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Varonis Systems (VRNS)
NASDAQ:VRNS
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Varonis Systems (VRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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VRNS

Varonis Systems

(NASDAQ:VRNS)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(4.94% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
VRNS scores in the mid-range primarily due to strong and consistent free cash flow generation and a positive, guidance-raising earnings call that supports the growth outlook. Technicals add support with the stock trading above major moving averages and moderate bullish momentum. The main constraints are ongoing net losses (negative P/E) and balance-sheet leverage that is relatively high for an unprofitable company, plus near-term margin and conversion volatility highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
Strong SaaS ARR Growth and Raised Guidance
Recurring SaaS growth and higher full-year guidance indicate sustained customer adoption, expansion potential, and a stronger subscription base. This supports more predictable revenue and creates a durable foundation for continued enterprise growth.
Negative Factors
Persistent Operating Losses
Despite strong gross margins and cash generation, sustained accounting losses show that operating expenses remain too high relative to revenue. Failure to convert growth into durable GAAP profitability could constrain reinvestment and weaken long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong SaaS ARR Growth and Raised Guidance
Recurring SaaS growth and higher full-year guidance indicate sustained customer adoption, expansion potential, and a stronger subscription base. This supports more predictable revenue and creates a durable foundation for continued enterprise growth.
Read all positive factors

Varonis Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNorth America remains the primary revenue engine while EMEA and Rest of World are showing meaningful acceleration — but with pronounced quarter-to-quarter lumpiness that looks driven by large enterprise deals or conversion timing rather than steady base growth. Management’s guidance and strong SaaS ARR ex‑conversion growth signal durable international demand and product traction (AI and acquisitions), yet conversion timing and the on‑prem end‑of‑life create near‑term volatility and margin/cash noise; watch conversion disclosures and regionally concentrated big deals for future beats or misses.
Data provided by:The Fly

Varonis Systems (VRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Varonis Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) is a cybersecurity and data security company that provides software designed to help organizations discover, classify, protect, and monitor sensitive data across on-premises and cloud environments. The company’s platfo...
How the Company Makes Money
Varonis makes money primarily by selling subscriptions to its data security software platform and related modules/capabilities. Revenue is largely generated from (1) recurring subscription fees for access to the platform (including cloud-delivered...

Varonis Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a net positive tone: strong underlying SaaS ARR growth (25% excl. conversions), healthy revenue growth (+18% YoY), improved GAAP/non‑GAAP profitability, substantial cash reserves and clear product momentum (Atlas, Interceptor, DAM) with meaningful customer wins. Offsets include margin pressure (gross margin and ARR contribution margin declines), a year‑to‑date drop in free cash flow (partly due to acquisition accounting costs), conversion uncertainty related to the on‑prem EOL transition, and some quarter‑end deal slippage tied to media rumors. On balance, management raised guidance and emphasized a robust pipeline and early July deal closures, indicating the positives materially outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Strong SaaS ARR Growth
SaaS ARR (excluding conversions) increased 25% year‑over‑year to $598.1M in Q2; total SaaS ARR including conversions was $726M. SaaS ARR from new logos grew more than 20% in the quarter. Management raised full‑year SaaS ARR outlook (total SaaS ARR $819M–$850M, +28%–33%; SaaS ARR excl. conversions growth ~20%–21%).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Non‑GAAP gross margin declined to 77.7% in Q2 from 80.6% a year ago (down ~290 basis points YoY). Management said gross margins are tracking to plan but the year‑over‑year decline is notable.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong SaaS ARR Growth
SaaS ARR (excluding conversions) increased 25% year‑over‑year to $598.1M in Q2; total SaaS ARR including conversions was $726M. SaaS ARR from new logos grew more than 20% in the quarter. Management raised full‑year SaaS ARR outlook (total SaaS ARR $819M–$850M, +28%–33%; SaaS ARR excl. conversions growth ~20%–21%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Varonis guided Q3 SaaS ARR growth (ex‑conversions) of 22%–23%, total revenues of $185M–$188M (↑14%–16%), non‑GAAP operating income of $2.5M–$3.5M and non‑GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.02–$0.03 (assumes 131.1M diluted shares), noting the quarter‑to‑quarter bridge to total SaaS ARR assumes zero conversions. For full‑year 2026 it raised the outlook to total SaaS ARR $819M–$850M (↑28%–33%) and SaaS ARR ex‑conversions $769M–$775M (↑20%–21%), free cash flow $105M–$110M (a $5M raise), total revenues $735M–$739M (↑18%–19%), non‑GAAP operating income $11M–$13M and non‑GAAP diluted EPS $0.14–$0.15 (assumes 131.5M shares). Management also reiterated Q2 operational baselines used in the guidance: Q2 SaaS ARR ex‑conversions $598.1M (↑25% y/y), total SaaS ARR $726M, Q2 conversion ARR $11.4M, ~$59.3M non‑SaaS ARR remaining, YTD free cash flow $69.1M (or ~$81M adjusting for ~$11.9M acquisition‑related costs), and $911.5M in cash/cash equivalents and marketable securities as of June 30.

Varonis Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength (TTM operating cash flow ~$138M and free cash flow ~$122M), supporting liquidity despite persistent accounting losses (TTM net margin around -21%). Gross margins are very strong (high-70s to mid-80s), but elevated leverage for an unprofitable profile (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.16) and negative ROE (~-27%) cap the score.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue688.10M623.53M550.95M499.16M473.63M390.13M
Gross Profit530.31M493.44M457.10M427.41M403.80M330.74M
EBITDA-114.73M-104.01M-63.58M-70.55M-82.04M-80.15M
Net Income-141.38M-129.32M-95.77M-100.92M-124.52M-116.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.79B1.66B1.10B1.04B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments660.12M920.97M568.42M533.72M732.49M807.61M
Total Debt516.13M571.76M754.41M311.84M316.46M302.82M
Total Liabilities1.21B1.19B1.21B614.26M541.61M511.94M
Stockholders Equity444.49M598.66M455.66M489.65M502.13M596.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow121.94M134.80M108.51M54.32M475.00K-3.31M
Operating Cash Flow138.21M147.43M115.20M59.42M11.87M7.18M
Investing Cash Flow53.75M-837.00K-532.25M-143.08M-374.25M54.38M
Financing Cash Flow-157.54M-129.70M371.90M-53.40M-75.58M510.11M

Varonis Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price45.74
Price Trends
50DMA
41.96
Negative
100DMA
34.70
Positive
200DMA
32.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
45.13
Neutral
STOCH
15.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRNS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.71, above the 50-day MA of 41.96, and above the 200-day MA of 32.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VRNS.

Varonis Systems Risk Analysis

Varonis Systems disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Varonis Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Varonis Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.30B31.3837.17%10.71%14.48%
67
Neutral
$1.90B43.5319.61%0.70%12.20%-13.97%
66
Neutral
$7.26B-22.07-21.49%21.38%27.92%
64
Neutral
$4.74B-33.80-26.91%15.86%-33.39%
62
Neutral
$3.79B549.202.41%9.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$15.87B38.888.49%5.87%-0.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRNS
Varonis Systems
41.23
-16.73
-28.86%
AKAM
Akamai
110.42
33.90
44.30%
QLYS
Qualys
181.98
49.49
37.35%
ATEN
A10 Networks
26.12
9.07
53.23%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
34.38
4.37
14.56%
S
SentinelOne
21.19
4.61
27.80%

Varonis Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Varonis Systems Shareholders Approve Directors, Compensation and Equity
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
Varonis Systems, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 1, 2026, where shareholders elected four directors – Yakov Faitelson, Thomas Mendoza, Avrohom J. Kess, and Ohad Korkus – to serve until the 2029 annual meeting....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026