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Eastern Company (EML)
NASDAQ:EML
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Eastern Company (EML) AI Stock Analysis

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EML

Eastern Company

(NASDAQ:EML)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(7.61% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
EML scores 68 primarily due to improving financial quality supported by strong free cash flow and a stable balance sheet, alongside a constructive technical trend with price above key moving averages. The latest earnings call adds support via backlog-driven H2 revenue visibility and better cash generation, but the score is held back by recent top-line declines, weaker underlying profitability (adjusted results), and only middling valuation support (P/E ~19 with a modest ~1.73% yield).
Positive Factors
Backlog Growth and Revenue Visibility
The sharply higher backlog and broad-based sequential gains provide clearer forward revenue visibility. Converting this order book could support sales recovery, improve plant utilization and create operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Top-Line Momentum
The sales decline indicates continued exposure to cyclical industrial demand, customer inventory patterns and uneven end-market volumes. Sustained weakness would limit fixed-cost absorption and make the expected recovery dependent on backlog conversion and truck production.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog Growth and Revenue Visibility
The sharply higher backlog and broad-based sequential gains provide clearer forward revenue visibility. Converting this order book could support sales recovery, improve plant utilization and create operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Eastern Company (EML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eastern Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Eastern Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered solutions to industrial markets in the United States and North America. The company offers turnkey returnable packaging solutions, which are used in the assembly processes of vehicles...
How the Company Makes Money
Eastern Company makes money primarily by selling manufactured products to business customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Industrial Hardware and Security Products: revenue from the sale of industrial hardware (such as latches, hinges, locks,...

Eastern Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic outlook: management highlighted meaningful improvements in backlog (+45% YoY), sequential operational metrics, a substantial improvement in cash generation, disciplined strategic acquisitions expanding into aerospace & defense, and restored margin discipline (Big 3 issues addressed). Offsetting these positives are continued year‑over‑year revenue and adjusted EBITDA declines, lower adjusted EPS excluding the acquisition gain, near‑term margin drag from newly acquired businesses and tariff/mix headwinds. Management’s emphasis on backlog conversion, liquidity, and execution leads to confidence in a stronger second half, making the tone constructive despite near‑term profit pressures.
Positive Updates
Backlog Growth and Improved Visibility
Backlog increased to $126.2 million, up $39.1 million or 45% year-over-year (from $87.1M a year ago) and up from $82.2M at the end of Q1; backlog increased across every business with notable sequential gains at Velvac (+29%) and Eberhard (+19%). Management expects the majority of current backlog to convert to revenue in the second half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Year‑over‑Year
Net sales from continuing operations declined 11.9% year‑over‑year to $61.8 million in Q2 2026 from $70.2 million in Q2 2025; declines were driven by lower shipments of truck mirror assemblies ($5.7M), returnable transport packaging ($3.4M) and latch and handle assemblies ($0.9M).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Backlog Growth and Improved Visibility
Backlog increased to $126.2 million, up $39.1 million or 45% year-over-year (from $87.1M a year ago) and up from $82.2M at the end of Q1; backlog increased across every business with notable sequential gains at Velvac (+29%) and Eberhard (+19%). Management expects the majority of current backlog to convert to revenue in the second half of 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said Eastern enters H2 2026 with materially improved visibility and expects the majority of its $126.2 million backlog (up $39.1M or 45% YoY and up from $82.2M at Q1) to convert to revenue over the balance of the year, driving sequential improvements in sales, gross margin and adjusted EBITDA. Q2 results included net sales of $61.8M (down 11.9% YoY), gross margin of 20.6% ($12.8M) versus 23.3% ($16.4M) a year ago, adjusted EBITDA of $3.4M (down ~49% from $6.7M), adjusted net income of $0.9M ($0.15/sh) versus $3.5M ($0.57/sh) prior, and GAAP net income of $5.6M ($0.94/sh) which included a $6.5M one‑time bargain purchase gain from the June 1 acquisitions of Crown Precision and Sungear (together adding roughly $18–19M backlog and a near‑term run rate management pegs at about $5–6M/quarter or ~ $20M/year, with a target gross margin of 20–30% over time but some near‑term margin drag from inventory step‑up). Management highlighted sequential backlog gains at Velvac (+29%) and Eberhard (+19%), expects heavy‑truck build rates to continue improving (analyst cited ~26% H2 vs H1), and noted improved cash generation ($12.0M cash from ops in first six months vs $1.9M prior), cash $15.1M, inventories $66.0M, AR $36.8M, long‑term debt $41.7M, $59M available on the $100M revolver, paid a $0.11 quarterly dividend, repurchased ~19,529 shares in Q2 (H1 >40k; 256k remaining authorization) and invested $1.5M in capex YTD.

Eastern Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are improving but still uneven. Income statement strength is moderate (revenue down -3.44% TTM, modest ~3.4% net margin and ~8.2% EBITDA margin, with volatility). Balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.47) and positive but modest ROE (~6.4%). Cash flow is a relative bright spot with healthy TTM operating cash flow (~$19.0M) and free cash flow (~$15.1M) and strong FCF growth (~54%), though historically variable.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue234.37M248.97M272.75M258.86M279.27M246.52M
Gross Profit49.00M56.39M67.27M61.77M58.62M56.77M
EBITDA19.25M13.86M25.68M23.26M23.91M28.06M
Net Income8.04M5.12M-8.53M8.59M12.30M9.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets245.12M216.68M235.31M252.04M261.52M266.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.14M7.41M16.06M9.29M10.19M6.17M
Total Debt61.53M53.86M60.24M62.08M76.40M82.62M
Total Liabilities115.13M92.03M114.62M119.56M134.91M151.73M
Stockholders Equity129.99M124.65M120.69M132.48M126.61M114.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.14M4.90M10.84M20.05M7.10M-5.74M
Operating Cash Flow18.99M8.87M20.55M26.48M10.46M-2.02M
Investing Cash Flow-11.87M-508.92K-8.47M-5.43M5.09M12.62M
Financing Cash Flow-1.33M-16.30M-4.82M-22.90M-11.78M-20.27M

Eastern Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.02
Price Trends
50DMA
24.98
Positive
100DMA
23.21
Positive
200DMA
21.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
60.58
Neutral
STOCH
48.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.92, above the 50-day MA of 24.98, and above the 200-day MA of 21.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EML.

Eastern Company Risk Analysis

Eastern Company disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastern Company reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastern Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$20.41B19.9517.41%2.34%4.02%4.39%
72
Outperform
$8.48B34.008.13%1.00%5.45%-16.03%
68
Neutral
$154.59M19.496.39%1.82%-13.66%-33.94%
68
Neutral
$14.87B24.456.90%3.64%0.57%29.85%
67
Neutral
$1.58B36.863.36%6.47%89.75%
66
Neutral
$2.23B6.6810.46%2.27%19.82%272.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EML
Eastern Company
26.03
2.95
12.78%
KMT
Kennametal
30.01
8.86
41.90%
SNA
Snap-on
397.48
78.97
24.79%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
99.76
27.74
38.52%
TKR
Timken Company
126.15
48.99
63.50%
HLMN
Hillman Solutions
8.04
-1.93
-19.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026