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Cardiff Oncology, Inc. (CRDF)
NASDAQ:CRDF

Cardiff Oncology (CRDF) AI Stock Analysis

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Cardiff Oncology

(NASDAQ:CRDF)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-5.06%Downside)
Cardiff Oncology's stock score is primarily influenced by its significant financial challenges, which weigh heavily despite a strong balance sheet. Technical indicators provide mixed signals, and the lack of positive valuation metrics further impacts the score. However, recent corporate events, including leadership changes and upcoming trial data, offer potential positives.
Positive Factors
Clinical Data
Positive data from the Phase II CRDF-004 study should rerate the stock and propel Onvansertib to pivotal.
Leadership
The company named a new chief medical officer, Dr. Roger Sidhu, who has significant experience in the oncology field, potentially benefiting Cardiff as it evolves into a pivotal-stage biotech company.
Market Position
Cardiff has emerged as one of the highest-conviction ideas in the coverage universe following the initial CRDF-004 data.
Negative Factors
Corporate Changes
Following the two corporate developments, Cardiff shares are expected to pull back due to the Phase II timing delay and the chief medical officer change.
Trial Delays
The ongoing Phase II CRDF-004 trial will now read out later than initially expected, which might concern investors.

Cardiff Oncology (CRDF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cardiff Oncology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCardiff Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage oncology company, develops medicine treatment for cancer patients in California. Its lead drug candidate is onvansertib, an oral selective Polo-like Kinase 1 Inhibitor for anti-cancer therapeutics; CY140, an inhibitor of PLK1, PLK2, and PLK3 that is in phase 1/2 studies in solid tumors and leukemias; metastatic colorectal cancer that is in clinical trials; and TROV-054 is a Phase 1b/2 for FOLFIRI and bevacizumab. The company's TROV-053 is also in Phase II clinical trial in combination with Zytiga for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. The company primarily serves pharmaceutical manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Trovagene, Inc. and changed its name to Cardiff Oncology, Inc. in May 2012. Cardiff Oncology, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCardiff Oncology makes money through a combination of funding sources typical of clinical-stage biotech companies, such as equity financing, grants, and strategic partnerships. As a company focused on drug development, Cardiff Oncology does not yet generate revenue from product sales. Instead, it relies on raising capital through public and private offerings of its stock to fund its research and development activities. Additionally, the company may receive milestone payments or licensing fees from collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies interested in its drug candidates. These partnerships can provide crucial financial support and resources needed to advance their clinical trials and bring their products closer to commercialization.

Cardiff Oncology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 20.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong initial clinical data, successful capital raising efforts, and a solid financial position. However, some dependency on future FDA meetings and the early stage of PFS data might pose challenges. Overall, the sentiment is optimistic with clear progress, yet some uncertainties remain.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Encouraging Initial Data from CRDF-004 Trial
The trial showed a 64% ORR for patients on the 30 mg dose of onvansertib, compared to a 33% ORR in the control arm, indicating a strong efficacy signal.
Successful Capital Raise
Cardiff Oncology successfully completed a $40 million capital raise, enhancing financial stability and resources for future developments.
Advancement in Intellectual Property
A new patent was issued covering the use of onvansertib with bevacizumab for KRAS-mutated mCRC, extending intellectual property protection until at least 2043.
Strong Financial Position
Cash and short-term investments totaled $91.7 million, providing a financial runway into Q1 2027.
Positive Preclinical Results in Breast Cancer
Onvansertib showed promising results in preclinical studies, demonstrating synergistic activity with paclitaxel and ENHERTU in drug-resistant HR-positive breast cancer models.
Negative Updates
Pending FDA Discussions
While progress has been made, key decisions regarding dose selection and trial design depend on future FDA meetings, which could impact timelines.
Limited Data on Progression-Free Survival (PFS)
It is too early to report PFS data from the CRDF-004 trial, leaving uncertainty about long-term efficacy and potential for full approval.
Company Guidance
During the Cardiff Oncology Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call, guidance was provided on several key metrics and future plans for the company. The company highlighted an initial data set from the CRDF-004 trial, which showed a 64% overall response rate (ORR) for patients on the 30 mg dose of onvansertib, compared to 33% in the control arm. The trial focuses on first-line RAS-mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), and aims to complete enrollment of 90 evaluable patients in early 2025. The company plans to release additional clinical data in the first half of 2025. Financially, Cardiff Oncology reported $91.7 million in cash and short-term investments as of December 31, 2024, following a $40 million capital raise. The company projects that these resources will support operations into the first quarter of 2027, with a quarterly cash burn of $10.3 million in Q4 2024. Additionally, Cardiff Oncology strengthened its intellectual property portfolio with a new patent for onvansertib, expected to expire no earlier than 2043.

Cardiff Oncology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cardiff Oncology is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting both profitability and cash flow. Despite a solid balance sheet with low leverage, the company's reliance on external financing and inability to generate sustainable cash flow are major concerns.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The company has been experiencing declining revenue over the recent periods, with a TTM revenue of $588,000 compared to $683,000 in the previous year. Gross profit margin for TTM is 65.8%, indicating decent cost management relative to revenue. However, significant net losses are a concern, with a net profit margin of -8309.18% for TTM, reflecting high operational inefficiencies. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, suggesting minimal leverage. The equity ratio stands at 83.5% for TTM, indicating a solid financial foundation with most assets financed by equity. However, the company's consistent net losses are eroding equity, which could present long-term risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$42.7 million for TTM, indicating cash outflows in core operations. The company is heavily reliant on financing activities to sustain operations, as evidenced by a substantial cash inflow from financing. The free cash flow is also negative, aligning with the operational losses, which raises concerns about sustainable cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue588.00K683.00K488.00K386.00K359.00K365.99K
Gross Profit387.00K279.00K488.00K186.00K-141.00K-10.87M
EBITDA-51.57M-48.25M-45.01M-39.67M-28.40M-18.84M
Net Income-48.85M-45.43M-41.44M-37.51M-27.74M-19.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.81M97.19M81.64M116.19M149.54M134.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.89M91.75M74.82M105.27M140.82M130.98M
Total Debt1.36M1.52M2.15M2.71M3.12M869.50K
Total Liabilities13.93M14.24M11.90M9.85M9.13M6.57M
Stockholders Equity70.88M82.95M69.74M106.34M140.42M128.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.75M-37.77M-31.47M-34.71M-23.25M-16.53M
Operating Cash Flow-42.75M-37.69M-30.89M-33.82M-23.04M-16.31M
Investing Cash Flow-5.49M13.73M36.20M38.15M-131.45M-211.88K
Financing Cash Flow53.68M53.78M0.0075.00K35.45M137.31M

Cardiff Oncology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.16
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Positive
100DMA
3.46
Negative
200DMA
3.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
45.07
Neutral
STOCH
16.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRDF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.53, above the 50-day MA of 3.11, and below the 200-day MA of 3.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRDF.

Cardiff Oncology Risk Analysis

Cardiff Oncology disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cardiff Oncology reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cardiff Oncology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.41B0.32-61.11%2.34%16.99%1.69%
50
Neutral
$206.23M-74.15%-3.61%-3.39%
49
Neutral
$244.59M-19.94%-14.76%
47
Neutral
$224.24M-22.59%26.63%
45
Neutral
$166.69M-160.99%-75.67%-552.37%
38
Underperform
$262.22M-66.13%43.21%
34
Underperform
$240.74M-34.97%-140.77%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology
3.16
0.94
42.34%
NGNE
Neurogene
16.57
-19.82
-54.47%
ANNX
Annexon Biosciences
2.45
-2.45
-50.00%
IPHA
Innate Pharma
1.91
-0.03
-1.55%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
3.82
0.47
14.03%
THRD
Third Harmonic Bio, Inc.
5.45
-7.55
-58.08%

Cardiff Oncology Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cardiff Oncology Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting 2025
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Cardiff Oncology, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where 38,649,891 shares of common stock were represented. During the meeting, all seven nominees for director were elected to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm, approved an amendment to the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan to increase the number of shares issuable, and endorsed the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRDF) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardiff Oncology stock, see the CRDF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cardiff Oncology Appoints New Chief Medical Officer
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Cardiff Oncology announced the appointment of Dr. Roger Sidhu as Chief Medical Officer, succeeding Dr. Fairooz Kabbinavar, who will remain in an advisory role. Dr. Sidhu brings over 20 years of oncology leadership experience, having previously held significant roles at Treadwell Therapeutics, Amgen, and Roivant Sciences. The company also plans to release additional clinical data from its CRDF-004 trial on July 29, 2025, which evaluates onvansertib in combination with standard care for first-line RAS-mutated mCRC. This appointment and upcoming data release are expected to advance Cardiff Oncology’s clinical development and potentially impact its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRDF) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardiff Oncology stock, see the CRDF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025