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Greencore Group
(OTC:GNCGY)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(3.52% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/08/26
The score is primarily supported by steady financial performance (revenue growth, improving operating margins, and strong operating cash flow). This is tempered by expensive valuation (very high P/E) and technically overbought conditions (high RSI/Stoch) despite a clear uptrend.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and improving operating margins
Revenue growth combined with better EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates improving operating execution. If maintained, this can support stronger earnings quality and provide resilience against cost pressure across Greencore's chilled prepared-food manufacturing operations.
Negative Factors
Low net profit margin
A relatively low net margin leaves limited room to absorb increases in ingredients, labor, packaging, logistics or customer pricing pressure. This can constrain earnings growth even when operational margins improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth and improving operating margins
Revenue growth combined with better EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates improving operating execution. If maintained, this can support stronger earnings quality and provide resilience against cost pressure across Greencore's chilled prepared-food manufacturing operations.
Read all positive factors
Greencore Group (GNCGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.73B
Dividend Yield1.01%
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)81.8
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth32.09%
EPS Growth-71.57%
CountryUS
Employees13,300
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.13
Shares Outstanding200,970,490
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.60
Price to Book (P/B)2.05
Price to Sales (P/S)0.52
P/FCF Ratio8.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.53B
Greencore Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greencore Group plc, through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the production and distribution of convenience food items, primarily serving markets in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Their diverse product range includes sandwiches, fresh sa...
How the Company Makes Money
Greencore makes money by manufacturing and selling chilled prepared foods to business customers, generating revenue primarily from the volume of products it supplies under customer contracts and purchase orders. Its core revenue stream comes from ...
Greencore Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong year of financial performance with record achievements in ROIC and revenue growth. The company's focus on innovation, operational excellence, and strategic acquisitions signifies a positive outlook for future growth. However, challenges remain in achieving the operating margin target and addressing inflationary pressures.Positive Updates
Record ROIC Achievement
Achieved a 15% Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), an increase of 350 basis points on FY '24, surpassing medium-term financial targets.
Negative Updates
Missed Operating Margin Target
Adjusted operating margin grew by 110 basis points to 6.5%, which is still short of the medium-term target of 7% or above.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record ROIC Achievement
Achieved a 15% Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), an increase of 350 basis points on FY '24, surpassing medium-term financial targets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the call, Dalton Philips and Catherine Gubbins discussed the company's exceptional performance in FY '25, highlighting several key metrics. They achieved a 15% return on invested capital (ROIC), marking a 350 basis point increase from FY '24. The company reported revenue of just under GBP 2 billion, a 7.7% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted operating profit rising by 28.9% to GBP 125.7 million. The adjusted operating margin improved by 110 basis points to 6.5%, though still shy of their 7% medium-term target. Manufactured volume growth was 2.5%, surpassing the overall grocery market. Free cash flow was strong at GBP 120.5 million, and leverage closed at 0.4x net debt to EBITDA. They also announced the acquisition of Bakkavor, with expected synergies of at least GBP 80 million. The company's strategic focus on innovation, operational excellence, and cost efficiency contributed to these results, with plans to continue leveraging these areas for future growth.Greencore Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.36B | 1.95B | 1.81B | 1.91B | 1.74B | 1.32B |
| Gross Profit | 711.63M | 632.50M | 599.60M | 568.80M | 523.00M | 422.90M |
| EBITDA | 207.18M | 158.70M | 147.80M | 128.40M | 108.00M | 82.30M |
| Net Income | 6.45M | 57.60M | 46.30M | 35.90M | 32.30M | 25.40M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.82B | 1.27B | 1.20B | 1.30B | 1.34B | 1.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 197.70M | 81.80M | 57.30M | 117.00M | 99.60M | 119.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 207.70M | 250.30M | 315.50M | 327.60M | 364.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.39B | 780.70M | 754.50M | 837.90M | 873.10M | 868.30M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.43B | 492.00M | 450.20M | 459.80M | 465.60M | 423.20M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 15.83M | 122.20M | 79.60M | 61.60M | 42.90M | 62.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 61.83M | 165.60M | 112.00M | 99.00M | 92.90M | 102.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -520.85M | -43.40M | -31.70M | -31.30M | -50.00M | -17.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 494.64M | -85.50M | -98.70M | -81.50M | -69.40M | -58.10M |
Greencore Group Technical Analysis
Neutral
14.49
Price Trends
13.02
Positive
12.57
Positive
13.18
Positive
Market Momentum
0.21
Positive
47.46
Neutral
1.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNCGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.25, above the 50-day MA of 13.02, and above the 200-day MA of 13.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GNCGY.
Greencore Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $1.33B | 11.20 | 16.36% | ― | 12.46% | 177.68% | |
68 Neutral | $1.57B | 32.17 | 5.40% | 3.80% | -4.69% | -39.51% | |
65 Neutral | $1.63B | 11.43 | 4.94% | 5.84% | 3.56% | -31.26% | |
63 Neutral | $2.73B | 81.79 | 0.73% | 1.01% | 32.09% | -71.57% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
55 Neutral | $1.30B | 7.74 | -32.15% | 1.80% | 5.52% | -50.47% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GNCGY
Greencore Group
13.80
0.59
4.48%
HLF
Herbalife
12.38
2.50
25.30%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
84.11
-20.36
-19.49%
SENEA
Seneca Foods
195.71
84.29
75.65%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
11.64
-2.04
-14.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.