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Ithaca Energy PLC (GB:ITH)
LSE:ITH
UK Market

Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Ithaca Energy PLC

(LSE:ITH)

72Outperform
Ithaca Energy PLC scores a 72, reflecting stable financial performance, a promising technical outlook, and attractive valuation metrics. The strategic initiatives and acquisitions, along with a robust dividend yield, bolster its position despite challenges in revenue and cash flow.
Positive Factors
Business Performance
The production downgrade trend since IPO has ended, with the base business showing improved performance.
Merger and Acquisition
The company has become more reliable and resilient following the merger with ENI UK.
Operational Performance
The new COO's focus on operational performance is already showing positive results in production.
Negative Factors
Dividend Outlook
The forecasted cash dividend is expected to decline due to lower commodity price forecasts and lower production.
Political and Tax Risk
Operations underperforming plus windfall tax uncertainty and political risk for Rosebank and Cambo projects.
Share Price Valuation
A downside scenario assuming zero allowances for capex against windfall tax and political risk forcing cancellation of Rosebank/Cambo developments gives a risked NAV of 82p per share, 20% below the current share price.

Ithaca Energy PLC (ITH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ithaca Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIthaca Energy PLC (ITH) is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. The company focuses primarily on operations in the North Sea, where it holds a diverse portfolio of oil and gas assets. Ithaca Energy's core services include the acquisition, exploration, and extraction of oil and natural gas, providing energy resources to various markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyIthaca Energy PLC generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams come from the production of hydrocarbons, which are sold in global energy markets. Ithaca Energy's earnings are influenced by factors such as oil and gas prices, production efficiency, and the successful management of its asset portfolio in the North Sea. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies also play a role in enhancing operational capabilities and expanding the company's market reach, thus contributing to its revenue generation.

Ithaca Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ithaca Energy PLC demonstrates solid profitability and reasonable leverage, yet faces challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow. The financial health is stable, but strategic actions may be needed to ensure sustainable cash generation.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Ithaca Energy PLC shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 42.5% and an EBIT margin of 26.4% for 2024. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 7.7% from 9.3% in 2023, indicating pressure on net income. Revenue has seen a declining trend, dropping from $2.6 billion in 2022 to $2 billion in 2024, which is a concern for top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, which is manageable but slightly increased from previous years. The equity ratio is 36.7%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, total assets have grown to $8.3 billion, while stockholders' equity has only modestly increased, indicating leveraged growth.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $853 million, but free cash flow has decreased significantly to $389 million in 2024, a 52% drop from 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of earnings to cash; however, the decline in free cash flow poses concerns about future liquidity and investment capacity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.98B2.32B2.60B1.43B1.11B
Gross Profit
842.21M1.00B1.25B549.06M311.46M
EBIT
523.75M486.06M1.13B462.20M245.32M
EBITDA
1.04B1.15B1.79B918.11M618.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
153.15M215.63M1.03B620.62M-467.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
178.08M156.54M253.82M44.85M1.20M
Total Assets
8.27B6.25B6.76B4.73B4.26B
Total Debt
1.07B768.71M1.27B1.40B1.85B
Net Debt
899.98M615.49M1.02B1.35B1.85B
Total Liabilities
5.23B3.80B4.30B4.06B3.72B
Stockholders Equity
3.04B2.44B2.46B676.51M542.47M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
389.20M811.97M1.34B643.06M593.21M
Operating Cash Flow
853.28M1.29B1.72B912.66M735.27M
Investing Cash Flow
-390.91M-492.40M-1.40B-220.15M-198.96M
Financing Cash Flow
-449.48M-900.73M-107.45M-650.74M-549.87M

Ithaca Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price132.80
Price Trends
50DMA
133.43
Negative
100DMA
124.66
Positive
200DMA
110.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
47.97
Neutral
STOCH
22.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ITH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 132.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.02, below the 50-day MA of 133.43, and above the 200-day MA of 110.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:ITH.

Ithaca Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£148.03B14.527.41%4.34%-4.09%-20.79%
GBENQ
73
Outperform
£241.12M3.4018.48%-21.23%
GBITH
72
Outperform
£2.20B12.915.54%12.74%-16.96%-34.52%
GBTLW
61
Neutral
£193.13M4.21
-11.70%
GBHBR
61
Neutral
£2.71B21.62-2.87%12.53%29.33%
GBBP
61
Neutral
£54.69B183.44-1.85%6.91%-9.08%-113.54%
56
Neutral
$7.00B3.44-4.86%5.89%-0.09%-48.37%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
132.80
36.28
37.59%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
160.90
-94.23
-36.93%
GB:SHEL
Shell (UK)
2,486.50
-294.44
-10.59%
GB:TLW
Tullow Oil
13.22
-21.74
-62.19%
GB:ENQ
Enquest
13.14
-1.85
-12.34%
GB:BP
BP p.l.c.
350.30
-126.31
-26.50%

Ithaca Energy PLC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Grants Deferred Bonus Awards to Key Executives
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced the granting of deferred bonus awards to its directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) under the company’s Deferred Share Bonus Plan. The awards, which are nil-cost options to acquire ordinary shares, are set to vest on the third anniversary of the grant date. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests by aligning management incentives with long-term company performance.

Spark’s Take on GB:ITH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:ITH is a Outperform.

Ithaca Energy’s overall score reflects strong corporate events and reasonable valuation, offset by moderate financial performance and technical indicators. The company’s strategic growth initiatives and high dividend yield are key strengths, while declining revenue and free cash flow pose significant risks.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:ITH stock, click here.

Dividends
Ithaca Energy Announces Third Interim Dividend Payment
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Ithaca Energy announced the payment of a third interim dividend of $200 million, equivalent to $0.1209 per ordinary share, to be distributed to shareholders on 25 April 2025. The dividend, converted to sterling at a rate of £1 = US$1.2830, will amount to 9.4232 pence per share, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering attractive returns to its investors.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ithaca Energy Releases 2024 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC has published its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts, along with the Notice of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, which will be held on May 14 in Aberdeen, Scotland. The publication of these documents is in accordance with UK Financial Conduct Authority regulations, and they are available on the company’s website and the FCA’s National Storage Mechanism. This announcement underscores Ithaca Energy’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, while also highlighting its strategic focus on energy security and sustainable operations in the UK North Sea.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Announces Share Purchases Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that on April 7, 2025, purchases of its ordinary shares were made under the company’s Share Incentive Plan (SIP) by Computershare Share Plan Trustees Limited on behalf of the company’s key managerial personnel. This plan allows employees to buy shares using salary deductions, aligning employee interests with company performance. The transactions were conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the company’s commitment to employee engagement and stakeholder alignment.

Dividends
Ithaca Energy Reinvests Dividends in Share Incentive Plan
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that dividends paid on shares held within their Share Incentive Plan (SIP) in April and September 2024 were reinvested to purchase additional shares. This transaction involved key company figures, including the Chief Financial Officer and a former Executive Chairman, and was conducted in accordance with SIP rules on the London Stock Exchange.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ithaca Energy CFO Executes Share Option and Sale
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced a transaction involving its Chief Financial Officer, Iain Lewis, who exercised a vested nil-cost option award over 114,274 ordinary shares, which he subsequently sold. This transaction, conducted under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan, reflects internal financial maneuvers and compliance with regulatory disclosure requirements, potentially impacting shareholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy’s Transformational 2024: Strategic Growth and Strong Performance
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC reported a transformational year in 2024, highlighted by a significant business combination with Eni UK, which positioned it as the largest resource holder in the UKCS. The company achieved robust operational and financial performance, with strong production levels and a total dividend payout of $500 million. The acquisition of JAPEX UK E&P Limited further solidifies its growth strategy, increasing its stake in the Seagull field. Ithaca Energy also completed a successful refinancing, ensuring over $1 billion in liquidity, and made progress on key projects like Rosebank and Captain, while maintaining a strong safety record.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Announces Third Interim Dividend for 2024
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

Ithaca Energy has announced a third interim dividend for 2024 amounting to $200 million, equivalent to $0.1209 per ordinary share, to be paid on April 25, 2025. This move reflects the company’s commitment to delivering attractive and sustainable returns, supported by its emissions-reduction strategy and focus on energy security, aligning with the UK Government’s priorities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Expands Stake in Seagull Oil Field with JAPEX Acquisition
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

Ithaca Energy has announced the acquisition of JAPEX UK E&P Limited, increasing its stake in the Seagull oil field in the UK North Sea from 35% to 50%. This strategic move is expected to add significant reserves and production capacity, aligning with Ithaca’s strategy of value-accretive M&A and enhancing its role in the UK energy market. The acquisition also includes substantial tax benefits, reflecting JAPEX’s investment in the field, and positions Ithaca Energy to play a key role in domestic energy security.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy Reports Strong 2024 Performance Following Eni UK Combination
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Ithaca Energy has reported a strong performance for the fiscal year 2024, achieving production and financial results at the top end of market guidance. The company’s recent business combination with Eni UK has been transformational, enhancing its production capabilities and financial strength. With significant operational achievements, including high production rates and strict cost control, Ithaca Energy has seen improved safety records and reduced emissions. The company has also successfully refinanced $2.25 billion, increasing its financial flexibility, and paid a substantial dividend to shareholders. The ongoing progress in the Rosebank project further underscores its commitment to growth and supporting UK energy security.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ithaca Energy Achieves Transformative Growth in 2024
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Ithaca Energy has reported a transformative year in 2024, achieving strong production and financial performance following its business combination with Eni UK. The company reached peak production rates and maintained strict cost controls, resulting in a significant EBITDAX increase. The integration of Eni UK assets has enhanced the company’s portfolio, financial flexibility, and operational reliability, positioning Ithaca Energy as a major player in the UKCS. The company also made progress on the Rosebank project and improved its safety record, supporting its ambitious growth and dividend targets while focusing on sustainable shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ithaca Energy Strengthens Management Stake Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Ithaca Energy PLC announced that senior management, including the Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer, have acquired ordinary shares through the company’s Share Incentive Plan (SIP). This plan, approved by HM Revenue and Customs, allows employees to purchase shares using salary deductions. The transactions were executed on the London Stock Exchange, with implications for enhancing employee ownership and aligning management interests with shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.