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PATH Corporation (JP:3840)
:3840
Japanese Market
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PATH Corporation (3840) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3840

PATH Corporation

(3840)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
¥54.00
▼(-10.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance: widening losses in 2026 and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow outweigh the benefit of revenue growth and manageable leverage. Technicals add additional pressure with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is also hindered by the negative P/E, indicating losses rather than earnings-based support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Trajectory
Sustained revenue expansion into 2026 indicates underlying demand and market traction for the company’s services. Over months this supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and creates a foundation for future margin recovery if management converts top-line growth into improved operating efficiency.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash Flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow means the business cannot internally fund operations or growth, requiring external financing. Over months this erodes liquidity, increases financing costs or dilution risk, and constrains the company’s ability to invest in product or sales initiatives needed for durable recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Trajectory
Sustained revenue expansion into 2026 indicates underlying demand and market traction for the company’s services. Over months this supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and creates a foundation for future margin recovery if management converts top-line growth into improved operating efficiency.
Read all positive factors

PATH Corporation (3840) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

PATH Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Path Corporation, headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, was established in 1990 and primarily focuses on its e-commerce ventures across the country. The company offers a wide array of cosmetics, beauty products, and wellness items. Its activities also en...
How the Company Makes Money
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PATH Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak. Despite long-run revenue expansion (2026 up ~31% YoY), profitability deteriorated materially with a much wider operating loss in 2026 (EBIT about -¥0.91B vs ~-¥0.21B in 2025) and a larger net loss (~-¥1.28B). Cash generation is also poor with consistently negative operating cash flow (about -¥0.44B in 2026) and negative free cash flow, indicating ongoing cash burn. The balance sheet leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.12 in 2025), but equity declined from 2025 to 2026, showing losses are eroding the cushion.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.37B2.25B2.32B1.99B2.11B
Gross Profit1.16B1.17B1.10B972.41M1.10B
EBITDA-788.58M-163.36M-137.10M-195.17M-636.52M
Net Income-1.28B-276.77M-175.88M-256.11M-745.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.53B3.25B1.68B1.45B1.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments357.20M154.66M296.58M172.88M345.48M
Total Debt250.00M293.39M0.000.00500.00M
Total Liabilities621.09M777.41M477.02M350.55M802.16M
Stockholders Equity1.91B2.47B1.20B1.10B469.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-490.93M-1.06B-159.30M-467.46M-855.42M
Operating Cash Flow-435.48M-538.51M-76.61M-352.40M-835.56M
Investing Cash Flow-319.23M-525.28M-87.37M-113.93M-23.60M
Financing Cash Flow957.25M914.00M287.69M281.09M998.98M

PATH Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.00
Price Trends
50DMA
58.64
Positive
100DMA
58.84
Positive
200DMA
61.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
62.85
Neutral
STOCH
69.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3840, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.05, above the 50-day MA of 58.64, and below the 200-day MA of 61.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3840.

PATH Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥45.45B11.333.71%-1.79%10.53%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
¥6.69B17.194.39%1.99%114.51%
55
Neutral
¥5.88B32.252.72%-3.93%11.47%
53
Neutral
¥3.16B15.633.30%-2.64%-18.75%
42
Neutral
¥4.80B-3.93-0.19%-172.04%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3840
PATH Corporation
62.00
-54.00
-46.55%
JP:3948
Hikari Business Form Co., Ltd.
1,164.00
-78.07
-6.29%
JP:3958
Sasatoku Printing Co.,Ltd.
551.00
18.83
3.54%
JP:7914
Kyodo Printing Co., Ltd.
1,769.00
302.51
20.63%
JP:7916
Mitsumura Printing Co., Ltd.
1,920.00
468.54
32.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026