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Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
NYSE:SWK
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Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) AI Stock Analysis

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SWK

Stanley Black & Decker

(NYSE:SWK)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$71.00
▲(1.98% Upside)
Stanley Black & Decker's overall stock score reflects a moderate financial performance with some positive aspects such as improved profitability and leverage management. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the earnings call highlights both progress in cost reduction and challenges in revenue growth. The valuation is supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and an attractive dividend yield, providing some stability. Overall, the stock presents a mixed outlook with potential for improvement if strategic goals are met.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction Efforts
Achieving significant cost reductions enhances profitability and operational efficiency, supporting long-term financial health and competitiveness.
Margin Improvement
Improved margins indicate better cost management and pricing strategies, which can lead to sustained profitability and financial stability.
Brand Performance
Strong brand performance, especially in DEWALT, reflects successful market positioning and innovation, driving long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Flat revenue growth suggests challenges in market expansion and demand generation, potentially impacting future earnings and market share.
Tariff-Related Impacts
Tariff-related challenges can increase costs and reduce competitiveness, affecting profitability and strategic positioning in key markets.
Soft Consumer Demand
Weak consumer demand can limit sales growth and pressure margins, posing risks to achieving long-term financial targets.

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stanley Black & Decker Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the tools and storage and industrial businesses in the United States, Canada, rest of Americas, France, rest of Europe, and Asia. Its Tools & Storage segment offers professional products, including professional grade corded and cordless electric power tools and equipment, and pneumatic tools and fasteners; and consumer products, such as corded and cordless electric power tools primarily under the BLACK+DECKER brand, as well as corded and cordless lawn and garden products and related accessories; home products; and hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage products. This segment sells its products through retailers, distributors, dealers, and a direct sales force to professional end users, distributors, dealers, retail consumers, and industrial customers in various industries. The company's Industrial segment provides engineered fastening systems and products to customers in the automotive, manufacturing, electronics, construction, aerospace, and other industries; sells and rents custom pipe handling, joint welding, and coating equipment for use in the construction of large and small diameter pipelines, as well as provides pipeline inspection services; and sells hydraulic tools and performance-driven heavy equipment attachment tools. This segment serves oil and natural gas pipeline industry and other industrial customers. It also sells automatic doors to commercial customers. The company was formerly known as The Stanley Works and changed its name to Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. in March 2010. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. was founded in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company's revenue model primarily revolves around the sales of its diverse range of tools and products across its segments. Key revenue streams include the sale of power tools, hand tools, storage solutions, and industrial products. The Tools & Storage segment is the largest contributor to revenue, driven by strong demand in both professional and DIY markets. Additionally, the Industrial segment generates income through manufacturing solutions, while the Security segment provides electronic and mechanical security products and services. Significant partnerships with retailers and distributors, as well as ongoing innovations in product development, play crucial roles in enhancing sales. Furthermore, acquisitions have expanded their product offerings and market reach, contributing positively to overall earnings.

Stanley Black & Decker Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Profit by Segment
Profit by Segment
Details the profit contribution of each segment, providing insight into which parts of the business are most financially rewarding.
Chart InsightsStanley Black & Decker's Tools & Outdoor segment is recovering from a steep decline in 2022, showing gradual profit improvement through 2025. However, the latest earnings call highlights ongoing challenges from tariffs and a slow outdoor buying season, impacting revenue and margins. Despite these hurdles, the company is focused on supply chain efficiencies and cost-saving measures to bolster profitability. The Industrial segment faces pressure, with recent declines in profit, but strategic initiatives in aerospace and cost management may provide future support.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Stanley Black & Decker Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company making significant strides in cost reduction and margin improvement, particularly in its DEWALT and Engineered Fastening segments. However, challenges such as flat revenue growth, tariff-related impacts, and soft consumer demand present hurdles to achieving long-term targets. The sentiment is mixed with a strong focus on operational efficiencies and strategic imperatives for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Target Achievement
On track to deliver the $2 billion cost reduction targeted by year-end 2025, with $1.9 billion already achieved by mid-2022.
Adjusted Gross Margin Improvement
Third quarter adjusted gross margin increased to 31.6%, up 110 basis points year-over-year, with a target to achieve 35% by the fourth quarter of 2026.
DEWALT Brand Performance
Continued revenue growth across all product lines and regions, supported by targeted investments in innovation and market activation.
Engineered Fastening Segment Growth
Third quarter revenue grew 3% on a reported basis and 5% organically, with aerospace business achieving over 25% organic growth.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $155 million in free cash flow during the third quarter, progressing toward the full year 2025 objective of $600 million.
Negative Updates
Flat Total Revenue
Total revenue was $3.8 billion, flat with the prior year period, and down 1% organically due to a 6% decline in volume.
Tariff-Related Challenges
Tariff-related promotional reductions in the retail channel and higher-than-anticipated production costs due to tariff-related volume softness impacted performance.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share Reduction
Adjusted earnings per share for 2025 expected to be approximately $4.55, a reduction of $0.10 compared to previous estimates.
Soft Consumer Demand
Overall consumer backdrop remains soft, impacting product lines like power tools, which experienced a 2% organic revenue decline.
Inventory Management Challenges
Higher inventory levels than desired due to supply chain moves, with an expectation to reduce inventory significantly in 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Stanley Black & Decker Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance emphasizing its commitment to achieving significant cost reductions and margin improvements. The company reiterated its goal to deliver a $2 billion cost reduction by year-end 2025 and aims to achieve an adjusted gross margin of 35% in the future. The management highlighted successful progress in its strategic transformation, with third-quarter revenues of $3.8 billion and an adjusted gross margin of 31.6%, up 110 basis points year-over-year. The company also reported a third-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.3% and adjusted earnings per share of $1.43. Additionally, the company plans to continue its focus on operational excellence, brand activation, and accelerating innovation to drive organic growth. Looking forward, the company is keen on reducing U.S. supply dependence on China, with an aim to bring it down to less than 5% by the end of 2026, and expects continued margin expansion and disciplined SG&A management to support future growth.

Stanley Black & Decker Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stanley Black & Decker has shown mixed financial performance. While profitability has improved in terms of net profit margin and return on equity, revenue and free cash flow have declined, indicating potential challenges in top-line growth and cash generation. The company has managed its leverage better, indicating a cautious approach to capital structure. Overall, the financial health is moderate with areas needing attention for growth and efficiency.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a declining trend in revenue over the past periods, with TTM revenue at $15.16 billion, down from $15.37 billion in 2024. Gross profit margin has decreased from 29.4% in 2024 to 29.4% in TTM, indicating stable cost control. However, the net profit margin has improved to 2.7% in TTM from 1.9% in 2024, owing to better cost management, though still lower than historical figures. EBIT margin is 6.1%, lower than the previous year, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows moderate financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 in TTM, improved from 0.71 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. The equity ratio is 40.3%, which shows a stable capital structure. Return on equity has improved to 4.4% in TTM, up from 3.4% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability from equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.88 in TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow has decreased, showing a contraction from $753 million in 2024 to $493 million in TTM, suggesting less cash flexibility. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, highlighting moderate cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.45B15.37B15.78B16.95B14.44B13.98B
Gross Profit3.37B4.51B4.10B4.28B4.81B4.90B
EBITDA719.70M1.32B802.70M942.80M1.92B1.79B
Net Income243.70M294.30M-310.50M170.30M955.80M645.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.75B21.85B23.66B24.96B20.60B19.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments268.30M290.50M449.40M395.60M297.70M311.40M
Total Debt6.06B6.59B7.30B7.46B3.52B4.20B
Total Liabilities12.78B13.13B14.61B15.25B11.45B11.53B
Stockholders Equity8.98B8.72B9.06B9.71B9.14B7.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-49.50M753.00M852.60M-1.99B1.08B768.80M
Operating Cash Flow15.50M1.11B1.19B-1.46B1.51B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-190.00M394.20M-327.70M3.60B-1.19B-994.00M
Financing Cash Flow90.90M-1.56B-816.00M-2.00B-307.10M-556.70M

Stanley Black & Decker Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price69.62
Price Trends
50DMA
72.73
Negative
100DMA
71.26
Negative
200DMA
71.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Negative
RSI
48.60
Neutral
STOCH
26.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 69.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.59, below the 50-day MA of 72.73, and below the 200-day MA of 71.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWK.

Stanley Black & Decker Risk Analysis

Stanley Black & Decker disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stanley Black & Decker reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stanley Black & Decker Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.51B52.138.54%8.27%19.06%
76
Outperform
$5.31B18.059.80%1.81%-1.01%-12.13%
75
Outperform
$12.38B24.1238.11%1.31%3.27%10.89%
75
Outperform
$17.62B17.7517.96%2.50%0.24%-1.85%
66
Neutral
$7.18B22.2621.85%2.07%0.78%-13.62%
64
Neutral
$10.31B23.054.92%4.86%-1.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
69.62
-18.53
-21.02%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
225.07
9.87
4.59%
RBC
RBC Bearings
427.24
110.72
34.98%
SNA
Snap-on
338.73
-6.59
-1.91%
TKR
Timken Company
76.29
-1.49
-1.92%
TTC
The Toro Company
74.00
-9.14
-10.99%

Stanley Black & Decker Corporate Events

Stanley Black & Decker’s Mixed Earnings Call Insights
Nov 5, 2025

During the recent earnings call, Stanley Black & Decker conveyed a mixed sentiment, reflecting both achievements and challenges. The company is making notable progress in cost reduction and margin improvement, particularly in its DEWALT and Engineered Fastening segments. However, it faces hurdles such as flat revenue growth, tariff-related impacts, and soft consumer demand, which could impede its long-term targets. The call emphasized operational efficiencies and strategic imperatives as key drivers for future growth.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Stanley Black & Decker Appoints New Chief Administrative Officer
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Stanley Black & Decker announced the appointment of Patrick D. Hallinan as Chief Administrative Officer, effective January 1, 2026, alongside his roles as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This change comes with a significant compensation adjustment, reflecting his increased responsibilities. Additionally, the company elected Mary A. Laschinger to its Board of Directors, effective November 1, 2025. Laschinger, with her extensive experience in global manufacturing and distribution, is expected to contribute significantly to the company’s strategic growth and operational excellence, further solidifying its industry leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWK) stock is a Hold with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanley Black & Decker stock, see the SWK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Stanley Black & Decker’s General Counsel Resigns
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Janet M. Link, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of Stanley Black & Decker, announced her resignation effective November 30, 2025, to pursue a new professional opportunity. This leadership change may impact the company’s legal and strategic operations, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWK) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stanley Black & Decker stock, see the SWK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025