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WH Smith (SMWH) AI Stock Analysis

GB:SMWH

WH Smith

(LSE:SMWH)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:GBX 360.00â–¼(-15.73% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/23/26

The score is primarily weighed down by weakened financial performance (sharp revenue decline, margin compression, and a swing to a sizable net loss) combined with a highly leveraged balance sheet. Technicals add additional pressure given the downtrend and negative momentum signals. A relatively high dividend yield offers some offset, but the negative P/E underscores that profitability is currently impaired.

Positive Factors
Cash GenerationOperating cash flow of ~£276m and free cash flow of ~£199m show the estate still converts trading activity into cash despite the earnings downturn. This supports ongoing operations and gives management some capacity to fund investment or reduce debt, although leverage limits that flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionRevenue fell approximately 20.1% in 2025 versus 2024, indicating materially weaker trading contribution. A contraction of this scale reduces operating leverage and makes recovery dependent on rebuilding sales across the estate, limiting visibility into the company’s near-term earnings base.

WH Smith (SMWH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:SMWH-34.20%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 642.93M
Dividend Yield
4.05%
Average Volume (3M)
633.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.2
Beta (1Y)
1.36
Revenue Growth
-30.52%
EPS Growth
-2064.92%
Country
UK
Employees
9,290
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

WH Smith Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

WH Smith PLC functions as a retail enterprise with a presence across the United Kingdom and globally. The company's operations are divided into two primary divisions: Travel and High Street. The Travel segment caters to customers on the move, offerin...

How the Company Makes Money

WH Smith makes money chiefly by operating retail stores and selling products to consumers, with revenue driven by transaction volume and basket size in high-footfall locations. Its key revenue streams are: (1) Travel retail sales: sales of convenienc...

WH Smith Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-37.08%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture: the group delivered solid top-line growth, strong EBITDA and notable outperformance in key areas such as UK operations and North America Travel Essentials, and management secured refinancing and reiterated disciplined capital allocation. However, material issues in North America (supplier income reductions, inventory adjustments, lower-than-expected profit), significant impairments and one-off costs, elevated net debt/leverage and a newly announced FCA investigation are meaningful negatives. Management has set clear remedial actions and medium-term plans, but near-term profitability and balance-sheet pressure temper the outlook.

Positive Updates

Group revenue growth and like-for-like momentum
Total group revenue increased 5% y/y to GBP 1.6bn, with group like-for-like revenue up 5% for the year and +3% in the 13 weeks to 31 Aug; constant currency revenue was up 7%.

Negative Updates

Group headline trading profit decline
Group headline trading profit decreased 6% y/y to GBP 159m, and headline profit before tax was GBP 108m—reflecting headwinds, primarily in North America.

Company Guidance

The group guided to mid‑single‑digit revenue growth for FY26 (UK 3–5%, North America 6–8%, Rest of World 4–6%) and group headline profit before tax and non‑underlying items of £100–115m, with headline trading margins expected at ~14–15% in the UK, ~7–8% in North America and ~5% in Rest of World; central costs £30–32m and finance costs £33–35m are anticipated. FY26 CapEx is guided at c.£90m (FY25 £81m, normalizing to ~£80m thereafter) and headline net debt is expected to be c.£400m (FY25 headline net debt £390m; rolling 12‑month net debt/EBITDA 2.1x, target to get below 2x). North America specifics include a FY25 trading margin of 4% rebuilding to c.7–8% in FY26, Travel Essentials now >50% of NA revenue (19% CC growth in FY25, c.10% trading margin today, target >70% mix medium‑term), InMotion (123 stores) expected to contract ~20–30% to below 100 stores, Resorts rationalization underway; key one‑offs include a £12m inventory charge, a net £23m supplier income reduction (with prior year restatement benefit c.£13m) and non‑underlying cash outflows of £38m. The board proposes a final dividend of 6p (full year 17.3p, 2.5x cover policy), refinancing includes £200m USPP, £120m term debt and a £200m backstop, and the group expects interest rates on debt to lift income statement charge toward c.6.3% by end FY27.

WH Smith Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is pressured by a sharp deterioration in the latest year: revenue fell ~20.1%, gross margin compressed (~63.2% to ~56.7%), and the company swung to a £144m net loss (net margin -9.3%). Cash flow is a partial offset (operating cash flow ~£276m; free cash flow ~£199m), but leverage is a major constraint with ~£945m debt versus ~£158m equity (~6.0x), limiting flexibility.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.55B1.92B1.79B1.40B886.00M
Gross Profit408.00M880.00M1.21B1.11B849.00M514.00M
EBITDA204.00M183.00M334.00M316.00M228.00M42.00M
Net Income-128.00M-144.00M67.00M79.00M47.00M-82.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.46B1.87B1.65B1.69B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.00M71.00M56.00M56.00M132.00M130.00M
Total Debt1.06B1.38B1.05B951.00M1.00B885.00M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.27B1.42B1.31B1.42B1.21B
Stockholders Equity125.00M158.00M416.00M277.00M255.00M133.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow111.00M199.00M144.00M129.00M104.00M56.00M
Operating Cash Flow186.00M276.00M275.00M251.00M187.00M100.00M
Investing Cash Flow-68.00M-69.00M-137.00M-122.00M-83.00M-43.00M
Financing Cash Flow-109.00M-192.00M-138.00M-203.00M-104.00M-35.00M

WH Smith Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price427.20

Price Trends

50DMA390.84Positive
100DMA404.56Positive
200DMA494.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD13.09Negative
RSI64.52Neutral
STOCH66.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SMWH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 427.20 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 401.01, above the 50-day MA of 390.84, and below the 200-day MA of 494.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 13.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SMWH.

WH Smith Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:SMWH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:CARDGB:CARD71OutperformGBP 289.98M8.869.93%5.62%7.12%-18.46%
GB:CURYGB:CURY71OutperformGBP 1.46B9.287.10%2.09%6.29%55.06%
GB:MOONGB:MOON65NeutralGBP 813.74M17.36-99.49%1.34%6.54%―
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:WRKSGB:WRKS56NeutralGBP 61.12M52.589.46%―-6.13%-82.79%
GB:SMWHGB:SMWH45NeutralGBP 642.36M-4.19-90.46%4.05%-30.52%-2064.92%
GB:MRKGB:MRK44NeutralGBP 51.43M-122.50-4.18%―-7.46%71.01%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%GB:SMWHGB:CARDGB:CURYGB:WRKSGB:MOONGB:MRKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:SMWH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:SMWHWH Smith427.20-234.93-35.48%
GB:CARDCard Factory88.90-6.47-6.79%
GB:CURYCurrys Plc143.809.777.29%
GB:WRKSTheWorks.co.uk plc97.8054.40125.35%
GB:MOONMoonpig Group Plc279.0073.4935.76%
GB:MRKMarks Electrical Group Plc49.00-2.00-3.92%

WH Smith Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

WH Smith Confirms Current Voting Share Capital for Investor Disclosure

Positive
Oct 1, 2026

WH Smith PLC has confirmed that its issued share capital at the end of the previous month comprised 152,258,405 ordinary shares, each carrying voting rights, with no shares held in treasury. The company highlighted that this share count should be use...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

WH Smith Delivers Solid Summer Trading as Travel-Focused Transformation Accelerates

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

WH Smith reported solid peak summer trading with group revenue up 5% year on year and expects full-year headline profit before tax of about £75m, in line with market expectations despite margin pressure from heavier promotions, reduced brand mar...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

WH Smith Updates Market on Voting Share Capital and Disclosure Base

Neutral
Sep 1, 2026

WH Smith PLC has confirmed that, as of the end of the previous calendar month, its issued share capital comprises 152,258,405 ordinary shares with full voting rights and no shares held in treasury. The company stated that shareholders should use this...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

WH Smith Non-Executive Director Helen Rose Buys Shares on Market

Positive
Aug 10, 2026

WH Smith PLC disclosed that non-executive director Helen Rose purchased 11,102 ordinary shares in the company at a price of £4.50337 per share on 10 August 2026. The on-market transaction, carried out on the London Stock Exchange, modestly incre...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

WH Smith updates market on share capital and voting rights

Neutral
Aug 3, 2026

WH Smith PLC has confirmed that, as of the end of the previous calendar month, its issued share capital comprises 152,258,405 ordinary shares, each carrying voting rights, with no shares held in treasury. The company noted that shareholders should us...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2026