlines FY2026 first-half results and growth strategy
Sep 1, 2026
Cacco Inc., listed under securities code 4166, operates in the technology and digital solutions space, emphasizing innovation and the development of next-generation tools and services. The company presents itself as a facilitator of new business m...
Cacco Posts Interim Loss as It Shifts to Consolidated Reporting and Adds Anycloud
Sep 1, 2026
Cacco Inc. reported consolidated revenue of ¥455 million for the first half of 2026, alongside operating and ordinary losses of ¥92 million and ¥93 million, resulting in a net loss of ¥107 million and basic earnings per share o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.