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Five9 (FIVN)
NASDAQ:FIVN

Five9 (FIVN) AI Stock Analysis

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Five9

(NASDAQ:FIVN)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(16.32%Upside)
Five9's overall score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, offset by valuation challenges and moderate technical signals. The company's strategic focus on AI and partnerships bodes well for future growth, though current financial metrics and market conditions suggest caution.
Positive Factors
AI Innovation
Monetizing AI through partnerships in addition to its own.
Financial Performance
Five9 outperformed Street expectations and beat across both revenue and operating income.
Growth Prospects
Growth continues to be supported by large customers and adoption of Five9’s AI capabilities.
Negative Factors
AI Impact Concerns
There are concerns about the potential impact of AI advancements on the need for agent seats, which could affect Five9's primary monetization strategy.
International Market Challenges
Some international prospects are more hesitant to sign deals with U.S. companies, and it has also seen a lengthening sales cycle for larger enterprise deals.
Management Uncertainty
The ongoing search for a new CFO and the conservative guidance from outgoing CFO create uncertainty in future risk assessments.

Five9 (FIVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five9 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive9, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud software for contact centers in the United States and internationally. The company offers virtual contact center cloud platform that delivers a suite of applications, which enables the breadth of contact center-related customer service, sales, and marketing functions. Its solution enables its clients to manage these customer interactions across various channels, including voice, video, chat, email, website, social media, click-to-call, callback, and mobile channels, as well as through APIs; and provides natural language processing and automatic speech recognition solutions. The company serves customers in various industries comprising banking and financial services, business process outsourcers, consumer, healthcare, technology, and education. Five9, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Ramon, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive9 generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay recurring fees to access its cloud contact center software. The company offers various pricing tiers based on the features and scale of the services provided, allowing it to cater to businesses of different sizes and needs. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings and professional services, such as implementation, training, and support. Additionally, Five9 partners with various technology providers and resellers to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings, which can contribute to its revenue growth.

Five9 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Measures the ability to retain and grow revenue from existing customers, indicating customer satisfaction, product value, and potential for sustainable growth.
Chart InsightsFive9's Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate has been on a declining trend since 2021, reflecting challenges in retaining and expanding existing customer revenue. Despite this, the latest earnings call reveals strong growth in subscription and AI revenues, suggesting potential for future stabilization. However, longer sales cycles and geopolitical resistance could continue to pressure retention rates. The company's strategic focus on AI and partnerships, such as with Salesforce and Google Cloud, aims to leverage its expanding TAM, potentially offsetting retention challenges and driving future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Five9 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong subscription and AI revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and record cash flow. However, longer sales cycles, geopolitical resistance, and tough year-over-year comparisons present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue now makes up 80% of total revenue and grew 14% year-over-year, primarily driven by LTM Enterprise subscription revenue growing 20% year-over-year.
Record Operating Cash Flow
Q1 record operating cash flow of $48 million or 17% of revenue, and an all-time record of free cash flow of $35 million or 12% of revenue.
AI Revenue Growth
Enterprise AI revenue grew 32% year-over-year in the first quarter, making up 9% of enterprise subscription revenue.
Strategic Partnerships and Innovations
Five9 deepened its Salesforce partnership with the launch of Five9 Fusion and reported early traction with the Google Cloud Marketplace, adding more than $35 million in ACV pipeline.
Negative Updates
Longer Sales Cycles
Noted lengthening of sales cycles on larger deals, attributed to the macroeconomic backdrop.
Geopolitical Resistance
Observed resistance in international regions to doing business with U.S. vendors, impacting net new sales.
Tough Year-over-Year Comparisons
Challenges due to stronger downtick among seasonal customers in consumer and healthcare verticals, and significant revenue contributions from the largest customer completing its ramp last year.
Company Guidance
During the recent conference call, Five9 reported first-quarter results that exceeded expectations across key financial metrics. Subscription revenue, which constitutes 80% of total revenue, grew by 14% year-over-year, driven mainly by a 20% year-over-year increase in LTM Enterprise subscription revenue. The adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 19%, contributing to a record operating cash flow of $48 million or 17% of revenue, and a record free cash flow of $35 million or 12% of revenue. The company outlined its transformation initiatives aimed at enhancing long-term competitive positioning and achieving the Rule of 40 on an adjusted EBITDA basis by 2027. AI offerings have significantly contributed to the financial outcomes, evidenced by a 32% year-over-year growth in enterprise AI revenue, which now comprises 9% of enterprise subscription revenue. The company also anticipates further growth through strategic investments in AI and go-to-market initiatives, leveraging its expanding total addressable market (TAM) with AI to drive future revenue growth.

Five9 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five9 exhibits robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management, with a strong operating cash flow position despite current unprofitability. The balance sheet is stable, but high debt levels require attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Five9 has shown a consistent growth trajectory in its revenue, with a TTM revenue of $1.07 billion, reflecting strong market demand. The gross profit margin remains healthy at around 52.6% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the company is not yet profitable on a net income basis, with a negative net profit margin of -0.5% for the TTM, though losses have been narrowing, showing potential for future profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86, reflecting reliance on debt financing but with a manageable equity base. The equity ratio stands at 31.8%, indicating a stable asset structure, though there is room for improvement in financial leverage. The company has been increasing its equity base, supporting future growth and stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Five9's cash flow position is strong, with an operating cash flow of $159 million for the TTM, showing solid cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates positive cash flow generation despite net losses, with free cash flow significantly improved at $119 million for the TTM, demonstrating effective capital efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.04B910.49M778.85M609.59M434.91M
Gross Profit565.58M564.40M477.80M411.35M338.49M254.62M
EBITDA22.30M54.96M-10.62M13.31M-8.82M14.54M
Net Income-5.14M-12.79M-81.76M-94.65M-53.00M-42.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.09B2.05B1.49B1.24B1.19B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments370.34M1.01B730.30M614.26M469.86M603.54M
Total Debt1.23B1.23B793.88M790.56M825.51M653.22M
Total Liabilities1.43B1.43B956.48M934.52M981.81M784.58M
Stockholders Equity664.29M622.19M538.09M309.96M211.13M279.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.27M78.56M88.07M32.69M-13.73M36.88M
Operating Cash Flow159.20M143.17M128.84M88.86M28.48M67.30M
Investing Cash Flow-37.83M-266.55M-259.56M30.96M-150.48M-382.33M
Financing Cash Flow9.17M342.73M94.58M-30.23M-7.50M457.42M

Five9 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.65
Price Trends
50DMA
26.44
Positive
100DMA
29.60
Negative
200DMA
32.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
46.55
Neutral
STOCH
31.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.60, above the 50-day MA of 26.44, and below the 200-day MA of 32.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIVN.

Five9 Risk Analysis

Five9 disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five9 reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five9 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.55B33.1630.28%27.39%115.40%
78
Outperform
$5.13B28.9740.23%9.58%12.41%
72
Outperform
$2.03B-0.90%14.44%91.60%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$48.57B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
64
Neutral
$5.61B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
SS
64
Neutral
$5.90B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
63
Neutral
$32.90B6.03-11.70%1.95%5.55%-19.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVN
Five9
26.65
-17.45
-39.57%
QLYS
Qualys
141.03
-1.57
-1.10%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
50.93
2.96
6.17%
ZS
Zscaler
315.32
123.13
64.07%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
98.22
24.87
33.91%
S
SentinelOne
18.01
-3.04
-14.44%

Five9 Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Five9 Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on May 21
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Five9, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where three directors were elected to the board, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. With 88% of common stock represented, these decisions are pivotal for Five9’s governance and financial oversight, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and support for the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025