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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI)
NASDAQ:FGBI
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First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) AI Stock Analysis

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FGBI

First Guaranty Bancshares

(NASDAQ:FGBI)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-1.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—continued net losses and declining revenue—despite improved cash flow and manageable (improving) leverage. Technicals are bearish with negative momentum, though oversold signals temper the downside slightly. Corporate events further increase risk due to a capital-focused consent order and dividend restrictions, while valuation support from the high reported yield is offset by the negative P/E and profitability concerns.
Positive Factors
Positive Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow provide internal funding capacity and liquidity support. If sustained, this can help the bank absorb credit costs, fund operations and meet obligations despite current earnings pressure.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Revenue Contraction
Continued losses and falling revenue weaken internal capital generation and limit the bank’s ability to invest or return capital. Narrower losses versus 2025 are encouraging, but profitability remains negative and requires a durable operating recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow provide internal funding capacity and liquidity support. If sustained, this can help the bank absorb credit costs, fund operations and meet obligations despite current earnings pressure.
Read all positive factors

First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Guaranty Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. functions as the parent company for First Guaranty Bank, a financial institution delivering commercial banking services primarily across Louisiana and Texas. The bank offers a comprehensive suite of deposit products...
How the Company Makes Money
FGBI primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by earning net interest income and generating noninterest income. Net interest income is driven by the spread between (1) interest earned on interest-earning assets—principally loans (e.g.,...

First Guaranty Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals remain pressured by sharp profitability deterioration and continued net losses (TTM net loss ~$36.4M) alongside revenue contraction (~12.7% TTM). Offsetting factors include improved leverage versus 2023 (debt-to-equity ~0.82), a still-meaningful equity base (~$227M), and a notable rebound to positive operating cash flow (~$54.5M) and free cash flow (~$53.2M) after negative 2025 cash flow—though cash flow volatility and negative ROE remain key risks.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.93M195.96M244.78M191.78M145.84M120.92M
Gross Profit37.73M-12.11M91.47M89.76M105.64M96.56M
EBITDA-42.28M-64.27M20.44M15.92M40.50M39.23M
Net Income-36.38M-56.02M12.45M9.22M28.88M27.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.90B4.08B3.97B3.55B3.15B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B845.70M845.13M369.60M214.25M472.37M
Total Debt186.28M186.13M201.92M275.40M183.37M49.63M
Total Liabilities3.67B3.85B3.72B3.30B2.92B2.65B
Stockholders Equity227.35M226.22M255.05M249.63M234.99M223.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.16M-9.98M30.68M6.76M34.22M24.32M
Operating Cash Flow54.53M-8.28M33.73M21.71M36.87M26.52M
Investing Cash Flow31.82M129.90M-142.07M-206.09M-467.91M-452.64M
Financing Cash Flow-19.65M159.88M386.09M387.61M252.33M388.45M

First Guaranty Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.13
Price Trends
50DMA
9.41
Negative
100DMA
9.47
Negative
200DMA
8.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
43.55
Neutral
STOCH
37.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.74, below the 50-day MA of 9.41, and below the 200-day MA of 8.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGBI.

First Guaranty Bancshares Risk Analysis

First Guaranty Bancshares disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Guaranty Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Guaranty Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$197.01M13.697.20%34.21%
69
Neutral
$187.84M18.795.68%1.08%0.32%84.94%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$180.82M10.858.36%2.48%1.82%27.47%
45
Neutral
$144.22M-3.29-16.19%0.84%-8.66%-155.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGBI
First Guaranty Bancshares
8.49
0.12
1.39%
EBMT
Eagle Bancorp Montana
22.35
5.31
31.12%
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp
12.60
3.03
31.68%
FNWD
Finward Bancorp
43.03
11.35
35.81%
ECBK
ECB Bancorp, Inc.
20.70
3.65
21.41%

First Guaranty Bancshares Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
First Guaranty Bancshares Enters Capital-Focused Consent Order
Negative
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, First Guaranty Bank entered into a consent order with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Louisiana Office of Financial Institutions, stemming from a joint regulatory examination completed on September 2, 2025. The...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Guaranty Bancshares Exits Texas Operations After Sale
Neutral
Aug 6, 2026
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that its subsidiary, First Guaranty Bank, completed the sale of its Texas operations to Armstrong Bank on July 31, 2026. The transaction included five branches along with approximately $234 million in depo...
Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Preferred Dividend
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On July 16, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that holders of its depositary shares, each representing a 1/40th interest in its 6.75% Series A Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, would receive a quarterly cash distri...
Dividends
First Guaranty Bancshares Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
On May 21, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be paid on June 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of June 26, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026