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Fate Therapeutics (FATE)
NASDAQ:FATE
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Fate Therapeutics (FATE) AI Stock Analysis

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FATE

Fate Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:FATE)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-2.72% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/29/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance—unstable revenue, large ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn alongside a shrinking equity cushion. Technicals are mixed with soft near-term momentum, while valuation lacks support due to a negative P/E and no dividend. Offsetting these risks, the $15M CIRM grant is a meaningful positive catalyst that improves near-term funding and validates the FT819 program.
Positive Factors
Non-dilutive clinical funding
The $15M CIRM grant provides non-dilutive funding for FT819’s lupus nephritis development, extending resources without an immediate equity raise. It also represents external validation of the program and supports continued advancement toward a potentially registrational trial.
Negative Factors
No recurring commercial product revenue
Without approved products generating recurring sales, Fate remains dependent on collaboration-related payments and future milestones rather than an established commercial revenue base. That makes revenue visibility less durable and leaves financial progress closely tied to development and partnering outcomes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Non-dilutive clinical funding
The $15M CIRM grant provides non-dilutive funding for FT819’s lupus nephritis development, extending resources without an immediate equity raise. It also represents external validation of the program and supports continued advancement toward a potentially registrational trial.
Read all positive factors

Fate Therapeutics (FATE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fate Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fate Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical firm dedicated to creating advanced, programmed cellular immunotherapies. These innovative treatments are designed to combat cancer and various immune disorders across the globe. A sign...
How the Company Makes Money
Fate Therapeutics does not have publicly established, recurring product sales from approved therapies; as a clinical-stage company, its revenue has primarily been generated from collaboration and licensing arrangements rather than commercial produ...

Fate Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in clinical trials, particularly with FT819 and FT522, alongside a strong financial position. However, revenue growth remains limited and operating expenses are high, suggesting a balanced outlook with promising clinical achievements countered by financial challenges.
Positive Updates
FT819 and FT522 Data Presentation
Presented promising data from FT819 and FT522 programs at the ASGCT Annual Meeting, showing potential disease-modifying effects and immune reset in B-cell-mediated autoimmune diseases.
Negative Updates
Limited Revenue Growth
Reported revenue of $1.9 million, consistent with prior quarters, reflecting limited growth.
Read all updates
Q1-2024 Updates
Negative
FT819 and FT522 Data Presentation
Presented promising data from FT819 and FT522 programs at the ASGCT Annual Meeting, showing potential disease-modifying effects and immune reset in B-cell-mediated autoimmune diseases.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Fate Therapeutics Q1 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance on its clinical and financial outlook. Key program initiatives were discussed, including the FT819 CAR T-cell and FT522 CAR NK cell programs, with notable translational data presented at the American Society of Gene and Cell Therapy Annual Meeting. The company highlighted its plans to achieve several clinical milestones across its iPSC product pipeline, targeting both cancer and autoimmune diseases. Financially, Fate Therapeutics raised $100 million through an underwritten offering and private placement, ending the first quarter with approximately $391 million in cash. Operating expenses for the full year are projected between $215 million and $230 million, with a year-end cash balance exceeding $270 million. The company's strategic focus is on demonstrating the disease-modifying potential of its therapies while maintaining a strong financial position to support ongoing and future clinical development.

Fate Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are the primary drag: revenue is highly volatile and much lower than prior years, profitability is deeply negative (negative gross profit and large operating losses), and operating/free cash flow remain significantly negative with worsening free cash flow in TTM. Balance sheet leverage is moderate, but the equity base has shrunk materially, increasing financing and dilution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.49M6.65M13.63M63.53M96.30M55.85M
Gross Profit-22.27M-6.25M-104.90M-93.65M82.54M50.00M
EBITDA-117.18M-127.02M-176.58M-142.65M-267.96M-206.30M
Net Income-126.00M-136.31M-186.26M-160.93M-281.72M-212.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets260.10M318.94M440.69M506.22M705.56M921.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments153.77M203.66M279.07M315.18M436.23M615.91M
Total Debt75.67M77.85M85.27M103.54M109.34M114.82M
Total Liabilities106.67M111.75M121.97M137.80M221.62M242.62M
Stockholders Equity153.44M207.18M318.73M368.42M483.94M678.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-105.66M-112.04M-123.60M-138.42M-283.77M-213.57M
Operating Cash Flow-101.94M-106.08M-122.87M-132.26M-248.21M-162.87M
Investing Cash Flow87.05M111.17M12.22M112.67M166.75M-324.02M
Financing Cash Flow5.90M5.49M99.89M85.00K9.21M453.13M

Fate Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.57
Price Trends
50DMA
2.48
Negative
100DMA
2.43
Negative
200DMA
1.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
42.22
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FATE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.41, above the 50-day MA of 2.48, and above the 200-day MA of 1.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FATE.

Fate Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Fate Therapeutics disclosed 90 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fate Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fate Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$218.82M6.1542.57%―234.18%―
56
Neutral
$675.44M-13.20-43.57%―-66.63%57.89%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$87.13M-1.87-103.08%―-6.96%32.77%
49
Neutral
$277.98M-2.21-65.08%―-23.36%27.52%
46
Neutral
$184.43M-1.64-39.64%――-6.70%
45
Neutral
$80.46M-2.611020.21%――2.05%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
2.32
0.91
64.54%
CGEN
Compugen
2.31
0.52
29.05%
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.63
-0.73
-53.60%
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology
1.12
-1.08
-49.09%
NKTX
Nkarta
2.58
0.43
19.77%
STTK
Shattuck Labs
6.73
4.14
159.85%

Fate Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fate Therapeutics Secures CIRM Grant for FT819 Lupus Trial
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
On September 25, 2026, Fate Therapeutics announced that the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine awarded the company a $15 million CLIN2 grant to support RECLAIM-LN, its Phase 2 potentially registrational trial of FT819 in patients with ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026