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Ramsdens Holdings
(LSE:RFX)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
684.00 p
▲(3.17% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:10/17/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (strong growth and improved profitability, with moderate leverage) but held back by inconsistent cash generation. Technical indicators are weak in the near term (negative MACD, oversold readings, and price below key short-term averages), while valuation (low P/E and a modest dividend yield) provides a meaningful offset.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The substantial multi-year expansion shows that Ramsdens has increased the scale of its financial and retail operations. Continued annual growth provides a broader revenue base, supports operating investment, and strengthens the company’s ability to compound earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Generation
Inconsistent conversion of accounting earnings into cash reduces confidence in the durability and timing of internally generated funds. The sharp 2025 free-cash-flow decline could constrain reinvestment or distributions if the pattern persists and makes financial planning more dependent on performance improving.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The substantial multi-year expansion shows that Ramsdens has increased the scale of its financial and retail operations. Continued annual growth provides a broader revenue base, supports operating investment, and strengthens the company’s ability to compound earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£206.11M
Dividend Yield2.38%
Average Volume (3M)104.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.3
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue Growth43.98%
EPS Growth97.22%
CountryUK
Employees836
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.38
Shares Outstanding32,664,783
10 Day Avg. Volume84,277
30 Day Avg. Volume104,121
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.24
Price to Book (P/B)1.92
Price to Sales (P/S)1.03
P/FCF Ratio23.23
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.46
Revenue Forecast (FY)£140.20M
Ramsdens Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ramsdens Holdings PLC operates as a provider of diverse financial and retail services, serving customers in the United Kingdom and globally. Its business operations are structured into four key areas: foreign exchange, pawnbroking, trading in prec...
How the Company Makes Money
Ramsdens generates revenue primarily through fees, interest, and trading margins across its in-store financial and retail activities. A major revenue stream is foreign currency exchange, where it earns income from the spread between the rates at w...
Ramsdens Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 14, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 19, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial performance for FY25 driven by record revenue (>GBP 100m), PBT up 43% to GBP 16.2m, robust retail and gold-buying growth, a healthy balance sheet (net assets GBP 62.9m, cash c. GBP 15m, ROE ~20%) and clear FY26 guidance to exceed GBP 18m PBT alongside plans to open 8–12 new stores. Key risks highlighted include pronounced sensitivity to gold price movements, margin pressure in the currency business due to channel mix shifts, and higher operating costs (wages and NI). Overall, the positives from strong growth, cash generation and clear guidance outweigh the listed risks, though the company remains exposed to commodity and high‑street volatility.Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profit
Revenue exceeded GBP 100m for the first time (revenue +22% YoY). Profit before tax (PBT) was GBP 16.2m, up 43% from GBP 11.4m last year. Profit after tax was GBP 11.9m (basic EPS 37p). Dividend increased 43% to 16p total (including a 2.5p special).
Negative Updates
Earnings Sensitivity to Gold Price Volatility
Management acknowledged a significant portion of FY25 upside was gold-driven and emphasised volatility risk. They structured a 2.5p special dividend reflecting the windfall; future earnings could contract if gold prices fall materially.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Revenue and Profit
Revenue exceeded GBP 100m for the first time (revenue +22% YoY). Profit before tax (PBT) was GBP 16.2m, up 43% from GBP 11.4m last year. Profit after tax was GBP 11.9m (basic EPS 37p). Dividend increased 43% to 16p total (including a 2.5p special).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that FY26 PBT will exceed £18.0m and trading has started strongly in Q1 (gold‑buying profit in Q1 +50%); they plan to open 8–12 stores this year (c. £0.5m cash per new store: ~£225k sunk CapEx + £275k working capital) and will only proceed where they can deliver ≥20% return on capital, with four stores slated to open by early March. FY25 metrics reiterated: revenue >£100m (+22%), PBT £16.2m (+43%), PAT £11.9m (EPS 37p), net assets £62.9m, cash £15m (incl. ~£9m FX), ROE 20%; segment highlights include gold‑buying revenue +44% (volumes +14%; 9ct avg price £21→£28, +34%), retail +20% (gross margin 37%, £8m stock investment; pre‑owned +35%, watches +13%, online retail +14%), pawnbroking loan book £11.4m (Dec £12.8m, loan book +7%), currency cards 40,000, currency revenue +1% (avg transaction -2%, gross profit -3%), finance costs -20%, and a 16p dividend (including 2.5p special; ~43% payout).Ramsdens Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 83.73M | 116.80M | 95.61M | 83.81M | 66.10M | 40.68M |
| Gross Profit | 36.09M | 53.75M | 51.53M | 45.76M | 34.53M | 18.79M |
| EBITDA | 19.12M | 21.61M | 16.52M | 14.68M | 12.78M | 3.02M |
| Net Income | 12.27M | 11.89M | 8.30M | 7.76M | 6.59M | 366.00K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 101.55M | 91.09M | 81.69M | 74.28M | 68.32M | 52.72M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 12.76M | 15.36M | 15.78M | 13.02M | 15.28M | 13.03M |
| Total Debt | 18.88M | 17.05M | 18.07M | 18.11M | 16.40M | 8.60M |
| Total Liabilities | 31.38M | 28.20M | 28.08M | 26.11M | 26.47M | 16.57M |
| Stockholders Equity | 70.17M | 62.90M | 53.61M | 48.17M | 41.84M | 36.14M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.21M | 5.19M | 9.30M | 561.00K | 92.00K | -553.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.20M | 6.11M | 11.88M | 3.28M | 2.94M | 1.08M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.05M | -914.00K | -3.21M | -3.00M | -3.75M | -1.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.75M | -5.62M | -5.91M | -2.53M | 3.06M | -2.30M |
Ramsdens Holdings Technical Analysis
Neutral
663.00
Price Trends
641.62
Negative
622.01
Positive
511.60
Positive
Market Momentum
-2.69
Negative
38.57
Neutral
37.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RFX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 663 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 631.90, above the 50-day MA of 641.62, and above the 200-day MA of 511.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:RFX.
Ramsdens Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | £206.11M | 10.34 | 29.66% | 2.38% | 43.98% | 97.22% | |
63 Neutral | £250.76M | 22.93 | 10.05% | 4.46% | 18.24% | -3.79% | |
62 Neutral | £125.54M | 21.03 | 5.10% | 4.47% | 5.45% | -48.47% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | £42.40M | 11.69 | 7.63% | 6.03% | -3.48% | -36.60% | |
54 Neutral | £114.24M | 21.65 | 22.27% | 1.53% | 8.14% | 81.96% | |
51 Neutral | £209.06M | -0.38 | 76.91% | 0.04% | 0.07% | -388.74% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:RFX
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631.00
313.56
98.78%
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Ramsdens Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ramsdens lifts profits on gold boom as FirstCash takeover awaits CMA nod
Positive
Oct 12, 2026
Ramsdens reported a strong FY26 performance, driven by a surge in precious metals trading, robust pawnbroking demand, and resilient jewellery retail sales, both online and in-store. The group expects profit before tax of £32m–£35m,...
Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Ramsdens Shareholders Approve FirstCash Takeover as Regulatory Hurdles Ease
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
Ramsdens shareholders have overwhelmingly backed a final recommended cash offer from Chess Bidco Limited, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of U.S.-based FirstCash Holdings, Inc., to acquire the entire share capital of the AIM-quoted pawnbroking...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.