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Greencore Group (GNCGY) AI Stock Analysis
Greencore Group
(Other OTC:GNCGY)
The overall score reflects a solid financial recovery with improving margins, much lower leverage, and stronger cash generation, balanced against an expensive valuation with a very high P/E and modest dividend yield, while strong upward technical momentum and relatively low beta support the near-term outlook.
Greencore Group (GNCGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $1.90B
- Dividend Yield
- 0.87%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 8,516
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 95.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.36
- Revenue Growth
- 32.09%
- EPS Growth
- -71.57%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 13,300
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Sector Strength
- 62
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
Greencore Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greencore Group plc, through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the production and distribution of convenience food items, primarily serving markets in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Their diverse product range includes sandwiches, fresh salad...
Greencore Group Earnings Call Summary
The earnings call reflects a strong year of financial performance with record achievements in ROIC and revenue growth. The company's focus on innovation, operational excellence, and strategic acquisitions signifies a positive outlook for future growth. However, challenges remain in achieving the operating margin target and addressing inflationary pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
In the call, Dalton Philips and Catherine Gubbins discussed the company's exceptional performance in FY '25, highlighting several key metrics. They achieved a 15% return on invested capital (ROIC), marking a 350 basis point increase from FY '24. The company reported revenue of just under GBP 2 billion, a 7.7% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted operating profit rising by 28.9% to GBP 125.7 million. The adjusted operating margin improved by 110 basis points to 6.5%, though still shy of their 7% medium-term target. Manufactured volume growth was 2.5%, surpassing the overall grocery market. Free cash flow was strong at GBP 120.5 million, and leverage closed at 0.4x net debt to EBITDA. They also announced the acquisition of Bakkavor, with expected synergies of at least GBP 80 million. The company's strategic focus on innovation, operational excellence, and cost efficiency contributed to these results, with plans to continue leveraging these areas for future growth.
Greencore Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Revenue and profits have grown with improving margins, leverage has fallen and equity increased, and cash generation is much healthier, but profitability and cash flows remain moderate and somewhat volatile.
Income Statement
74PositiveBalance Sheet
82Very PositiveCash Flow
70Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.36B | 1.95B | 1.81B | 1.91B | 1.74B | 1.32B |
| Gross Profit | 711.63M | 632.50M | 599.60M | 568.80M | 523.00M | 422.90M |
| EBITDA | 203.65M | 158.70M | 147.80M | 128.40M | 127.60M | 104.70M |
| Net Income | 6.45M | 57.60M | 46.30M | 35.90M | 32.30M | 25.40M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.82B | 1.27B | 1.20B | 1.30B | 1.34B | 1.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.70M | 81.80M | 57.30M | 117.00M | 99.60M | 119.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 207.70M | 250.30M | 315.50M | 327.60M | 364.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.39B | 780.70M | 754.50M | 837.90M | 873.10M | 868.30M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.43B | 492.00M | 450.20M | 459.80M | 465.60M | 423.20M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 15.83M | 122.20M | 79.60M | 61.60M | 42.90M | 62.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 61.83M | 165.60M | 112.00M | 99.00M | 92.90M | 102.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -520.85M | -43.40M | -31.70M | -31.30M | -50.00M | -17.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 494.64M | -85.50M | -98.70M | -81.50M | -69.40M | -58.10M |
Greencore Group Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNCGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.01, above the 50-day MA of 14.09, and above the 200-day MA of 13.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GNCGY.
Greencore Group Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
MZTI74Outperform- GNCGY69Neutral
JJSF68Neutral
MAMA68Neutral
NOMD65Neutral
FLO52Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MZTI | 74Outperform | $3.00B | 17.65 | 16.83% | 3.57% | -0.94% | 2.86% |
| GNCGY | 69Neutral | $3.20B | 95.51 | 0.73% | 0.87% | 32.09% | -71.57% |
| JJSF | 68Neutral | $1.63B | 34.81 | 5.40% | 3.52% | -4.69% | -39.51% |
| MAMA | 68Neutral | $607.26M | 73.76 | 9.10% | ― | 53.88% | 48.88% |
| NOMD | 65Neutral | $1.71B | 12.86 | 4.94% | 5.43% | 3.56% | -31.26% |
| Sector * | 62Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
| FLO | 52Neutral | $1.43B | 27.31 | 4.13% | 10.49% | 2.46% | -75.05% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNCGY | Greencore Group Plc Sponsored ADR | 16.06 | 3.98 | 32.93% | |
| FLO | Flowers Foods | 7.10 | -3.58 | -33.51% | |
| JJSF | J & J Snack Foods | 91.01 | 10.47 | 13.00% | |
| MZTI | Marzetti Company | 112.10 | -54.76 | -32.82% | |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods Ltd. | 12.53 | 1.20 | 10.61% | |
| MAMA | Mama's Creations, Inc. | 13.35 | 2.67 | 25.00% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026