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Box (BOX)
NYSE:BOX
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Box (BOX) AI Stock Analysis

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BOX

Box

(NYSE:BOX)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(34.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/27/26
BOX scores well primarily on improving operating performance and very strong free-cash-flow generation, supported by a constructive price trend and a positive earnings update (raised revenue outlook, stronger retention and RPO). The main constraint on the score is valuation (high P/E) and the balance-sheet history of volatility despite recent improvement.
Positive Factors
Recurring SaaS model and enterprise integrations
Box’s subscription model provides recurring revenue and supports visibility through renewals, multi-year enterprise contracts and seat expansion. Integrations with major business applications increase platform utility, strengthen customer workflows and can improve retention over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile balance-sheet history
Historical negative equity and sharply varying leverage indicate a weaker and less consistent balance-sheet cushion than the latest snapshot alone suggests. This can reduce financial flexibility during weaker operating periods and complicate long-term capital allocation decisions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring SaaS model and enterprise integrations
Box’s subscription model provides recurring revenue and supports visibility through renewals, multi-year enterprise contracts and seat expansion. Integrations with major business applications increase platform utility, strengthen customer workflows and can improve retention over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Box Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Total Remaining Performance Obligations
Represents future revenue from contracts yet to be fulfilled, providing insight into revenue visibility and the strength of customer commitments.
Chart InsightsBox’s RPO has steadily climbed, with pronounced quarter‑end upticks, giving the company stronger near‑term revenue visibility and backing its raised FY27 guidance; management says roughly half of RPO will convert within 12 months, supporting margin expansion and cash generation. However, reported growth is muted by FX headwinds and there’s execution risk: monetizing AI consumption and customer migrations can lag bookings, and token‑cost scrutiny may slow consumption revenue, so higher RPO reduces top‑line risk but timing and FX remain key uncertainties.
Data provided by:The Fly

Box (BOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Box, Inc. delivers a robust cloud-based platform designed for comprehensive content management. This Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) solution empowers organizations of all scales to effortlessly manage, distribute, and access their digital assets acr...
How the Company Makes Money
Box primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its cloud-based content management platform. Revenue is largely generated through recurring software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscription fees paid by business and enterprise customers, typically p...

Box Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026
(Q2-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly positive: Box reported revenue, billings, RPO and net retention improvements, beat guidance on top- and bottom-line results, raised full-year revenue guidance, generated strong cash flow, and highlighted accelerating Enterprise Advanced and AI adoption with meaningful product and partnership momentum. Headwinds include FX impacts, cloud capacity-driven margin pressure, early-stage AI consumption monetization, and quarter-to-quarter billings lumpiness, but management outlined clear product, go-to-market and governance investments to address these risks.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Above Guidance
Q2 revenue of $321M, up 9% year-over-year (11% in constant currency), exceeded guidance and marked the fifth consecutive quarter of accelerating revenue growth in constant currency.
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
FX negatively impacted margins and EPS: Q2 operating margin included a ~100bp FX headwind; Q2 EPS included a ~$0.04 FX headwind. Management expects FY '27 FX headwind of ~150bps on billings/revenue and ~80bps on operating margin, and Q3 EPS FX headwind of ~$0.02.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth Above Guidance
Q2 revenue of $321M, up 9% year-over-year (11% in constant currency), exceeded guidance and marked the fifth consecutive quarter of accelerating revenue growth in constant currency.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Box guided Q3 revenue of about $329 million (≈9% y/y, 11% in constant currency) with Q3 billings growth roughly in line at ~9% (FX tailwind ~70 bps), Q3 gross margin ~80.5%, Q3 operating margin ~28% (includes ~80 bps FX headwind), Q3 EPS ~$0.39 (including ~$0.02 FX headwind) and weighted average diluted shares of ~142 million; for FY27 they raised revenue to ~ $1.29 billion (≈10% y/y, 11% cc, a $10M increase), expect FY billings growth roughly in line with revenue (FX headwind ~150 bps), FY gross margin ~80.5% (Q4 ~80%), FY operating margin ~28% (FX headwind ~80 bps), FY EPS ~$1.54 (including ~$0.09 FX headwind) with ~141 million diluted shares expected (down from 149M last year); management also noted second-half expenses are more Q4-weighted (BoxWorks and lease) and expects to exit FY27 with a net retention rate of 106% and continues to monitor RPO ($1.7B, +15% y/y, +17% cc; ~55% to be recognized in the next 12 months).

Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow $394M; free cash flow $380M) and improving profitability with consistently high gross margins (~79–81%). The key offset is balance-sheet inconsistency (historical negative equity and leverage swings), even though the latest TTM snapshot shows improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.5).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.23B1.18B1.09B1.04B990.87M874.33M
Gross Profit981.70M932.61M862.02M777.13M738.32M624.85M
EBITDA168.81M136.47M113.34M113.83M105.27M50.61M
Net Income116.62M101.31M244.62M129.03M26.78M-41.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.55B1.67B1.24B1.21B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments444.14M478.06M722.82M480.69M461.25M586.27M
Total Debt73.15M1.02B746.73M491.80M535.10M621.50M
Total Liabilities1.26B1.85B1.47B1.18B1.24B1.79B
Stockholders Equity146.28M-299.28M197.28M61.03M-33.86M-395.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow379.58M350.38M329.68M316.88M293.55M230.12M
Operating Cash Flow394.46M356.45M332.26M318.73M297.98M234.82M
Investing Cash Flow-43.98M-42.70M-23.21M-82.79M120.60M-239.37M
Financing Cash Flow-658.89M-569.52M-62.36M-272.90M-396.50M-172.86M

Box Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.39
Price Trends
50DMA
34.35
Positive
100DMA
31.23
Positive
200DMA
28.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.38
Negative
RSI
78.26
Negative
STOCH
91.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.00, below the 50-day MA of 34.35, and above the 200-day MA of 28.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BOX.

Box Risk Analysis

Box disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Box reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Box Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.93T29.3933.22%0.69%17.79%31.42%
75
Outperform
$5.43B55.89217.31%4.86%9.63%-45.56%
70
Outperform
$7.73B19.54-23.53%―-0.05%9.77%
70
Outperform
$3.03B42.8915.70%―24.95%―
63
Neutral
$5.60B-39.93-26.91%―15.86%-33.39%
62
Neutral
$532.34M-25.29-24.09%―13.85%61.09%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOX
Box
39.56
6.48
19.59%
MSFT
Microsoft
529.05
16.48
3.21%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
48.72
-13.51
-21.71%
DBX
Dropbox
35.57
6.28
21.44%
AVPT
AvePoint
14.33
-0.54
-3.63%
BLZE
Backblaze
8.60
-0.61
-6.62%

Box Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Box Appoints New Finance VP and Accounting Officer
Neutral
Oct 6, 2026
On September 30, 2026, Box, Inc. appointed former company executive Omer Yuhjtman as Vice President, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer, with his role commencing October 19, 2026 and succeeding outgoing accounting chief Eli Berkovitch, who will ...
Executive/Board Changes
Box announces leadership transition in key accounting role
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026
On September 22, 2026, Box, Inc. announced that Eli Berkovitch, its principal accounting officer and Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, intends to resign effective October 23, 2026, after more than eleven years with the compa...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026