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Expeditors International
(NYSE:EXPD)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$202.00
▲(6.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/12/26
EXPD scores well primarily on financial strength (excellent free cash flow conversion and low leverage) and supportive technical momentum (trading above major moving averages with positive MACD). The main offsets are valuation (P/E ~26 with a sub-1% dividend yield) and the inherent cyclicality of freight pricing/volumes, despite recent positive operational and restructuring developments.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
High free cash flow conversion indicates strong earnings quality and gives Expeditors resources to invest in technology, absorb industry cycles, and return capital without depending heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Cyclical Revenue and Cash Flow
Expeditors remains exposed to global trade volumes, inventory cycles, and freight demand. Past revenue and cash-flow swings show that even strong execution cannot fully prevent earnings volatility during prolonged industry downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
High free cash flow conversion indicates strong earnings quality and gives Expeditors resources to invest in technology, absorb industry cycles, and return capital without depending heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors
Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyExpeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$24.54B
Dividend Yield0.84%
Average Volume (3M)972.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.4
Beta (1Y)0.67
Revenue Growth6.77%
EPS Growth12.05%
CountryUS
Employees19,800
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.89
Shares Outstanding129,990,620
10 Day Avg. Volume775,651
30 Day Avg. Volume972,074
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio6.52
Price to Book (P/B)8.59
Price to Sales (P/S)1.83
P/FCF Ratio21.23
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$179.36Price Target Upside-5.12% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)7.62
Revenue Forecast (FY)$13.06B
Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Indi...
How the Company Makes Money
Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing the movement of customers’ freight through third-party transportation providers and charging customers for these services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Air freight forwarding: Expedito...
Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.04B | 11.07B | 10.60B | 9.30B | 17.07B | 16.52B |
| Gross Profit | 2.88B | 1.69B | 1.35B | 1.25B | 2.17B | 2.17B |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 1.15B | 1.16B | 1.09B | 1.92B | 1.98B |
| Net Income | 919.29M | 813.76M | 810.07M | 752.88M | 1.36B | 1.42B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.13B | 4.89B | 4.75B | 4.52B | 5.59B | 7.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.03B | 1.31B | 1.15B | 1.51B | 2.03B | 1.73B |
| Total Debt | 567.28M | 570.59M | 568.94M | 527.73M | 518.47M | 467.66M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.01B | 2.53B | 2.53B | 2.13B | 2.48B | 4.11B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.12B | 2.36B | 2.22B | 2.39B | 3.11B | 3.49B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 923.86M | 953.40M | 682.89M | 1.01B | 2.04B | 832.25M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 972.54M | 1.01B | 723.36M | 1.05B | 2.13B | 868.49M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -18.97M | -44.70M | -40.52M | -39.43M | -87.71M | -36.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.06B | -802.48M | -1.03B | -1.54B | -1.68B | -613.55M |
Expeditors International Technical Analysis
Positive
189.05
Price Trends
178.30
Positive
166.89
Positive
158.18
Positive
Market Momentum
3.12
Positive
61.13
Neutral
33.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.85, above the 50-day MA of 178.30, and above the 200-day MA of 158.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.
Expeditors International Risk Analysis
Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Expeditors International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $24.54B | 27.40 | 40.68% | 0.84% | 6.77% | 12.05% | |
69 Neutral | $76.33B | 17.57 | 15.11% | 1.46% | 7.73% | 10.07% | |
62 Neutral | $6.04B | 46.09 | 15.87% | 2.05% | 4.10% | -19.02% | |
62 Neutral | $87.03B | 18.98 | 29.07% | 6.41% | -0.18% | -19.99% | |
58 Neutral | $17.25B | 27.80 | 36.01% | 1.71% | -0.09% | 19.50% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
45 Neutral | $5.54B | 42.20 | 4.41% | ― | 7.55% | 114.56% |
* General Sector Average
EXPD
Expeditors International
188.80
68.34
56.73%
CHRW
CH Robinson
147.64
23.63
19.06%
FDX
FedEx
322.52
143.66
80.32%
LSTR
Landstar System
177.92
49.37
38.40%
UPS
United Parcel
102.29
23.17
29.28%
GXO
GXO Logistics
48.32
-3.95
-7.56%
Expeditors International Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors International Boosted by Strong Q2 Airfreight Demand
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
In the second quarter of 2026, Expeditors International reported exceptionally strong airfreight volumes and pricing, driven by robust technology-sector demand, especially AI infrastructure and hyperscaler shipments, and its success in securing ca...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors Expands Customs Operations Amid Growing Regulatory Complexity
Positive
May 20, 2026
Expeditors reported that recent conflict in the Middle East has so far had a limited direct effect on its operations and customers, with the main impact seen in higher jet fuel prices, tighter air capacity, and longer routing, while ocean cargo ha...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.