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Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) AI Stock Analysis

FBIN

Fortune Brands Innovations

(NYSE:FBIN)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:$44.00â–¼(-1.68% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/28/26

The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (sharp TTM margin compression and lower free cash flow) and a less forgiving valuation (P/E ~35) for a business facing execution and inflation pressures. Offsetting factors include supportive near-term technical momentum (price above 20/50DMAs with positive MACD) and a mixed earnings outlook where cost actions, product strength (especially Security), and tariff-related benefits help results, but underlying guidance (ex-tariff) and Water execution issues remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Security segment growth and product tractionSecurity is showing durable momentum through stronger sales, sharply higher operating income, and successful new-product adoption. Continued traction in branded access and security products can support mix improvement, reinforce channel relationships, and diversify results away from weaker parts of the portfolio.
Negative Factors
Sustained profitability compressionThe decline in net and EBIT margins indicates that earnings power has weakened materially even though gross margin remains relatively stable. Persistent pressure below gross profit reduces internal funding capacity and leaves less operating cushion to absorb demand, cost, or execution challenges.

Fortune Brands Innovations Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentBreaks down sales by business segment, highlighting which areas contribute most to growth and where there might be opportunities or challenges.

$0.00$250.00M$500.00M$750.00M$1.00B$1.25BMar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Fortune Brands Innovations is navigating mixed performance across its segments. The Water segment faces a 3% sales decline, partly due to inventory destocking in Canada, while the Outdoors segment struggles with margin pressure from higher material costs. However, the Security segment shows resilience with a 5% sales increase, bolstered by e-commerce and new retail placements. Despite these challenges, the company is optimistic about outperforming the market, driven by strategic transformations and digital growth, including a promising digital portfolio expected to reach $300 million in sales by year-end.

Data provided by:The Fly

Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%FBIN-7.62%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$5.34B
Dividend Yield
2.30%
Average Volume (3M)
2.26M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
36.4
Beta (1Y)
1.19
Revenue Growth
-2.31%
EPS Growth
-61.33%
Country
US
Employees
10,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Construction Materials

Fortune Brands Innovations Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. specializes in providing a diverse array of water, outdoor, and security-focused products. Their extensive offerings encompass solutions for water management, smart connected devices, outdoor living enhancements, mate...

How the Company Makes Money

FBIN makes money primarily by selling branded home and security products to channel partners and professional customers, with revenue recognized from product shipments/sales under customer purchase orders and supply arrangements. Its key revenue stre...

Fortune Brands Innovations Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-14.64%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 02, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mix of meaningful near-term positives driven largely by one-time tariff refund benefits, product launches, improved free cash flow, and a clear management plan (new CEO, $70M cost program, marketing realignment). However, underlying operational weaknesses—most notably in the Water segment—service and supply-chain failures, elevated input-cost inflation, a modest downward EPS guide (excluding tariff benefit), and outstanding leverage risks temper the near-term outlook. Management has outlined prudent corrective actions and investment priorities with expected progress in 2027, but several challenges remain to be resolved in the near term.

Positive Updates

Tariff Refunds Boost Near-Term Results
Recognized $122M gross tariff refunds in Q2 ( $104M reduction in COGS; $81M net operating income benefit), which contributed ~700 bps to consolidated operating margin and $0.52 of EPS in the quarter. $56M of gross proceeds collected through July 31 with expectation the majority will be received before year-end 2026.

Negative Updates

Water Segment Underperformance
Water sales of $605M, down 6.5% year-over-year (excluding China down 5.4%). Underlying performance weakened due to service-level challenges, carryover discrete share losses, and softness in new-construction demand. Price was up low-single digits while volume declined high-single digits in Q2.

Company Guidance

The company maintained net sales guidance of down low-single digits (now expected slightly below the midpoint) and updated full‑year EPS to $3.22–$3.52 (which includes a $0.52 benefit from anticipated net tariff refunds; ex‑tariff EPS of $2.70–$3.00), while noting it assumes a similar operating environment to prior outlook and no commodity relief before year‑end. Quarterly guidance for Q3 is net sales down 1–2%, EPS $0.72–$0.76 and operating margin 12.5–13.0%; at the midpoint management expects second‑half margins to be ~100 bps higher than the first half, with price/cost unfavorable in Q3 and favorable in Q4. The company recognized $122M gross in tariff refunds in Q2 ($104M reduced COGS → $81M operating income / ~700 bps and $0.52 EPS; $18M reduced inventory), has collected roughly $56M of gross proceeds through July 31 (with a $9M cash inflow in Q2), does not assume additional net refund benefit in H2, and said full‑year FCF guidance incorporates the $56M proceeds; other guide points: CapEx $110–$125M, Q2 free cash flow $179M, net debt ~$2.3B (net debt/EBITDA 2.7x) and a near‑term leverage target of ~2.5x.

Fortune Brands Innovations Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement deterioration is the key drag: TTM profitability compressed materially (net margin ~3.4% vs ~6.7% in 2025 and ~10.2% in 2024; EBIT margin ~6.1% vs ~11.7% in 2025) despite relatively stable gross margin. Balance sheet is manageable but less comfortable given weaker returns (ROE ~6.3% TTM) with moderately high leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.1x). Cash flow remains positive but weakened, with TTM free cash flow down notably (~$261M vs ~$367M in 2025).

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.39B4.46B4.61B4.63B4.72B4.80B
Gross Profit2.00B1.99B2.07B1.91B1.93B1.96B
EBITDA445.50M714.60M919.60M803.20M977.90M999.80M
Net Income148.90M298.80M471.90M404.50M686.70M772.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.34B6.52B6.56B6.57B6.12B7.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.70M264.00M381.10M366.40M642.50M425.60M
Total Debt2.80B2.54B2.83B2.81B2.77B2.82B
Total Liabilities4.03B4.13B4.14B4.27B4.04B4.87B
Stockholders Equity2.31B2.39B2.42B2.29B2.08B3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow400.50M366.80M474.50M799.30M320.20M474.50M
Operating Cash Flow496.20M478.60M667.80M1.06B566.30M688.70M
Investing Cash Flow-81.90M-104.90M-302.90M-1.04B-455.50M-207.10M
Financing Cash Flow-440.50M-503.30M-363.40M-271.30M72.50M-428.60M

Fortune Brands Innovations Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price44.75

Price Trends

50DMA41.11Positive
100DMA44.64Positive
200DMA44.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.91Negative
RSI67.38Neutral
STOCH82.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.86, above the 50-day MA of 41.11, and above the 200-day MA of 44.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBIN.

Fortune Brands Innovations Risk Analysis

Fortune Brands Innovations disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fortune Brands Innovations reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Fortune Brands Innovations Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

FBIN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TREXTREX70Outperform$5.21B30.4417.38%―6.97%-2.53%
MASMAS69Neutral$15.54B17.45-298.23%1.57%0.95%17.94%
GFFGFF67Neutral$4.58B22.36198.41%0.87%-12.03%209.72%
JHXJHX65Neutral$15.81B107.882.27%―42.93%-67.45%
NXNX65Neutral$947.23M20.806.19%1.55%1.26%―
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
FBINFBIN54Neutral$5.34B36.386.31%2.30%-2.31%-61.33%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%FBINGFFMASNXTREXJHXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FBIN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.44.75-4.70-9.50%
GFFGriffon101.0926.7736.03%
MASMasco Corporation80.6418.1028.95%
NXQuanex Building Products20.676.8950.01%
TREXTrex Company51.143.206.68%
JHXJames Hardie Industries PLC27.246.7933.20%

Fortune Brands Innovations Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Fortune Brands Innovations Announces Key Leadership Realignment

Positive
Oct 27, 2026

On October 22 and October 27, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations announced a series of leadership and organizational changes aimed at sharpening business focus and execution. Dave Barry, currently Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, w...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Fortune Brands to Divest Fiberon Composite Decking Business

Negative
Oct 15, 2026

On June 27, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations recorded a $221.2 million impairment on its Fiberon asset group within the Outdoors segment, reducing the carrying value of Fiberon customer relationship intangibles and property and equipment. The charge...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Fortune Brands Innovations Names Peter Clifford New CFO

Positive
Sep 9, 2026

On Sept. 9, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations announced that its board appointed Peter G. Clifford as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective Sept. 21, 2026, while interim CFO Ashley George will return to her prior role as Seni...

Executive/Board Changes

Fortune Brands Innovations Announces Legal Leadership Transition

Neutral
Jul 30, 2026

On July 24, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. announced that Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary Hiranda S. Donoghue would depart the company, effective July 31, 2026. Vice President and Deputy General Counsel J...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026