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NCC Group plc (GB:NCC)
:NCC

NCC Group plc (NCC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

NCC Group plc

(LSE:NCC)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
170.00p
▲(7.87%Upside)
NCC Group plc's score is driven by positive technical momentum and supportive corporate events, indicating confidence in management and strategic direction. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, particularly the negative P/E ratio, weigh on the overall score, highlighting the need for operational improvements.

NCC Group plc (NCC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

NCC Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCC Group plc engages in the cyber and software resilience business in the United Kingdom, the Asian-Pacific, North America, and Europe. It operates in two segments, Assurance and Software Resilience. The company offers assessment and advisory services, which include risk management, supply chain risk, cloud and infrastructure, application and security software, mobile, managed vulnerability scanning, hardware and embedded systems, and cryptography, as well as calibrator and cyber security review solutions. It also provides detection and response services, including managed detection and response, incident response, and threat intelligence; compliance services, such as data privacy, government security, and payments; and remediation and big bounty services. In addition, the company offers training services for end-users, administrators, tech specialists, and managers. Further, it provides software resilience services, such as cloud software escrow solutions, on-premises software escrow agreements, on-premises software escrow verification, virtual and physical escrow vaults, software security testing, and software risk assessment tools. The company serves customers in various industries that include finance and professional, transport and manufacturing, public, retail, and energy and utilities, as well as technology, media, telecommunications sectors. NCC Group plc was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCC Group makes money through a diverse revenue model primarily driven by its Cyber Assurance and Software Resilience divisions. The Cyber Assurance segment generates revenue by providing cybersecurity consulting, testing, and managed services to help organizations identify and mitigate cyber risks. This includes penetration testing, incident response, and compliance assessments. The Software Resilience division earns income by offering software escrow and verification services, ensuring that businesses have access to their software and data in the event of supplier failure. Key revenue streams include consulting fees, subscription-based managed services, and contracts for software escrow arrangements. Additionally, NCC Group benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with technology providers and enterprises, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach.

NCC Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NCC Group plc shows mixed financial performance with strong cash flow and a stable balance sheet but is challenged by negative profitability margins. Improvement in gross profit margin indicates better cost management, yet negative EBIT and net profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
NCC Group plc has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a decline of 3.19% in the most recent year. The gross profit margin improved to 41.41% from 32.63% the previous year, indicating better cost management. However, the company incurred a negative EBIT margin (-6.63%) and net profit margin (-7.68%) for the latest period, reflecting operational challenges impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, indicating a conservative capital structure. The equity ratio stands at 54.23%, signifying a stable financial position with more than half of the assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity has turned negative at -10.60%, highlighting the recent losses impacting shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
NCC Group plc's free cash flow remains positive, although it decreased by 10.08% compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at -1.10, reflecting strong cash generation relative to the accounting losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates operational efficiency challenges.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
324.40M335.10M314.80M270.50M263.70M
Gross Profit
136.30M109.40M112.90M90.90M80.80M
EBIT
-21.50M17.60M34.90M31.00M21.50M
EBITDA
7.58M40.20M54.60M50.70M45.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-24.90M-4.60M23.00M10.00M6.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
29.80M34.10M73.20M116.50M95.00M
Total Assets
433.30M501.40M576.40M432.30M437.20M
Total Debt
87.30M113.70M158.20M67.60M137.40M
Net Debt
69.30M79.60M85.00M-48.90M42.40M
Total Liabilities
198.30M223.20M283.20M166.10M231.30M
Stockholders Equity
235.00M278.20M293.20M266.20M205.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
22.30M24.80M46.60M34.10M33.90M
Operating Cash Flow
26.40M32.10M54.80M38.90M39.20M
Investing Cash Flow
3.70M-6.30M-161.20M-4.30M-5.30M
Financing Cash Flow
-49.40M-67.30M61.80M-6.80M26.20M

NCC Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price157.60
Price Trends
50DMA
142.10
Positive
100DMA
139.51
Positive
200DMA
147.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.88
Negative
RSI
72.70
Negative
STOCH
79.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NCC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 157.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 151.34, above the 50-day MA of 142.10, and above the 200-day MA of 147.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:NCC.

NCC Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBSGE
79
Outperform
£12.01B35.5136.78%1.65%7.69%32.91%
75
Outperform
£885.19M25.4224.12%3.93%-4.13%23.09%
74
Outperform
£266.30M50.346.94%1.20%19.55%-6.45%
GBNCC
67
Neutral
£477.65M-10.60%2.98%-3.19%-446.58%
62
Neutral
£948.52M209.4512.00%16.23%-17.91%
61
Neutral
$11.29B10.17-6.88%2.97%7.41%-8.93%
GBGBG
57
Neutral
£669.92M83.391.33%1.56%1.63%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NCC
NCC Group plc
156.00
16.57
11.88%
GB:KNOS
Kainos Group plc
734.00
-408.87
-35.78%
GB:SGE
Sage Group plc
1,249.00
201.91
19.28%
GB:GBG
GB Group plc
274.50
-63.78
-18.85%
GB:IDOX
Idox plc
56.40
-9.00
-13.76%
GB:TRST
Trustpilot Group Plc
236.20
21.20
9.86%

NCC Group plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Purchase Shares Under Incentive Plan
Positive
May 20, 2025

NCC Group plc announced the monthly purchase of ordinary shares by several of its top executives, including the CEO, CFO, CMO, COO, and Managing Director, under the UK Share Incentive Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its leadership with those of its shareholders, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence in its governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NCC) stock is a Buy with a £150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NCC Group plc stock, see the GB:NCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
May 1, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths increasing his voting rights to 10.31% as of April 29, 2025. This adjustment in holdings could impact NCC Group’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially influencing its strategic direction and affecting stakeholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Explores Options for Escode Business Amid Acquisition Speculation
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has acknowledged recent media speculation about potential interest in acquiring its Escode business. The company is exploring various options, including a possible sale, but emphasizes that discussions are in the preliminary stages with no formal proposals received yet. Stakeholders will be informed of any significant developments.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Secures £120m Credit Facility for Strategic Growth
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has secured a new four-year £120 million multi-currency revolving credit facility to support its strategic growth plans. This new facility, which includes a £50 million uncommitted accordion option, replaces the previous £162.5 million facility and provides the company with the financial flexibility to pursue its objectives beyond 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths now holding a 9.26% stake in the company, up from a previous position of 8.06%. This increase in holdings indicates a significant shift in the ownership structure, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced the monthly purchase of its ordinary shares by key executives under the UK Share Incentive Plan. This move, involving the CEO, CFO, CMO, COO, and Managing Director of Escode, reflects a commitment to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence and enhancing the company’s market positioning.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Reinvest Dividends in Company Shares
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

NCC Group plc announced transactions involving its senior management, including the CEO, CFO, COO, and CMO, who have reinvested dividends to purchase ordinary shares of the company. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect the executives’ confidence in the company’s future performance and align their interests with those of shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Sells Fox Crypto to Focus on Core Cyber Security Operations
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has completed the sale of its non-core Fox Crypto business in the Netherlands to CR Group Nordic AB for €78.5 million. This move is part of NCC Group’s strategy to streamline its operations and focus on its core cyber security business, using the proceeds to reduce debt and support growth, thereby enhancing shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Shareholdings
Neutral
Mar 21, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths now holding 8.06% of the company’s voting rights. This shift in holdings could impact NCC Group’s strategic decisions and influence its market positioning, as stakeholders may need to consider the implications of Griffiths’ increased influence.

Business Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

NCC Group plc announced the monthly purchase of ordinary shares by its key executives, including the CEO, CFO, CMO, and COO, as part of the UK Share Incentive Plan. This move reflects the company’s commitment to aligning the interests of its leadership team with those of its shareholders, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence and enhancing market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NCC Group Announces Change in Major Shareholdings
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in major holdings, with Richard Griffiths increasing his voting rights in the company. The notification indicates a shift in the ownership structure, with Griffiths now holding a total of 7.65% of the voting rights, up from a previous position of 6.64%. This change could impact the company’s governance and strategic decisions, reflecting Griffiths’ increased influence within the organization.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NCC Group PLC Announces Change in Shareholder Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

NCC Group PLC, a company involved in cybersecurity and risk mitigation, has announced a change in its shareholder voting rights. NFU Mutual Insurance Society Limited has reduced its direct interest in NCC Group PLC, falling below the 3% threshold due to a disposal of voting rights. This change in voting rights could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCC Group Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

NCC Group plc has announced a change in its voting rights structure following an acquisition by Harwood Capital LLP. The acquisition increased Harwood Capital’s voting rights in NCC Group to 4.35201%, up from a previous 3.64666%. This adjustment in voting rights may influence NCC Group’s strategic decisions and shareholder dynamics, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.