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Ing Groep N.V. (ING)
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ING Groep (ING) AI Stock Analysis

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ING

ING Groep

(NYSE:ING)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(18.34% Upside)
ING Groep's overall score reflects strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation, offset by financial performance challenges, particularly in cash flow and leverage. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.

ING Groep (ING) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ING Groep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionING Groep N.V. is a global financial institution headquartered in Amsterdam, Netherlands, offering a wide range of banking, investment, life insurance, and retirement services. The company operates primarily through its retail and wholesale banking segments, serving millions of customers across Europe, North America, Asia, and Australia. ING is known for its strong digital banking platform, providing innovative solutions such as online banking, mobile banking apps, and various financial products aimed at both individual and corporate clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyING Groep generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, which includes personal loans, mortgages, and corporate financing. The bank also earns substantial fees from its retail and wholesale banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and advisory services. Additionally, ING benefits from investment income generated through its asset management division. The company maintains strategic partnerships with fintech firms and technology providers, enhancing its digital offerings and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, ING's focus on cost management and operational efficiency contributes to its profitability, alongside its efforts in sustainable finance, catering to the growing demand for environmentally responsible investment solutions.

ING Groep Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter for ING Groep with significant customer and lending growth, as well as increased fee income and sustainable finance. Despite some challenges with core deposit declines and incidental expenses, the bank has improved its ROE outlook and continues to deliver strong shareholder returns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Customer Growth
Added nearly 200,000 mobile primary customers in Q3 2025, with over 1.1 million new customers in the last 12 months, surpassing targets.
Net Core Lending Growth
Retail Banking saw EUR 8.6 billion in net core lending growth, largely from residential mortgages. Wholesale Banking also delivered strong growth supported by trade finance services.
Fee Income Increase
Fee income grew by 15% year-on-year, with structural revenue drivers across both Retail and Wholesale Banking. Full-year fee growth outlook raised to more than 10%.
Sustainable Finance Growth
Sustainable finance volumes increased by 29% compared to the same period last year, emphasizing commitment to sustainability.
Strong Capital Returns
Announced an additional EUR 1.6 billion distribution, including a EUR 1.1 billion share buyback and EUR 500 million cash dividend.
Improved ROE Outlook
Full year ROE expectation raised to more than 12.5% for 2025.
Negative Updates
Core Deposits Decline
Core deposits declined slightly by around EUR 200 million, primarily due to the end of promotional campaigns and seasonal spending in Retail Banking.
Incidental Expenses Impact
Incidental expenses due to restructuring provisions, although expected to result in EUR 30 million in annualized cost savings once implemented.
Wholesale Banking Defaults
Net additions to Stage 3 provisions in Wholesale Banking due to newly defaulted files, although no specific sector-wide pattern observed.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, ING Groep demonstrated robust commercial momentum, adding nearly 200,000 mobile primary customers, leading to a 12-month growth of over 1.1 million, surpassing their Capital Markets Day target. Retail Banking saw EUR 8.6 billion in net core lending growth, primarily from residential mortgages, while Wholesale Banking capitalized on increased client financing needs, notably in trade finance services. Despite a slight decline in core deposits due to promotional and seasonal factors, Wholesale Banking observed strong inflows in payments and cash management. Customer balances grew at an annualized rate of 7%, aligning with their 4% annual growth target. Year-to-date, fee income surged by 12%, prompting an upward revision of the full-year growth outlook to over 10%. The fourth quarter rolling average ROE stood at 12.6%, with an upward revision in the full-year outlook. Sustainable finance volumes increased by 29% year-over-year, reflecting ING's commitment to supporting clients in sustainability transitions. Over the past four quarters, ING generated EUR 6 billion in net profit, bolstering their CET1 ratio by 2 percentage points, enabling a cash dividend yield of nearly 6%, and facilitating EUR 4.5 billion in additional distributions over the last 12 months. The EUR 2 billion share buyback program concluded, and an additional EUR 1.6 billion distribution was announced, inclusive of a EUR 1.1 billion share buyback and a EUR 500 million cash dividend scheduled for January 2026. ING revised its CET1 ratio target to around 13%, factoring in regulatory changes, providing a buffer of approximately 180 basis points above the MDA threshold. Looking ahead, ING aims to maintain an attractive shareholder return and invest in value-accretive growth, with a focus on expanding the loan book and exploring M&A opportunities.

ING Groep Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ING Groep shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability margins and cash flow. The balance sheet is robust but highly leveraged, posing potential risks. Improving cash generation and managing leverage are key areas for enhancing financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ING Groep has shown a mixed performance in terms of revenue and profit growth. The recent annual report indicates a significant jump in total revenue to 66.4 billion, which implies strong revenue growth. However, the net profit margin stands at approximately 9.6%, which is moderate for the industry. The gross profit margin has decreased to approximately 34.1% from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy EBIT margin of around 14%.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a robust equity base with a stockholders' equity of 50.3 billion and a total assets base exceeding 1 trillion. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at approximately 3.4, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio is moderate at around 4.9%, reflecting a stable but not overly strong equity position relative to total assets. Return on equity is around 12.7%, which is healthy but leaves room for improvement.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows significant negative free cash flow, primarily due to substantial negative operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, suggesting that the company might be struggling to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.21B20.05B17.63B29.42B19.51B26.93B
Gross Profit39.96B20.05B17.63B29.42B17.79B14.61B
EBITDA8.93B9.97B11.17B6.21B7.62B4.64B
Net Income6.16B5.33B4.14B3.67B4.78B2.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09T1.02T975.58B967.82B951.29B937.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.94B115.13B130.06B118.60B137.80B147.07B
Total Debt167.58B171.33B150.00B119.50B116.01B78.95B
Total Liabilities1.04T969.24B923.40B917.41B896.63B881.62B
Stockholders Equity52.29B50.31B54.68B49.91B53.92B54.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-22.88B-11.59B-11.34B-15.13B102.89B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-22.54B-11.34B-11.11B-14.94B103.18B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.03B-8.54B-5.31B6.22B-8.49B
Financing Cash Flow0.005.37B-4.89B4.65B5.39B-34.80B

ING Groep Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.66
Price Trends
50DMA
24.75
Positive
100DMA
23.63
Positive
200DMA
20.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
63.54
Neutral
STOCH
74.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ING, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.36, below the 50-day MA of 24.75, and above the 200-day MA of 20.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ING.

ING Groep Risk Analysis

ING Groep disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ING Groep reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ING Groep Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$62.03B8.9514.58%4.16%7.43%30.31%
$74.26B9.799.44%2.04%17.50%49.25%
$76.25B11.1512.08%4.58%1.13%-1.14%
$114.89B10.3018.32%3.93%7.86%17.13%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$184.49B13.946.88%2.28%-0.63%105.57%
$275.46B14.1611.56%1.92%-4.18%26.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ING
ING Groep
25.47
9.47
59.19%
BBVA
Banco Bilbao
19.93
10.15
103.78%
BCS
Barclays
21.34
9.13
74.77%
C
Citigroup
100.22
38.41
62.14%
NWG
NatWest Group
15.49
6.22
67.10%
WFC
Wells Fargo
85.99
22.72
35.91%

ING Groep Corporate Events

ING Groep Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Focus on Growth and Sustainability
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, ING Groep reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a net result of €1,787 million and a profit before tax of €2,560 million. The company experienced significant growth in fee income and customer lending, driven by strong performances in both Retail and Wholesale Banking. Retail Banking saw a notable increase in mobile primary customers and lending, particularly in Germany, Spain, Italy, and Romania. Wholesale Banking benefited from increased corporate loan demand and higher fee income. ING also highlighted its commitment to sustainability, with a 29% increase in sustainable finance mobilization, and continued integration of AI technologies to enhance customer service and operational efficiency.

ING Groep Completes Share Buyback and Announces New Distribution Plan
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, ING Groep announced the completion of its share buyback program, initially declared on May 2, 2025, repurchasing over 101 million shares at an average price of €19.77, totaling approximately €2 billion. Additionally, ING unveiled a new shareholder distribution plan of up to €1.6 billion, including a €1.1 billion share buyback and a €0.5 billion cash payment, aiming to adjust its CET1 ratio towards the target of 13%. The European Central Bank has approved this distribution, which is expected to impact the CET1 ratio by 48 basis points.

ING Appoints Ida Lerner as New CFO
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, ING announced the appointment of Ida Lerner as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Lerner, who previously served as CFO at Norwegian bank DNB, will succeed Tanate Phutrakul. The appointment is part of ING’s strategic efforts to strengthen its position as a digital and sustainable bank, with Lerner’s extensive experience expected to contribute significantly to these goals.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of October 20 to October 24, 2025, ING repurchased 4,091,000 shares at an average price of €20.57, totaling €84,161,220. To date, the program has repurchased 100,595,891 shares, achieving approximately 99.39% completion of the maximum total value. This initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and potentially impacting shareholder value.

ING Groep Announces Leadership Change in Wholesale Banking
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced that Ljiljana Čortan will be appointed as the head of Wholesale Banking, succeeding Andrew Bester by April 2026. Ljiljana, currently the Chief Risk Officer, will step down from her current roles upon the transition. This leadership change is expected to further strengthen ING’s Wholesale Banking business, as Ljiljana brings over 25 years of international banking experience. The appointment is subject to regulatory approval, and a search for a new Chief Risk Officer has commenced.

ING Groep Advances Share Buyback Program with Significant Repurchases
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, with 4,381,000 shares repurchased between October 13 and October 17, 2025, at an average price of €20.91. This brings the total shares repurchased to 96,504,891, representing approximately 95.18% of the program’s maximum value, indicating significant progress towards reducing the company’s share capital.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Programme
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, ING Groep announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback programme, initially launched on May 2, 2025. During the week of October 6 to October 10, 2025, the company repurchased 4,239,000 shares at an average price of €21.32, totaling €90,367,787.70. To date, approximately 90.60% of the programme has been completed, with 92,123,891 shares repurchased at an average price of €19.67, amounting to €1,811,927,494.72. This initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Reports Progress in €2.0 Billion Share Buyback Program
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, ING announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, with 4,270,000 shares repurchased between September 29 and October 3, 2025, at an average price of €22.18, totaling €94,692,423.50. This initiative aims to reduce ING’s share capital, with approximately 86.08% of the program completed, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and its impact on shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, with 3,488,007 shares repurchased during the week of September 22-26, 2025, at an average price of €21.85, totaling €76,219,267.92. This initiative aims to reduce the company’s share capital, with approximately 81.34% of the program completed, enhancing shareholder value and potentially improving market positioning.

ING Groep Faces Delays in Russian Market Exit
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, ING Groep announced an update on its exit from the Russian market, initially proposed on January 28, 2025, with the sale of ING Bank (Eurasia) JSC to Global Development. The transaction, expected to complete in the third quarter of 2025, faces delays due to pending regulatory approvals. Despite the setbacks, ING anticipates no significant change in the financial impact, previously estimated at a €0.8 billion post-tax loss, and continues to reduce its offshore exposure to Russian clients.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, ING Groep announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which was initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of September 15 to 19, 2025, ING repurchased 3,250,000 shares at an average price of €21.62, totaling €70,259,359.30. To date, 80,126,884 shares have been repurchased, representing approximately 77.53% of the program’s maximum total value. This initiative aims to reduce ING’s share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 5,304,138 shares were repurchased between September 8 and September 12, 2025, at an average price of €21.12. This brings the total shares repurchased under the program to 76,876,884, representing approximately 74.02% of the maximum total value, aimed at reducing the company’s share capital.

ING Groep Announces $1.5 Billion Securities Issuance to Strengthen Capital Base
Sep 9, 2025

On September 2, 2025, ING Groep N.V. entered into an underwriting agreement with several major financial institutions for the issuance of $1.5 billion in 7.000% Perpetual Additional Tier 1 Contingent Convertible Capital Securities. This move is part of ING’s strategy to strengthen its capital base and enhance its financial flexibility, potentially impacting its market position and offering implications for investors and stakeholders.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 9, 2025

On September 9, 2025, ING announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, having repurchased 3,925,836 shares between September 1 and September 5, 2025, at an average price of €20.67. This brings the total shares repurchased under the program to 71,572,746, representing approximately 68.42% of the program’s total value. The initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, which was initially announced on May 2, 2025. During the week of August 25 to August 29, 2025, ING repurchased 2,442,722 shares at an average price of €20.72, totaling €50,622,708.86. To date, approximately 64.36% of the program has been completed, with a total of 67,646,910 shares repurchased at an average price of €19.03, amounting to €1,287,254,023.33. This initiative aims to reduce the share capital of ING, reflecting its strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Programme
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback programme, with 2,361,034 shares repurchased between August 18 and August 22, 2025, at an average price of €21.31. This buyback is part of ING’s strategy to reduce share capital, with 61.83% of the programme completed to date, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, with 2,493,940 shares repurchased between August 11 and August 15, 2025, at an average price of €21.04, totaling €52,480,262.49. This initiative, aimed at reducing the company’s share capital, has seen 62,843,154 shares repurchased to date, representing 59.32% of the program’s maximum total value, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

ING Groep Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced progress on its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 7,738,842 shares were repurchased between August 4 and August 8, 2025, at an average price of €19.72, totaling €152,633,577.73. This initiative, which aims to reduce the company’s share capital, has seen approximately 56.69% completion of the maximum total value, highlighting ING’s strategic financial management and its potential impact on shareholder value.

ING Groep Advances €2 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, ING Groep announced progress in its €2.0 billion share buyback program, revealing that 2,480,240 shares were repurchased between July 28 and August 1, 2025, at an average price of €20.35. This move is part of ING’s strategy to reduce its share capital, with approximately 49.06% of the program completed, reflecting the company’s efforts to enhance shareholder value and strengthen its market position.

ING Groep’s Capital Resilience Confirmed by EBA Stress Test
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, ING Groep N.V. announced the results of the 2025 EU-wide stress test conducted by the European Banking Authority, which confirmed ING’s resilient capital position. The stress test, which does not have a pass/fail threshold, is used for the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process to assess ING’s ability to meet prudential requirements under stressed scenarios. ING’s actual CET1 ratio as of June 30, 2025, was 13.3%, indicating strong capital resilience, which is crucial for stakeholders and reinforces ING’s stable position in the banking industry.

ING Groep Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Growth
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, ING Groep N.V. reported a net result of €1,675 million for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing robust growth in lending volumes and fee income. The company is progressing well with its ‘Growing the difference’ strategy, achieving a profit before tax of €2,369 million and maintaining a CET1 ratio of 13.3%. Despite market volatility and economic uncertainties, ING saw a significant increase in mobile primary customers and strong growth in its mortgage portfolio. The company also announced an interim cash dividend of €0.35 per ordinary share. ING continues to support sustainability efforts, with a notable increase in sustainable finance mobilized and new initiatives to promote energy-efficient homes.

ING Groep Releases Interim Financial Report for First Half of 2025
Jul 31, 2025

On June 30, 2025, ING Groep N.V. released its interim financial report, highlighting its financial performance and risk management strategies for the first half of the year. The report includes condensed consolidated financial statements and notes, providing insights into the company’s financial position and operations. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it outlines ING’s approach to managing credit risk and other uncertainties, which could impact its market positioning and operational strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025