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HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBC)
NYSE:HSBC

HSBC Holdings (HSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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HSBC Holdings

(NYSE:HSBC)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:―
HSBC receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance, effective cash management, and positive technical indicators. The attractive valuation and high dividend yield further enhance its appeal. While the earnings call pointed to solid growth and capital management, macroeconomic uncertainties pose a moderate risk.

HSBC Holdings (HSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HSBC Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHSBC Holdings plc provides banking and financial services worldwide. The company operates through Wealth and Personal Banking, Commercial Banking, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The Wealth and Personal Banking segment offers retail banking and wealth products, including current and savings accounts, mortgages and personal loans, credit and debit cards, and local and international payment services; and wealth management services comprising insurance and investment products, global asset management services, investment management, and private wealth solutions. This segment serves personal banking and high net worth individuals. The Commercial Banking segment provides credit and lending, treasury management, payment, cash management, commercial insurance, and investment services; commercial cards; international trade and receivables finance services; foreign exchange products; capital raising services on debt and equity markets; and advisory services. It serves small and medium sized enterprises, mid-market enterprises, and corporates. The Global Banking and Markets segment offers financing, advisory, and transaction services; and credit, rates, foreign exchange, equities, money markets, and securities services; and engages in principal investment activities. It serves government, corporate and institutional clients, and private investors. HSBC Holdings plc was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyHSBC makes money primarily through interest income from its wide range of lending activities, including personal loans, mortgages, and corporate loans. Additionally, the bank generates revenue from fees and commissions charged on various services such as wealth management, investment banking, and transaction processing. The bank also earns from trading and investment activities within its Global Banking and Markets division. Key revenue streams include net interest income, net fee income, and trading income. Significant partnerships with corporate clients and financial institutions, along with strategic geographical diversification, contribute to HSBC's earnings. The bank's global presence in both established and emerging markets allows it to capture diverse revenue opportunities across different economic cycles.

HSBC Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with notable growth in profit and wealth segments, and effective capital return strategies. However, challenges due to macroeconomic uncertainties and potential impacts from tariffs slightly dampen the positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Profit Growth
Profit before tax increased by 11% with an annualized return on tangible equity of 18.4%, excluding notable items.
Wealth Segment Expansion
Fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in wealth, with $22 billion in net new invested assets and 300,000 new customers in Hong Kong.
Successful Capital Returns
Announcement of up to $3 billion share buyback and a $0.10 per share interim dividend.
Stable Credit Management
First quarter ECL charge was $0.9 billion, with credit risk metrics remaining stable.
Resilient Fee Income
Wholesale transaction banking up 13% year-on-year, driven by strong FX performance.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
External environment less favorable with uncertainty around trade policy affecting business confidence and investment.
Impact of Interest Rate Cuts
Banking NII run rate remained stable despite the impact of interest rate cuts.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
Modeled scenarios indicate a low single-digit percentage impact on revenues in a plausible downside tariff scenario.
Hong Kong and China Economic Concerns
Muted loan demand with concerns over Hong Kong CRE and potential economic impact from tariffs.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, HSBC Holdings plc reported a strong performance with profit before tax increasing by 11% and an annualized return on tangible equity of 18.4%, excluding notable items. The bank attracted $22 billion in net new invested assets and gained 300,000 new customers in Hong Kong. Revenue reached $17.7 billion, up $1.1 billion from the previous year, driven by higher client activity in wealth, FX, and trading businesses. The bank maintained stable credit metrics with an ECL charge equivalent to 37 basis points of loans and advances. HSBC announced a $3 billion share buyback and a $0.10 per share interim dividend, maintaining its CET1 ratio at 14.7%. The bank remains committed to a mid-teens return on tangible equity for 2025-2027, despite uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment, with a strong balance sheet supported by resilient recurring fee income and a high-quality credit portfolio.

HSBC Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HSBC exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, effective cash flow management, and a zero debt position in 2024. However, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency, as indicated by the slight decrease in return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HSBC has demonstrated a strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth, particularly from 2023 to 2024, showing a growth rate of 7.28%. The net profit margin improved slightly to 35.45% in 2024 from 37.34% in 2023, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024 suggests a potential need for detailed operational cost analysis.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects solid financial stability with zero total debt in 2024, enhancing the debt-to-equity ratio. HSBC's equity ratio remained strong, maintaining investor confidence. However, the return on equity slightly decreased to 12.96% in 2024 from 12.70% in 2023, indicating a slight dip in efficiency in generating returns on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
HSBC's cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth of 73.34% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.72 in 2024 signifies effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio slightly declined from 1.50 in 2023 to 2.56 in 2024, suggesting potential reinvestment or operational changes.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
207.85B143.29B56.35B76.17B73.95B77.46B
Gross Profit
170.29B67.40B56.35B53.72B64.25B63.28B
EBIT
30.25B32.31B30.35B17.06B18.91B8.78B
EBITDA
30.75B36.39B33.81B20.91B23.19B14.02B
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.14B23.98B23.53B15.56B13.92B5.23B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
277.11B284.51B307.03B350.05B407.15B308.57B
Total Assets
2.98T3.02T3.04T2.97T2.96T2.98T
Total Debt
123.67B0.00235.16B100.44B99.04B117.44B
Net Debt
-163.42B-284.51B-299.57B-233.86B-308.11B-191.13B
Total Liabilities
2.78T2.82T2.85T2.77T99.04B117.44B
Stockholders Equity
183.29B184.97B185.33B187.48B198.25B196.44B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.0061.42B35.42B22.02B100.75B178.71B
Operating Cash Flow
0.0065.31B39.11B26.43B104.31B182.22B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-76.56B-62.91B-34.48B27.54B-22.43B
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-26.46B-17.56B-6.29B-10.79B-4.64B

HSBC Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.17
Price Trends
50DMA
56.07
Positive
100DMA
55.28
Positive
200DMA
49.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Positive
RSI
53.75
Neutral
STOCH
42.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.48, above the 50-day MA of 56.07, and above the 200-day MA of 49.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HSBC.

HSBC Holdings Risk Analysis

HSBC Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HSBC Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HSBC Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BABAC
81
Outperform
$336.90B13.359.46%2.33%8.23%16.15%
80
Outperform
$207.76B10.9810.83%3.33%-1.91%-6.79%
JPJPM
78
Outperform
$745.21B13.1617.25%2.09%12.41%23.05%
SASAN
78
Outperform
$121.60B8.5713.25%3.12%0.26%19.35%
WFWFC
76
Outperform
$243.84B13.4611.05%2.16%3.51%16.51%
CC
74
Outperform
$146.39B12.386.30%2.86%2.97%87.82%
65
Neutral
$12.93B9.817.84%78.03%12.20%-7.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
59.18
18.54
45.62%
BAC
Bank of America
44.09
5.79
15.12%
C
Citigroup
76.36
18.97
33.05%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
264.95
75.56
39.90%
WFC
Wells Fargo
72.36
16.31
29.10%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
8.09
3.58
79.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.