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Hinge Health, Inc. Class A (HNGE) AI Stock Analysis

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HNGE

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:HNGE)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$129.00â–²(12.84% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial momentum (high growth, high gross margins, low leverage, and surging cash generation) and a very positive earnings update with raised guidance and expanding operating income. Offsetting factors are a stretched valuation (high P/E, no dividend yield provided) and a technically extended setup (overbought signals), alongside ongoing questions about earnings quality given the prior period’s large net loss despite strong cash flow.

Positive Factors
Rapid Revenue GrowthSustained revenue growth at this pace indicates strong customer adoption and expanding commercial reach. Raised full-year guidance reinforces management confidence in the trajectory, supporting continued investment in the platform and improving the company’s ability to build durable scale.
Negative Factors
Severe Earnings VolatilityThe sharp deterioration in accounting profitability creates uncertainty about normalized earnings and the durability of current margins. Even with strong cash generation, a large net loss may reflect significant costs or charges that could continue to obscure the company’s underlying economic performance.

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A (HNGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%HNGE+113.92%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$9.22B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.89M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
84.9
Beta (1Y)
1.68
Revenue Growth
49.76%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,437
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2012 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, Hinge Health, Inc. creates specialized healthcare software solutions for musculoskeletal and joint health. Their advanced platform is designed to comprehensively manage a spectrum of...

How the Company Makes Money

Public, company-specific details sufficient to describe Hinge Health, Inc. (HNGE) revenue model and key revenue streams are not available in the information provided here; therefore, this data point is null.

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:43.94%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 01, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial story: high top-line growth (+53% Q2 revenue), substantial billings momentum (+52% LTM billings), marked margin and free cash flow expansion (operating margin +1,000 bps YoY; free cash flow 3x YoY), raised guidance, and concrete product/TAM expansion (Migraine traction and the $105M Cylinder acquisition to enter GI). Key risks are manageable near-term execution items — integrating Cylinder, some non-recurring margin tailwinds (tariff refund), reliance on continued yield improvements for upside, and heightened competitive noise. Overall, the positives (growth, profitability, cash generation, product traction, and clinical evidence) materially outweigh the near-term integration and concentration risks.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth and Guidance Raise
Q2 revenue of $213 million, up 53% year-over-year (vs $139M in Q2 2025), beating prior guidance of $200M-$202M. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance raised to $856M-$860M (midpoint $858M, +46% YoY). Q3 2026 guidance of $223M-$225M (midpoint $224M, +45% YoY).

Negative Updates

Cylinder Integration and Near-term Profitability Pressure
Cylinder is a younger, less-mature business running at a modest loss historically; the company expects integration work (product/tech stack harmonization over ~9–12 months) and initial integration costs. Cylinder's 2026 contribution is modest ($7M-$8M for ~4 months) with material expansion expected further out (notably 2028 after a full selling season).

Company Guidance

Hinge Health raised its outlook, guiding Q3 revenue to $223–225M (midpoint $224M, +45% YoY) and Q3 operating income to $61–63M (≈28% operating margin at the midpoint); for full-year 2026 it now expects revenue of $856–860M (midpoint $858M, +46% YoY) and operating income of $236–244M (≈28% operating margin at the midpoint, up from prior $217–227M / ~27%); management expects yield ≈4.45% for the year, ASP roughly flat, eligible lives tracking in line, diluted shares to finish 2026 at 85–87M, Cylinder Health to contribute roughly $7–8M of revenue for the remaining ~4 months of 2026, and the board approved a $300M share repurchase authorization.

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: very rapid revenue growth and consistently high gross margins, low debt relative to equity, and sharply improving operating/free cash flow. The main drag is earnings quality/volatility—profitability deteriorated materially in 2025 despite strong cash flow, creating uncertainty around normalized margins.

Income Statement

36Negative

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue720.06M587.86M390.40M292.73M
Gross Profit608.59M469.30M300.59M194.18M
EBITDA103.59M-535.89M-18.48M-124.89M
Net Income109.07M-528.26M-11.93M-108.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets827.40M744.76M673.26M622.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments389.39M363.86M466.57M423.36M
Total Debt5.88M8.04M11.07M15.73M
Total Liabilities483.07M366.23M256.56M195.25M
Stockholders Equity344.33M378.54M416.70M427.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow287.33M170.73M45.23M-68.52M
Operating Cash Flow290.79M171.44M49.00M-63.91M
Investing Cash Flow-19.75M-113.76M18.31M1.50M
Financing Cash Flow-222.34M-150.47M-2.20M-3.00M

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price114.32

Price Trends

50DMA98.17Positive
100DMA89.30Positive
200DMA67.06Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.21Negative
RSI67.50Neutral
STOCH89.92Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HNGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 114.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.58, above the 50-day MA of 98.17, and above the 200-day MA of 67.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HNGE.

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hinge Health, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.We are expanding into migraine care, a new therapeutic area for us, and our migraine care program may not achieve the clinical outcomes, member engagement, or commercial success we anticipate.Q2, 2026
2.The expansion of HingeSelect to include orthopedic surgery introduces new clinical, operational, and commercial risks that could adversely affect our business.Q2, 2026

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

HNGE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HNGEHNGE73Outperform$9.22B84.8930.25%―49.76%―
PRVAPRVA70Outperform$2.74B95.510.01%―24.10%84.08%
OMDAOMDA67Neutral$1.15B275.851.84%―47.63%―
AMWLAMWL53Neutral$216.52M-2.67-33.27%―-19.00%40.98%
TDOCTDOC52Neutral$1.55B-9.89-11.63%―-2.38%32.73%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
VSEEVSEE40Underperform$1.43M-0.05-400.87%―-9.31%89.42%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%HNGETDOCAMWLPRVAVSEEOMDADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HNGE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HNGEHinge Health, Inc. Class A114.3263.98127.10%
TDOCTeladoc Inc.8.510.374.55%
AMWLAmerican Well Corporation12.737.64150.10%
PRVAPrivia Health Group, Inc.21.48-3.28-13.25%
VSEEVsee Health, Inc.1.78-77.42-97.75%
OMDAOmada Health, Inc.18.73-6.94-27.04%

Hinge Health, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Hinge Health Expands Corporate Footprint with Major SF Lease

Positive
Aug 21, 2026

On August 18, 2026, Hinge Health, Inc. signed a long-term lease for about 119,278 rentable square feet of office space at 300 Mission Street in San Francisco, California, marking a significant physical expansion of its operations. The lease, which is...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Hinge Health Posts Record Q2 Results, Raises Outlook

Positive
Aug 4, 2026

Hinge Health, Inc. is a San Francisco-based digital health company focused on scaling and automating the delivery of care using an AI-powered model, connected hardware and expert clinicians. The company specializes in musculoskeletal programs and is...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026