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Genie Energy Commo
(NYSE:GNE)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(3.23% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is held back primarily by the earnings call’s guidance cut and sharp near-term margin compression, plus added reporting/restatement-related compliance risk. Offsetting factors include a strong, low-debt balance sheet and reasonable valuation with a modest dividend, while technical indicators suggest neutral momentum rather than a clear uptrend.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low-debt capital structure and nearly $200M of liquid assets provide durable financial flexibility. This cushioning supports working-capital needs in a commodity-exposed retail business, enables continued customer acquisition and venture investments, and lowers refinancing and liquidity risk over months.
Negative Factors
Margin volatility
Retail gross margins are exposed to sharp wholesale commodity swings and hedging timing mismatches. Large, persistent commodity-driven margin compression can erode adjusted EBITDA and cash flow, making earnings unstable until hedging, pricing windows, or product mix structurally mitigate exposure.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low-debt capital structure and nearly $200M of liquid assets provide durable financial flexibility. This cushioning supports working-capital needs in a commodity-exposed retail business, enables continued customer acquisition and venture investments, and lowers refinancing and liquidity risk over months.
Read all positive factors
Genie Energy Commo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Shows profit after operating costs for each segment, helping you identify which businesses actually generate earnings versus those that consume cash. Useful for judging management’s cost control, capital allocation, and which segments support margins or could drag results if costs rise.
Shows profit after operating costs for each segment, helping you identify which businesses actually generate earnings versus those that consume cash. Useful for judging management’s cost control, capital allocation, and which segments support margins or could drag results if costs rise.
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The Fly
The FlyGenie Energy Commo (GNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$370.97M
Dividend Yield2.16%
Average Volume (3M)117.54K
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.9
Beta (1Y)0.23
Revenue Growth14.67%
EPS Growth12.34%
CountryUS
Employees152
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryRegulated Electric
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.63
Shares Outstanding24,829,374
10 Day Avg. Volume128,676
30 Day Avg. Volume117,543
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.44
Price to Sales (P/S)0.72
P/FCF Ratio9.44
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.49
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.35
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.55
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.04
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$16.00Price Target Upside10.12% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.67
Revenue Forecast (FY)$459.78M
Genie Energy Commo Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Genie Energy Ltd. is an energy solutions provider delivering electricity and natural gas to individual consumers and small businesses. The company's reach extends internationally, encompassing significant markets such as the United States, Finland...
How the Company Makes Money
Genie Energy primarily makes money through its retail energy business by selling electricity and natural gas to end customers under fixed-price and variable-price contracts. Revenue is recognized based on energy delivered to customers (usage/volum...
Genie Energy Commo Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call was mixed but leaned negative from a financial-performance perspective: management reported record revenue growth and strong customer additions plus a solid balance sheet and early-stage venture progress (Roded, expected Genie Solar profitability). However, significant margin compression from extreme winter-driven commodity cost increases, a 20% drop in gross profit, rising SG&A, increased GREW losses, inventory write-downs, materially lower GRE profitability and a reduction in full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance indicate meaningful near-term headwinds. Management is optimistic about normalization in wholesale markets and improved performance later in 2026, but the near-term results and guidance cut weigh heavily.Positive Updates
Path to Profitability for Genie Solar and Other Initiatives
Management expects Genie Solar to be profitable for the remainder of the year and anticipates GREW's early-stage initiatives to gradually pivot toward profitability and require lower incremental investment by year-end.
Negative Updates
Lowered Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Company lowered 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $32.5 million–$40.0 million from the prior range of $40.0 million–$50.0 million, reflecting a weaker-than-expected quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Path to Profitability for Genie Solar and Other Initiatives
Management expects Genie Solar to be profitable for the remainder of the year and anticipates GREW's early-stage initiatives to gradually pivot toward profitability and require lower incremental investment by year-end.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management lowered full‑year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $32.5 million–$40.0 million (from a prior range of $40.0 million–$50.0 million), citing a weak Q1 driven by margin compression and higher investment: Q1 consolidated revenue $142.0M, consolidated adjusted EBITDA $2.8M, operating income $1.9M, diluted EPS $0.11, GRE revenue $134.8M with GRE gross profit $29.1M and GRE adjusted EBITDA $7.0M (vs. $17.1M a year ago), GREW revenue $7.5M with a GREW adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.3M; power and gas unit costs rose 28% and 55%, consolidated gross profit fell 20% to $29.8M (21% margin, down 640 bps), and SG&A increased 17% to $27.9M — yet management noted margins improved in March, expects GRE to perform strongly the rest of the year assuming normal wholesale markets, Genie Solar to be profitable for the remainder of 2026, early‑stage initiatives (including Roded, whose second production line should start in Q2) to scale toward profitability and need less incremental investment by year‑end, and highlighted a strong balance sheet with cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities of $199.8M, working capital $188.4M and total debt $6.8M.Genie Energy Commo Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 507.21M | 501.97M | 425.20M | 428.71M | 315.54M | 323.27M |
| Gross Profit | 116.17M | 124.69M | 138.48M | 146.21M | 154.78M | 91.64M |
| EBITDA | 22.36M | 37.82M | 21.22M | 18.67M | 78.04M | 24.52M |
| Net Income | 17.16M | 24.01M | 12.59M | 19.54M | 87.81M | 29.21M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 376.46M | 389.38M | 371.27M | 330.56M | 277.62M | 229.47M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 191.09M | 212.69M | 104.81M | 108.00M | 99.06M | 94.90M |
| Total Debt | 370.00K | 8.76M | 10.98M | 309.00K | 250.00K | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 131.15M | 144.93M | 191.72M | 146.05M | 103.97M | 118.68M |
| Stockholders Equity | 252.03M | 250.90M | 190.51M | 197.24M | 187.12M | 123.28M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 17.19M | 38.16M | 62.70M | 53.45M | 79.67M | 68.26M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 24.48M | 46.34M | 70.74M | 62.48M | 80.68M | 68.38M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.20M | -15.35M | -16.04M | 13.64M | -49.32M | 2.69M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -19.14M | -19.14M | -15.75M | -15.16M | -25.52M | -5.67M |
Genie Energy Commo Technical Analysis
Negative
14.53
Price Trends
14.03
Negative
14.03
Negative
14.22
Negative
Market Momentum
0.06
Positive
41.97
Neutral
18.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.21, above the 50-day MA of 14.03, and above the 200-day MA of 14.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNE.
Genie Energy Commo Risk Analysis
Genie Energy Commo disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genie Energy Commo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Genie Energy Commo Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $6.11B | 11.64 | 8.81% | 5.63% | 8.85% | 191.04% | |
69 Neutral | $2.36B | 7.96 | 17.76% | 2.00% | 13.93% | 231.87% | |
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
65 Neutral | $1.18B | 5.40 | 14.48% | ― | -0.64% | -4.04% | |
60 Neutral | $6.05B | 23.09 | 6.25% | 4.38% | 4.28% | -21.65% | |
58 Neutral | $370.97M | 21.86 | 7.64% | 2.16% | 14.67% | 12.34% | |
48 Neutral | $6.24B | 40.97 | 4.35% | 2.80% | 8.46% | -38.43% |
* Utilities Sector Average
GNE
Genie Energy Commo
13.77
-7.54
-35.39%
EDN
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24.50
-0.33
-1.33%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
56.54
1.79
3.28%
POR
Portland GE
52.19
12.85
32.65%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
4.46
1.19
36.31%
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
14.41
3.36
30.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.