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Armstrong World (AWI)
NYSE:AWI

Armstrong World (AWI) AI Stock Analysis

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Armstrong World

(NYSE:AWI)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$172.00
▲( 11.38% Upside)
Armstrong World Industries exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability, supported by effective debt management and strategic acquisitions. While technical analysis indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, the company's valuation is reasonable, and the earnings call underscores confidence in continued growth. Collectively, these factors result in a solid overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Architectural Specialties Growth
Significant growth potential exists in the architectural specialty market, where AWI holds a 20% share and sees opportunities for growth in new verticals and materials.
Earnings
AWI is well positioned to grow earnings and cash flow even if the macro environment remains challenging.
Product Innovation
Templok energy saving ceiling panels can reduce heating and cooling costs by up to 15% and carry 2-3x AUV compared to traditional ceiling tiles.
Negative Factors
Market Demand
Management sees end markets 'moving sideways', guiding to lower mineral fiber volumes due to weaker discretionary activity given the macro uncertainty.
Market Volatility
Management expects near-term choppiness for end markets, which could impact growth stability.

Armstrong World (AWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Armstrong World Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArmstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) is a leading designer and manufacturer of innovative commercial and residential ceiling, wall, and suspension system solutions. With a strong presence in the building and construction industry, AWI primarily serves commercial, residential, and remodeling markets. The company's core products include mineral fiber, metal, wood, and specialty ceiling products, as well as wall solutions that improve aesthetics and acoustics in interior spaces.
How the Company Makes MoneyArmstrong World Industries generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of its ceiling and wall systems. The company's primary revenue streams include sales from its core mineral fiber and architectural specialties segments. AWI sells its products to a broad range of customers, including contractors, distributors, and retailers, who then supply them to end-users in the commercial and residential sectors. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach. AWI's focus on innovation and sustainability also plays a crucial role in attracting new business opportunities and maintaining a competitive edge in the industry.

Armstrong World Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Armstrong World demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with low debt levels and impressive returns on equity. Cash flow management remains strong with positive growth and efficient cash generation from operations, positioning the company favorably in the construction industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Armstrong World shows strong revenue growth with a 4% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. Gross Profit Margin remains healthy at 40.44%, and Net Profit Margin is solid at 18.25%. The company maintains robust EBIT and EBITDA margins at 24.04% and 30.04%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.12. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 34.54%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 42.78% suggests a healthy balance of equity financing, though a slight increase in liabilities warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Armstrong World demonstrates solid cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 5.54% in TTM. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.03, showcasing efficient cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.71, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.50B1.45B1.30B1.23B1.11B936.90M
Gross Profit
607.20M581.60M497.00M449.10M405.60M333.10M
EBIT
361.10M374.30M323.70M212.00M165.00M169.80M
EBITDA
481.60M495.60M434.30M309.00M283.10M-13.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
274.10M264.90M223.80M202.90M183.20M-84.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
79.30M79.30M70.80M106.00M98.10M136.90M
Total Assets
1.84B1.84B1.67B1.69B1.71B1.72B
Total Debt
599.90M599.90M640.40M687.00M671.60M755.70M
Net Debt
520.60M520.60M569.60M581.00M573.50M618.80M
Total Liabilities
1.09B1.09B1.08B1.15B1.19B1.27B
Stockholders Equity
757.10M757.10M591.80M535.00M519.70M450.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
194.20M184.00M149.70M107.60M107.40M163.40M
Operating Cash Flow
281.40M266.80M233.50M182.40M187.20M218.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-79.20M-79.30M-10.40M28.20M-13.90M-141.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-188.10M-177.60M-258.60M-201.90M-212.10M13.50M

Armstrong World Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price154.43
Price Trends
50DMA
143.46
Positive
100DMA
145.53
Positive
200DMA
141.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.36
Positive
RSI
59.33
Neutral
STOCH
31.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AWI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 154.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 152.59, above the 50-day MA of 143.46, and above the 200-day MA of 141.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AWI.

Armstrong World Risk Analysis

Armstrong World disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Armstrong World reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Armstrong World Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SSSSD
77
Outperform
$6.46B20.0918.10%0.72%1.38%-3.80%
77
Outperform
$7.08B47.7210.62%5.93%3.50%
AWAWI
77
Outperform
$6.71B24.7338.60%0.76%14.55%17.54%
LPLPX
74
Outperform
$6.45B16.2824.41%1.14%8.09%55.08%
66
Neutral
$6.10B31.1423.07%-9.10%-21.50%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.20%249.39%3.96%-12.36%
63
Neutral
$6.04B14.7218.62%1.93%-3.48%4.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AWI
Armstrong World
154.43
39.82
34.74%
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
50.26
-17.63
-25.97%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
92.64
3.97
4.48%
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
154.40
-13.38
-7.97%
TREX
Trex Company
56.92
-29.79
-34.36%
AZEK
AZEK Company
49.24
2.47
5.28%

Armstrong World Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Armstrong World Industries delivered strong financial results with significant sales and EBITDA growth, driven by effective execution and innovative product offerings. However, the company faces challenges from market uncertainty and the impact of tariffs, which may affect discretionary spending and project timelines in the latter half of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Setting Sales and EBITDA
Armstrong World Industries reported a 17% increase in total company net sales and a 16% increase in adjusted EBITDA, marking the best Q1 margin performance since 2020.
Mineral Fiber Segment Performance
Net sales in the Mineral Fiber segment increased by 2%, and EBITDA increased by 7%. Average Unit Value (AUV) rose 7% despite weather-related volume challenges, leading to a 180 basis point margin expansion.
Architectural Specialty Segment Growth
Architectural Specialty sales grew 59%, with organic sales up 11% and significant contributions from Three Form and Zaynor acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 94%, with a margin expansion of 310 basis points.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Adjusted free cash flow increased by 10%, supported by higher cash earnings and dividends. The company repurchased $22 million in shares and paid $13 million in dividends in Q1 2025.
Innovative Product Development
Armstrong's TempLock energy-saving ceilings and ProjectWorks platform are gaining traction, contributing to energy efficiency and productivity in the building sector.
Negative Updates
Market Uncertainty Impact
The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and macroeconomic conditions may lead to a slowdown in discretionary renovation work and project delays in the second half of 2025.
Home Center Channel Challenges
Lower sales volumes were reported in the Mineral Fiber segment due to decreased foot traffic in home center channels, impacted by severe weather conditions.
Impact of Steel Tariffs on WAVE
Steel tariffs have led to increased prices for locally sourced steel, requiring the WAVE joint venture to implement two price increases in the first quarter to offset these costs.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 earnings call for Armstrong World Industries, the company announced a 17% increase in total net sales and a 16% rise in adjusted EBITDA, marking record-setting results. The Mineral Fiber segment saw a 2% increase in net sales and a 7% rise in EBITDA, with an impressive 180 basis point expansion in EBITDA margin to 43%. The Architectural Specialty segment experienced a robust 59% sales growth, aided by recent acquisitions contributing 47 percentage points, and an 11% organic growth. The company anticipates continued strong growth with the reaffirmation of its 2025 guidance, despite macroeconomic uncertainties such as tariffs. Additionally, Armstrong highlighted its focus on maintaining its pricing strategy, productivity, and cost management to offset potential impacts, while leveraging its diverse market presence and innovative product offerings to sustain growth.

Armstrong World Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armstrong World Releases Updated Investor Presentation
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Armstrong World Industries released an updated Investor Presentation on its website ahead of upcoming investor meetings. The presentation highlights the company’s strong financial performance in 2024, with net sales of $1,446 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $486 million. Armstrong World emphasizes its focus on sustainability and innovation, aiming to lead in the design and building of spaces that promote thriving communities. The company continues to leverage its strong brand, extensive product portfolio, and strategic growth initiatives to maintain its industry-leading position.

Financial Disclosures
Armstrong World Reports Record Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Armstrong World Industries reported record-setting first-quarter financial results for 2025, with net sales increasing by 17.3% compared to the previous year, driven by acquisitions and strong Mineral Fiber Average Unit Value growth. The company achieved a 14% increase in operating income and a 16% rise in diluted net earnings per share, reaffirming its 2025 guidance across key metrics. Despite challenges in demand, Armstrong World Industries demonstrated resilience with significant contributions from its 2024 acquisitions and organic growth in its Architectural Specialties segment.

Executive/Board Changes
Armstrong World Appoints Mark Hershey as COO
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Armstrong World Industries announced the appointment of Mark A. Hershey as Senior Vice President & Chief Operating Officer, effective April 1, 2025. Hershey, who has been with the company since 2011, previously served as Senior Vice President, Americas, and has held various leadership roles, indicating a strategic move to strengthen the company’s operational leadership.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armstrong World Highlights 2024 Success in Investor Update
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Armstrong World Industries released an updated Investor Presentation on its website ahead of upcoming investor meetings. The presentation highlights the company’s strong financial performance in 2024, with $1,446 million in net sales and $486 million in adjusted EBITDA. The company emphasizes its commitment to sustainability, innovation, and operational excellence, aiming to lead in the design and building of spaces that support thriving communities. This strategic focus positions Armstrong World Industries advantageously within the building products industry, enhancing its appeal to investors and stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armstrong World Reports Record 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Armstrong World Industries reported record-setting financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, with significant increases in net sales, operating income, and earnings per share. The company highlighted robust growth in its Architectural Specialties segment, driven by strategic acquisitions and increased custom project sales, and expressed confidence in sustaining its growth trajectory in 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.